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Bayesian Averaging is Well-Temperated
Often a learning problem has natural quantitative measure of generalization. If a loss function is defined the natural measure is the generalization error, i.e., the expected loss on a random sample independent of the training set. Generalizability is a key topic of learning theory and much progress has been reported. Analytic results for a broad class of machines can be found in the litterature [8, 12, 9, 10] describing the asymptotic generalization ability of supervised algorithms that are continuously parameterized. Asymptotic bounds on generalization for general machines have been advocated by Vapnik [11]. Generalization results valid for finite training sets can only be obtained for specific learning machines, see e.g.
Policy Gradient Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function Approximation
Sutton, Richard S., McAllester, David A., Singh, Satinder P., Mansour, Yishay
Function approximation is essential to reinforcement learning, but the standard approach of approximating a value function and determining a policy from it has so far proven theoretically intractable. In this paper we explore an alternative approach in which the policy is explicitly represented by its own function approximator, independent of the value function, and is updated according to the gradient of expected reward with respect to the policy parameters. Williams's REINFORCE method and actor-critic methods are examples of this approach. Our main new result is to show that the gradient can be written in a form suitable for estimation from experience aided by an approximate action-value or advantage function. Using this result, we prove for the first time that a version of policy iteration with arbitrary differentiable function approximation is convergent to a locally optimal policy.
Efficient Approaches to Gaussian Process Classification
Csató, Lehel, Fokoué, Ernest, Opper, Manfred, Schottky, Bernhard, Winther, Ole
The first two methods are related to mean field ideas known in Statistical Physics. The third approach is based on Bayesian online approach which was motivated by recent results in the Statistical Mechanics of Neural Networks. We present simulation results showing: 1. that the mean field Bayesian evidence may be used for hyperparameter tuning and 2. that the online approach may achieve a low training error fast. 1 Introduction Gaussian processes provide promising nonparametric Bayesian approaches to regression and classification [2, 1].
Large Margin DAGs for Multiclass Classification
Platt, John C., Cristianini, Nello, Shawe-Taylor, John
We present a new learning architecture: the Decision Directed Acyclic Graph (DDAG), which is used to combine many two-class classifiers into a multiclass classifier. For an N -class problem, the DDAG contains N(N - 1)/2 classifiers, one for each pair of classes. We present a VC analysis of the case when the node classifiers are hyperplanes; the resulting bound on the test error depends on N and on the margin achieved at the nodes, but not on the dimension of the space. This motivates an algorithm, DAGSVM, which operates in a kernel-induced feature space and uses two-class maximal margin hyperplanes at each decision-node of the DDAG. The DAGSVM is substantially faster to train and evaluate than either the standard algorithm or Max Wins, while maintaining comparable accuracy to both of these algorithms. 1 Introduction The problem of multiclass classificatIon, especially for systems like SVMs, doesn't present an easy solution. It is generally simpler to construct classifier theory and algorithms for two mutually-exclusive classes than for N mutually-exclusive classes.
The Parallel Problems Server: an Interactive Tool for Large Scale Machine Learning
Jr., Charles Lee Isbell, Husbands, Parry
Imagine that you wish to classify data consisting of tens of thousands of examples residing in a twenty thousand dimensional space. How can one apply standard machine learning algorithms? We describe the Parallel Problems Server (PPServer) and MATLAB*P. In tandem they allow users of networked computers to work transparently on large data sets from within Matlab. This work is motivated by the desire to bring the many benefits of scientific computing algorithms and computational power to machine learning researchers. We demonstrate the usefulness of the system on a number of tasks. For example, we perform independent components analysis on very large text corpora consisting of tens of thousands of documents, making minimal changes to the original Bell and Sejnowski Matlab source (Bell and Sejnowski, 1995). Applying ML techniques to data previously beyond their reach leads to interesting analyses of both data and algorithms.
Predictive Sequence Learning in Recurrent Neocortical Circuits
Rao, Rajesh P. N., Sejnowski, Terrence J.
The neocortex is characterized by an extensive system of recurrent excitatory connections between neurons in a given area. The precise computational function of this massive recurrent excitation remains unknown. Previous modeling studies have suggested a role for excitatory feedback in amplifying feedforward inputs [1]. Recently, however, it has been shown that recurrent excitatory connections between cortical neurons are modified according to a temporally asymmetric Hebbian learning rule: synapses that are activated slightly before the cell fires are strengthened whereas those that are activated slightly after are weakened [2, 3]. Information regarding the postsynaptic activity of the cell is conveyed back to the dendritic locations of synapses by back-propagating action potentials from the soma.
Building Predictive Models from Fractal Representations of Symbolic Sequences
We propose a novel approach for building finite memory predictive models similar in spirit to variable memory length Markov models (VLMMs). The models are constructed by first transforming the n-block structure of the training sequence into a spatial structure of points in a unit hypercube, such that the longer is the common suffix shared by any two n-blocks, the closer lie their point representations. Such a transformation embodies a Markov assumption - n-blocks with long common suffixes are likely to produce similar continuations. Finding a set of prediction contexts is formulated as a resource allocation problem solved by vector quantizing the spatial n-block representation. We compare our model with both the classical and variable memory length Markov models on three data sets with different memory and stochastic components. Our models have a superior performance, yet, their construction is fully automatic, which is shown to be problematic in the case of VLMMs.
Online Independent Component Analysis with Local Learning Rate Adaptation
Schraudolph, Nicol N., Giannakopoulos, Xavier
Stochastic meta-descent (SMD) is a new technique for online adaptation of local learning rates in arbitrary twice-differentiable systems. Like matrix momentum it uses full second-order information while retaining O(n) computational complexity by exploiting the efficient computation of Hessian-vector products. Here we apply SMD to independent component analysis, and employ the resulting algorithm for the blind separation of time-varying mixtures. By matching individual learning rates to the rate of change in each source signal's mixture coefficients, our technique is capable of simultaneously tracking sources that move at very different, a priori unknown speeds.
A MCMC Approach to Hierarchical Mixture Modelling
There are many hierarchical clustering algorithms available, but these lack a firm statistical basis. Here we set up a hierarchical probabilistic mixture model, where data is generated in a hierarchical tree-structured manner. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are demonstrated which can be used to sample from the posterior distribution over trees containing variable numbers of hidden units.