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Bayesian time series classification

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper proposes an approach to classification of adjacent segments of a time series as being either of classes. We use a hierarchical model that consists of a feature extraction stage and a generative classifier which is built on top of these features. Such two stage approaches are often used in signal and image processing. The novel part of our work is that we link these stages probabilistically by using a latent feature space. To use one joint model is a Bayesian requirement, which has the advantage to fuse information according to its certainty.


The Concave-Convex Procedure (CCCP)

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper describes a simple geometrical Concave-Convex procedure (CCCP) for constructing discrete time dynamical systems which can be guaranteed to decrease almost any global optimization/energy function (see technical conditions in section (2)). We prove that there is a relationship between CCCP and optimization techniques based on introducing auxiliary variables using Legendre transforms. We distinguish between Legendre min-max and Legendre minimization. In the former, see [6], the introduction of auxiliary variables converts the problem to a min-max problem where the goal is to find a saddle point. By contrast, in Legendre minimization, see [8], the problem remains a minimization one (and so it becomes easier to analyze convergence).


A Dynamic HMM for On-line Segmentation of Sequential Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a novel method for the analysis of sequential data that exhibits an inherent mode switching. In particular, the data might be a non-stationary time series from a dynamical system that switches between multiple operating modes. Unlike other approaches, our method processes the data incrementally and without any training of internal parameters. We use an HMM with a dynamically changing number of states and an online variant of the Viterbi algorithm that performs an unsupervised segmentation and classification of the data on-the-fly, i.e. the method is able to process incoming data in real-time. The main idea of the approach is to track and segment changes of the probability density of the data in a sliding window on the incoming data stream.


Information-Geometric Decomposition in Spike Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present an information-geometric measure to systematically investigate neuronal firing patterns, taking account not only of the second-order but also of higher-order interactions. We begin with the case of two neurons for illustration and show how to test whether or not any pairwise correlation in one period is significantly different from that in the other period. In order to test such a hypothesis of different firing rates, the correlation term needs to be singled out'orthogonally' to the firing rates, where the null hypothesis might not be of independent firing. This method is also shown to directly associate neural firing with behavior via their mutual information, which is decomposed into two types of information, conveyed by mean firing rate and coincident firing, respectively. Then, we show that these results, using the'orthogonal' decomposition, are naturally extended to the case of three neurons and n neurons in general. 1 Introduction Based on the theory of hierarchical structure and related invariant decomposition of interactions by information geometry [3], the present paper briefly summarizes methods useful for systematically analyzing a population of neural firing [9].


A Parallel Mixture of SVMs for Very Large Scale Problems

Neural Information Processing Systems

However, SVMs require to solve a quadratic optimization problem which needs resources that are at least quadratic in the number of training examples, and it is thus hopeless to try solving problems having millions of examples using classical SVMs. In order to overcome this drawback, we propose in this paper to use a mixture of several SVMs, each of them trained only on a part of the dataset. The idea of an SVM mixture is not new, although previous attempts such as Kwok's paper on Support Vector Mixtures [5] did not train the SVMs on part of the dataset but on the whole dataset and hence could not overcome the'Part of this work has been done while Ronan Collobert was at IDIAP, CP 592, rue du Simplon 4, 1920 Martigny, Switzerland.


Relative Density Nets: A New Way to Combine Backpropagation with HMM's

Neural Information Processing Systems

Logistic units in the first hidden layer of a feedforward neural network compute the relative probability of a data point under two Gaussians. This leads us to consider substituting other density models. We present an architecture for performing discriminative learning of Hidden Markov Models using a network of many small HMM's. Experiments on speech data show it to be superior to the standard method of discriminatively training HMM's.


Correlation Codes in Neuronal Populations

Neural Information Processing Systems

Population codes often rely on the tuning of the mean responses to the stimulus parameters. However, this information can be greatly suppressed by long range correlations. Here we study the efficiency of coding information in the second order statistics of the population responses. We show that the Fisher Information of this system grows linearly with the size of the system. We propose a bilinear readout model for extracting information from correlation codes, and evaluate its performance in discrimination and estimation tasks. It is shown that the main source of information in this system is the stimulus dependence of the variances of the single neuron responses.


Self-regulation Mechanism of Temporally Asymmetric Hebbian Plasticity

Neural Information Processing Systems

Recent biological experimental findings have shown that the synaptic plasticity depends on the relative timing of the pre-and postsynaptic spikes which determines whether Long Term Potentiation (LTP) occurs or Long Term Depression (LTD) does. The synaptic plasticity has been called "Temporally Asymmetric Hebbian plasticity (TAH)". Many authors have numerically shown that spatiotemporal patterns can be stored in neural networks. However, the mathematical mechanism for storage of the spatiotemporal patterns is still unknown, especially the effects of LTD. In this paper, we employ a simple neural network model and show that interference of LTP and LTD disappears in a sparse coding scheme. On the other hand, it is known that the covariance learning is indispensable for storing sparse patterns. We also show that TAH qualitatively has the same effect as the covariance learning when spatiotemporal patterns are embedded in the network.


Boosting and Maximum Likelihood for Exponential Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We derive an equivalence between AdaBoost and the dual of a convex optimization problem, showing that the only difference between minimizing the exponential loss used by AdaBoost and maximum likelihood for exponential models is that the latter requires the model to be normalized to form a conditional probability distribution over labels. In addition to establishing a simple and easily understood connection between the two methods, this framework enables us to derive new regularization procedures for boosting that directly correspond to penalized maximum likelihood. Experiments on UCI datasets support our theoretical analysis and give additional insight into the relationship between boosting and logistic regression.


Fast Parameter Estimation Using Green's Functions

Neural Information Processing Systems

It is well known that correct choices of hyperparameters in classification and regression tasks can optimize the complexity of the data model, and hence achieve the best generalization [1]. In recent years various methods have been proposed to estimate the optimal hyperparameters in different contexts, such as neural networks [2], support vector machines [3, 4, 5] and Gaussian processes [5]. Most of these methods are inspired by the technique of cross-validation or its variant, leave-one-out validation. While the leave-one-out procedure gives an almost unbiased estimate of the generalization error, it is nevertheless very tedious. Many of the mentioned attempts aimed at approximating this tedious procedure without really having to sweat through it.