A modification is described to the use of mean field approximations inthe E step of EM algorithms for analysing data from latent structure models, as described by Ghahramani (1995), among others. Themodification involves second-order Taylor approximations to expectations computed in the E step. The potential benefits of the method are illustrated using very simple latent profile models. 1 Introduction Ghahramani (1995) advocated the use of mean field methods as a means to avoid the heavy computation involved in the E step of the EM algorithm used for estimating parameters within a certain latent structure model, and Ghahramani & Jordan (1995) used the same ideas in a more complex situation. Dunmur & Titterington (1996a) identified Ghahramani's model as a so-called latent profile model, they observed that Zhang (1992,1993) had used mean field methods for a similar purpose, and they showed, in a simulation study based on very simple examples, that the mean field version of the EM algorithm often performed very respectably. By this it is meant that, when data were generated from the model under analysis, the estimators of the underlying parameters were efficient, judging by empirical results, especially in comparison with estimators obtained by employing the'correct' EM algorithm: the examples therefore had to be simple enough that the correct EM algorithm is numerically feasible, although any success reported for the mean field 432 A. P. Dunmur and D. M. Titterington version is, one hopes, an indication that the method will also be adequate in more complex situations in which the correct EM algorithm is not implementable because of computational complexity. In spite of the above positive remarks, there were circumstances in which there was a perceptible, if not dramatic, lack of efficiency in the simple (naive) mean field estimators, and the objective of this contribution is to propose and investigate ways of refining the method so as to improve performance without detracting from the appealing, and frequently essential, simplicity of the approach. The procedure used here is based on a second order correction to the naive mean field well known in statistical physics and sometimes called the cavity or TAP method (Mezard, Parisi & Virasoro, 1987). It has been applied recently in cluster analysis (Hofmann & Buhmann, 1996). In Section 2 we introduce the structure of our model, Section 3 explains the refined mean field approach, Section 4 provides numerical results, and Section 5 contains a statement of our conclusions.

The optimal control problem reduces to a boundary value problem for a fully nonlinear second-order elliptic differential equation of Hamilton Jacobi-Bellman (HJB-) type. Numerical analysis provides multigrid methodsfor this kind of equation. In the case of Learning Control, however,the systems of equations on the various grid-levels are obtained using observed information (transitions and local cost). To ensure consistency, special attention needs to be directed toward thetype of time and space discretization during the observation. Analgorithm for multi-grid observation is proposed.

To obtain classification systems with both good generalization performance andefficiency in space and time, we propose a learning method based on combinations of weak classifiers, where weak classifiers arelinear classifiers (perceptrons) which can do a little better than making random guesses. A randomized algorithm is proposed to find the weak classifiers. They· are then combined through a majority vote.As demonstrated through systematic experiments, the method developed is able to obtain combinations of weak classifiers with good generalization performance and a fast training time on a variety of test problems and real applications.

Support Vector Learning Machines (SVM) are finding application in pattern recognition, regression estimation, and operator inversion forill-posed problems. Against this very general backdrop, any methods for improving the generalization performance, or for improving the speed in test phase, of SVMs are of increasing interest. Inthis paper we combine two such techniques on a pattern recognition problem. The method for improving generalization performance (the"virtual support vector" method) does so by incorporating known invariances of the problem. This method achieves a drop in the error rate on 10,000 NIST test digit images of 1.4% to 1.0%.

The classes in classification tasks often have a natural ordering, and the training and testing examples are often incomplete. We propose a nonlinear ordinalmodel for classification into ordered classes. Predictive, simulation-based approaches are used to learn from past and classify future incompleteexamples. These techniques are illustrated by making prognoses for patients who have suffered severe head injuries.

We study the effect of noise and regularization in an online gradient-descent learning scenario for a general two-layer student network with an arbitrary number of hidden units. Training examples arerandomly drawn input vectors labeled by a two-layer teacher network with an arbitrary number of hidden units; the examples arecorrupted by Gaussian noise affecting either the output or the model itself. We examine the effect of both types of noise and that of weight-decay regularization on the dynamical evolution ofthe order parameters and the generalization error in various phases of the learning process. 1 Introduction One of the most powerful and commonly used methods for training large layered neural networks is that of online learning, whereby the internal network parameters {J} are modified after the presentation of each training example so as to minimize the corresponding error.

In this paper we propose a model for the lateral connectivity of orientation-selective cells in the visual cortex based on informationtheoretic considerations.We study the properties of the input signal to the visual cortex and find new statistical structures which have not been processed in the retino-geniculate pathway. Applying the idea that the system optimizes the representation of incoming signals, we derive the lateral connectivity that will achieve this for a set of local orientation-selective patches, as well as the complete spatial structure of a layer of such patches. We compare the results with various physiological measurements.

This paper describes a new technique for object recognition based on learning appearance models. The image is decomposed into local regions which are described by a new texture representation called "Generalized Second Moments" thatare derived from the output of multiscale, multiorientation filter banks. Class-characteristic local texture features and their global composition is learned by a hierarchical mixture of experts architecture (Jordan & Jacobs). The technique is applied to a vehicle database consisting of 5 general car categories (Sedan, Van with backdoors, Van without backdoors, old Sedan, and Volkswagen Bug). This is a difficult problem with considerable in-class variation. The new technique has a 6.5% misclassification rate, compared to eigen-images which give 17.4% misclassification rate, and nearest neighbors which give 15 .7%

I review current statistical work on syntactic parsing and then consider part-of-speech tagging, which was the first syntactic problem to successfully be attacked by statistical techniques and also serves as a good warm-up for the main topic-statistical parsing. Here, I consider both the simplified case in which the input string is viewed as a string of parts of speech and the more interesting case in which the parser is guided by statistical information about the particular words in the sentence. Finally, I anticipate future research directions.

This article surveys the use of empirical, machine-learning methods for a particular natural language-understanding task-information extraction. The author presents a generic architecture for information-extraction systems and then surveys the learning algorithms that have been developed to address the problems of accuracy, portability, and knowledge acquisition for each component of the architecture.