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A New Technique for Combining Multiple Classifiers using The Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
This paper presents a new classifier combination technique based on the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is a powerful method for combining measures of evidence from different classifiers. However, since each of the available methods that estimates the evidence of classifiers has its own limitations, we propose here a new implementation which adapts to training data so that the overall mean square error is minimized. The proposed technique is shown to outperform most available classifier combination methods when tested on three different classification problems.
Compilability of Abduction
Liberatore, Paolo, Schaerf, Marco
Deduction, induction, and abduction [Pei55] are the three basic reasoning mechanisms. Deduction allows drawing conclusions from known facts using some piece of knowledge, so that "battery is down" allows concluding "car will notstart"thanks totheknowledge oftherule"if thebatteryisdown, the car will not start". Induction derives rules from the facts: from the fact that the battery is down and that the car is not starting up, we may conclude the rule relating these two facts. Abduction is the inverse of deduction (to some extent [MF96]): from the fact that the car is not starting up, we conclude that the battery is down. Clearly, this is not the only possible explanation 2 of a car not starting up.
An Analysis of Phase Transition in NK Landscapes
In this paper, we analyze the decision version of the NK landscape model from the perspective of threshold phenomena and phase transitions under two random distributions, the uniform probability model and the fixed ratio model. For the uniform probability model, we prove that the phase transition is easy in the sense that there is a polynomial algorithm that can solve a random instance of the problem with the probability asymptotic to 1 as the problem size tends to infinity. For the fixed ratio model, we establish several upper bounds for the solubility threshold, and prove that random instances with parameters above these upper bounds can be solved polynomially. This, together with our empirical study for random instances generated below and in the phase transition region, suggests that the phase transition of the fixed ratio model is also easy.
A Unified Model of Structural Organization in Language and Music
Is there a general model that can predict the perceived phrase structure in language and music? While it is usually assumed that humans have separate faculties for language and music, this work focuses on the commonalities rather than on the differences between these modalities, aiming at finding a deeper 'faculty'. Our key idea is that the perceptual system strives for the simplest structure (the 'simplicity principle'), but in doing so it is biased by the likelihood of previous structures (the 'likelihood principle'). We present a series of data-oriented parsing (DOP) models that combine these two principles and that are tested on the Penn Treebank and the Essen Folksong Collection. Our experiments show that (1) a combination of the two principles outperforms the use of either of them, and (2) exactly the same model with the same parameter setting achieves maximum accuracy for both language and music. We argue that our results suggest an interesting parallel between linguistic and musical structuring.
Strategic Design of Mobile Agents
For many individuals and organizations think example, software programs can be used to about and perform their work. Electronic commerce--the obtain cheaper prices for utilities such as basic conduct of business activities electronically telephone services. A simple program can be by digital media--is now part of installed to monitor and direct long distance everyday business. The user dials the country code, and as sharp falls in the share prices of many "dotcoms" he/she continues to dial the telephone number, since early 2000, electronic commerce is the program contacts various long distance still likely to have a major and lasting effect on providers and negotiates the best deal for its most forms of economic activities. The program can be set up to inform the Advances in web-based technologies further user about the price before the call is connected; support the growth of electronic commerce. In for example, the best rate for this call is nine particular, automation and delegation technologies--known cents a minute with no minimum charge.
Specifying Rules for Electronic Auctions
Wurman, Peter R., Wellman, Michael P., Walsh, William E.
We examine the design space of auction mechanisms and identify three core activities that structure this space. Formal parameters qualifying the performance of core activities enable precise specification of auction rules. This specification constitutes an auction description language that can be used in the implementation of configurable marketplaces. The specification also provides a framework for organizing previous work and identifying new possibilities in auction design.
Editorial
After outstanding service as Book Review Editor, B. Chandrasekaran has completed his term. His energetic guidance of the book reviews section brought the magazine a rich set of reviews that were always eagerly anticipated, and I would like to thank him for his important contributions. I am delighted to announce that Michael Wellman, of the University of Michigan, has agreed to join the magazine as the new Book Review Editor. I know that the book reviews feature will flourish under his stewardship, and I enthusiastically welcome him to the magazine. I would also like to draw readers' attention to a related addition to the AI Magazine web site (www.aimagazine.org).
AI in the News
Digital Warriors -- Artificial Intelligence the group sought white papers included: a Time. May Help Spot Future Terrorism Attacks. The have the time to follow developments in patterns and spot trouble. But he is catching up. says a well-designed computer program "Scientists at Kingston University The first corporate board Walesa, 58, has can do what humans do, and maybe even in London have developed software agreed to join is that of NuTech Solutions, do a better job at it. '[It's] the same as a able to anticipate if someone is about to a closely held company founded three '[It] investigates years ago in Charlotte, N.C., by a pair of It works by examining images coming leads, forms hypotheses, and narrows Polish immigrants. The software, called Cromatica, FBI's Most Wanted: New IT Priorities joined NuTech primarily because he is passionate And if it is 2002 (zdnet.com.com). "On NBC's'Meet which he is studying avidly.
Leveled-Commitment Contracting: A Backtracking Instrument for Multiagent Systems
Sandholm, Tuomas, Lesser, Victor
In (automated) negotiation systems for self-interested agents, contracts have traditionally been binding. They do not accommodate future events. Contingency contracts address this but are often impractical. As an alternative, we propose leveledcommitment contracts. The level of commitment is set by decommitting penalties. To be freed from the contract, an agent simply pays its penalty to the other contract party(ies). A self-interested agent will be ruluctant to decommit because some other contract party might decommit, in which case the former agent gets freed from the contract, does not incur a penalty, and collects a penalty from the other party. We show that despite such strategic decommitting, leveled commitment increases the expected payoffs of all contract parties and can enable deals that are impossible under full commitment. Different decommitting mechanisms are introduced and compared. Practical prescriptions for market designers are presented. A contract optimizer, ECOMMITTER, is provided on the web.