Statistical models of discrete time series have a wide range of applications, most notably to problems in speech recognition (Juang & Rabiner, 1991) and molecular biology (Baldi, Chauvin, Hunkapiller, & McClure, 1992). A common problem in these fields is to find a probabilistic model, and a set of model parameters, that 436 Lawrence K. Saul, Michael I. Jordan

This paper presents instance-based state identification, an approach to reinforcement learning and hidden state that builds disambiguating amounts of short-term memory online, and also learns with an order of magnitude fewer training steps than several previous approaches. Inspired by a key similarity between learning with hidden state and learning in continuous geometrical spaces, this approach uses instance-based (or "memory-based") learning, a method that has worked well in continuous spaces. 1 BACKGROUND AND RELATED WORK When a robot's next course of action depends on information that is hidden from the sensors because of problems such as occlusion, restricted range, bounded field of view and limited attention, the robot suffers from hidden state. More formally, we say a reinforcement learning agent suffers from the hidden state problem if the agent's state representation is non-Markovian with respect to actions and utility. The hidden state problem arises as a case of perceptual aliasing: the mapping between states of the world and sensations of the agent is not one-to-one [Whitehead, 1992]. If the agent's perceptual system produces the same outputs for two world states in which different actions are required, and if the agent's state representation consists only of its percepts, then the agent will fail to choose correct actions.

Our results show that maximal diversity of neuronal response properties is attained when the ratio of dendritic and axonal arbor sizes is equal to 1, a value found in many cortical areas and across species (Lund et al., 1993; Malach, 1994). Maximization of diversity also leads to better performance in systems of receptive fields implementing steerablejshiftable filters, which may be necessary for generating the seemingly continuous range of orientation selectivity found in VI, and in ma.tching spatially distributed signals. This cortical organization principle may, therefore, have the double advantage of accounting for the formation of the cortical columns and the associated patchy projection patterns, and of explaining how systems of receptive fields can support functions such as the generation of precise response tuning from imprecise distributed inputs, and the matching of distributed signals, a problem that arises in visual tasks such as stereopsis, motion processing, and recognition.

In this paper, we incorporate the Hierarchical Mixtures of Experts (HME) method of probability estimation, developed by Jordan [1], into an HMMbased continuous speech recognition system. The resulting system can be thought of as a continuous-density HMM system, but instead of using gaussian mixtures, the HME system employs a large set of hierarchically organized but relatively small neural networks to perform the probability density estimation. The hierarchical structure is reminiscent of a decision tree except for two important differences: each "expert" or neural net performs a "soft" decision rather than a hard decision, and, unlike ordinary decision trees, the parameters of all the neural nets in the HME are automatically trainable using the EM algorithm. We report results on the ARPA 5,OOO-word and 4O,OOO-word Wall Street Journal corpus using HME models. 1 Introduction Recent research has shown that a continuous-density HMM (CD-HMM) system can outperform a more constrained tied-mixture HMM system for large-vocabulary continuous speech recognition (CSR) when a large amount of training data is available [2]. In other work, the utility of decision trees has been demonstrated in classification problems by using the "divide and conquer" paradigm effectively, where a problem is divided into a hierarchical set of simpler problems.

The problem of interpolating between specified images in an image sequence is a simple, but important task in model-based vision. We describe an approach based on the abstract task of "manifold learning" and present results on both synthetic and real image sequences. This problem arose in the development of a combined lipreading and speech recognition system.

Multi-class classification problems can be efficiently solved by partitioning the original problem into sub-problems involving only two classes: for each pair of classes, a (potentially small) neural network is trained using only the data of these two classes. We show how to combine the outputs of the two-class neural networks in order to obtain posterior probabilities for the class decisions. The resulting probabilistic pairwise classifier is part of a handwriting recognition system which is currently applied to check reading. We present results on real world data bases and show that, from a practical point of view, these results compare favorably to other neural network approaches.

Glove-TaikII is a system which translates hand gestures to speech through an adaptive interface. Hand gestures are mapped continuously to 10 control parameters of a parallel formant speech synthesizer. The mapping allows the hand to act as an artificial vocal tract that produces speech in real time. This gives an unlimited vocabulary in addition to direct control of fundamental frequency and volume. Currently, the best version of Glove-TalkII uses several input devices (including a CyberGlove, a ContactGlove, a 3-space tracker, and a foot-pedal), a parallel formant speech synthesizer and 3 neural networks.

Such sensors realize the simultaneous need for wide field-of-view and good visual acuity. One popular class of space-variant sensors is formed by log-polar sensors which have a small area near the optical axis of greatly increased resolution (the fovea) coupled with a peripheral region that witnesses a gradual logarithmic falloff in resolution as one moves radially outward. These sensors are inspired by similar structures found in the primate retina where one finds both a peripheral region of gradually decreasing acuity and a circularly symmetric area centmlis characterized by a greater density of receptors and a disproportionate representation in the optic nerve [3]. The peripheral region, though of low visual acuity, is more sensitive to light intensity and movement. The existence of a region optimized for discrimination and recognition surrounded by a region geared towards detection thus allows the image of an object of interest detected in the outer region to be placed on the more analytic center for closer scrutiny. Such a strategy however necessitates the existence of (a) methods to determine which location in the periphery to foveate next, and (b) fast gaze-shifting mechanisms to achieve this 894 Rajesh P. N. Rao, Dana H. Ballard

Second order properties of cost functions for recurrent networks are investigated. We analyze a layered fully recurrent architecture, the virtue of this architecture is that it features the conventional feedforward architecture as a special case. A detailed description of recursive computation of the full Hessian of the network cost function is provided. We discuss the possibility of invoking simplifying approximations of the Hessian and show how weight decays iron the cost function and thereby greatly assist training. We present tentative pruning results, using Hassibi et al.'s Optimal Brain Surgeon, demonstrating that recurrent networks can construct an efficient internal memory. 1 LEARNING IN RECURRENT NETWORKS Time series processing is an important application area for neural networks and numerous architectures have been suggested, see e.g. (Weigend and Gershenfeld, 94). The most general structure is a fully recurrent network and it may be adapted using Real Time Recurrent Learning (RTRL) suggested by (Williams and Zipser, 89). By invoking a recurrent network, the length of the network memory can be adapted to the given time series, while it is fixed for the conventional lag-space net (Weigend et al., 90). In forecasting, however, feedforward architectures remain the most popular structures; only few applications are reported based on the Williams&Zipser approach.

We propose an alternative model for mixtures of experts which uses a different parametric form for the gating network. The modified model is trained by the EM algorithm. In comparison with earlier models-trained by either EM or gradient ascent-there is no need to select a learning stepsize. We report simulation experiments which show that the new architecture yields faster convergence. We also apply the new model to two problem domains: piecewise nonlinear function approximation and the combination of multiple previously trained classifiers. 1 INTRODUCTION For the mixtures of experts architecture (Jacobs, Jordan, Nowlan & Hinton, 1991), the EM algorithm decouples the learning process in a manner that fits well with the modular structure and yields a considerably improved rate of convergence (Jordan & Jacobs, 1994).