We discuss the application of TAP mean field methods known from the Statistical Mechanics of disordered systems to Bayesian classification models with Gaussian processes. In contrast to previous approaches, no knowledge about the distribution of inputs is needed. Simulation results for the Sonar data set are given.

H3C 3A 7 CAN ADA 2Department of Cognitive and Neural Systems, Boston University Boston, MA 02215 USA Abstract The ARTMAP-FD neural network performs both identification (placing test patterns in classes encountered during training) and familiarity discrimination (judging whether a test pattern belongs to any of the classes encountered during training). The performance of ARTMAP-FD is tested on radar pulse data obtained in the field, and compared to that of the nearest-neighbor-based NEN algorithm and to a k 1 extension of NEN. 1 Introduction The recognition process involves both identification and familiarity discrimination. Consider, for example, a neural network designed to identify aircraft based on their radar reflections and trained on sample reflections from ten types of aircraft A... J. After training, the network should correctly classify radar reflections belonging to the familiar classes A... J, but it should also abstain from making a meaningless guess when presented with a radar reflection from an object belonging to a different, unfamiliar class. Familiarity discrimination is also referred to as "novelty detection," a "reject option," and "recognition in partially exposed environments."

The kernel-parameter is one of the few tunable parameters in Support Vector machines, controlling the complexity of the resulting hypothesis. Its choice amounts to model selection and its value is usually found by means of a validation set. We present an algorithm which can automatically perform model selection with little additional computational cost and with no need of a validation set. In this procedure model selection and learning are not separate, but kernels are dynamically adjusted during the learning process to find the kernel parameter which provides the best possible upper bound on the generalisation error. Theoretical results motivating the approach and experimental results confirming its validity are presented.

We describe a real-time computer vision and machine learning system for modeling and recognizing human behaviors in two different scenarios: (1) complex, twohanded action recognition in the martial art of Tai Chi and (2) detection and recognition of individual human behaviors and multiple-person interactions in a visual surveillance task. In the latter case, the system is particularly concerned with detecting when interactions between people occur, and classifying them. Graphical models, such as Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) [6] and Coupled Hidden Markov Models (CHMMs) [3, 2], seem appropriate for modeling and, classifying human behaviors because they offer dynamic time warping, a well-understood training algorithm, and a clear Bayesian semantics for both individual (HMMs) and interacting or coupled (CHMMs) generative processes. A major problem with this data-driven statistical approach, especially when modeling rare or anomalous behaviors, is the limited number of training examples. A major emphasis of our work, therefore, is on efficient Bayesian integration of both prior knowledge with evidence from data. We will show that for situations involving multiple independent (or partially independent) agents the Coupled HMM approach generates much better results than traditional HMM methods. In addition, we have developed a synthetic agent or Alife modeling environment for building and training flexible a priori models of various behaviors using software agents. Simulation with these software agents yields synthetic data that can be used to train prior models. These prior models can then be used recursively in a Bayesian framework to fit real behavioral data.

Reinforcement learning methods can be used to improve the performance of local search algorithms for combinatorial optimization by learning an evaluation function that predicts the outcome of search. The evaluation function is therefore able to guide search to low-cost solutions better than can the original cost function. We describe a reinforcement learning method for enhancing local search that combines aspects of previous work by Zhang and Dietterich (1995) and Boyan and Moore (1997, Boyan 1998). In an off-line learning phase, a value function is learned that is useful for guiding search for multiple problem sizes and instances. We illustrate our technique by developing several such functions for the Dial-A-Ride Problem. Our learning-enhanced local search algorithm exhibits an improvement of more then 30% over a standard local search algorithm.

Based on a simple convexity lemma, we develop bounds for different types of Bayesian prediction errors for regression with Gaussian processes. The basic bounds are formulated for a fixed training set. Simpler expressions are obtained for sampling from an input distribution which equals the weight function of the covariance kernel, yielding asymptotically tight results. The results are compared with numerical experiments.

We present a stochastic clustering algorithm based on pairwise similarity of datapoints. Our method extends existing deterministic methods, including agglomerative algorithms, min-cut graph algorithms, and connected components. Thus it provides a common framework for all these methods. Our graph-based method differs from existing stochastic methods which are based on analogy to physical systems. The stochastic nature of our method makes it more robust against noise, including accidental edges and small spurious clusters. We demonstrate the superiority of our algorithm using an example with 3 spiraling bands and a lot of noise. 1 Introduction Clustering algorithms can be divided into two categories: those that require a vectorial representation of the data, and those which use only pairwise representation. In the former case, every data item must be represented as a vector in a real normed space, while in the second case only pairwise relations of similarity or dissimilarity are used.

This paper reveals a previously ignored connection between two important fields: regularization and independent component analysis (ICA). We show that at least one representative of a broad class of algorithms (regularizers that reduce network complexity) extracts independent features as a byproduct. This algorithm is Flat Minimum Search (FMS), a recent general method for finding low-complexity networks with high generalization capability. FMS works by minimizing both training error and required weight precision. According to our theoretical analysis the hidden layer of an FMS-trained autoassociator attempts at coding each input by a sparse code with as few simple features as possible.

We will also introduce a regularization strategy (analogous to weight decay) into boosting. This strategy uses slack variables to achieve a soft margin (section 4). Numerical experiments show the validity of our regularization approach in section 5 and finally a brief conclusion is given. 2 AdaBoost Algorithm Let {ht(x): t 1,...,T} be an ensemble of T hypotheses defined on input vector x and e

Arguably one of the most important types of information processing is the capacity for probabilistic reasoning. The properties of undirectedproDabilistic models represented as symmetric networks have been studied extensively using methods from statistical mechanics (Hertz et aI, 1991). Detailed analyses of these models are possible by exploiting averaging phenomena that occur in the thermodynamic limit of large networks. In this paper, we analyze the limit of large, multilayer networks for probabilistic models represented as directed acyclic graphs. These models are known as Bayesian networks (Pearl, 1988; Neal, 1992), and they have different probabilistic semantics than symmetric neural networks (such as Hopfield models or Boltzmann machines). We show that the intractability of exact inference in multilayer Bayesian networks Inference in Multilayer Networks via Large Deviation Bounds 261 does not preclude their effective use. Our work builds on earlier studies of variational methods (Jordan et aI, 1997).