The partition function for a Boltzmann machine can be bounded from above and below. We can use this to bound the means and the correlations. For networks with small weights, the values of these statistics can be restricted to nontrivial regions (i.e. a subset of [-1, 1]). Experimental results show that reasonable bounding occurs for weight sizes where mean field expansions generally give good results. 1 Introduction Over the last decade, bounding techniques have become a popular tool to deal with graphical models that are too complex for exact computation. A nice property of bounds is that they give at least some information you can rely on.

We propose a new particle filter that incorporates a model of costs when generating particles. The approach is motivated by the observation that the costs of accidentally not tracking hypotheses might be significant in some areas of state space, and next to irrelevant in others. By incorporating a cost model into particle filtering, states that are more critical to the system performance are more likely to be tracked. Automatic calculation of the cost model is implemented using an MDP value function calculation that estimates the value of tracking a particular state. Experiments in two mobile robot domains illustrate the appropriateness of the approach.

In the'missing data' approach to improving the robustness of automatic speech recognition to added noise, an initial process identifies spectraltemporal regions which are dominated by the speech source. The remaining regions are considered to be'missing'. In this paper we develop a connectionist approach to the problem of adapting speech recognition to the missing data case, using Recurrent Neural Networks. In contrast to methods based on Hidden Markov Models, RNNs allow us to make use of long-term time constraints and to make the problems of classification with incomplete data and imputing missing values interact. We report encouraging results on an isolated digit recognition task.

We address two open theoretical questions in Policy Gradient Reinforcement Learning. The first concerns the efficacy of using function approximation to represent the state action value function,.

Acetylcholine (ACh) has been implicated in a wide variety of tasks involving attentional processes and plasticity. Following extensive animal studies, it has previously been suggested that ACh reports on uncertainty and controls hippocampal, cortical and cortico-amygdalar plasticity. We extend this view and consider its effects on cortical representational inference, arguing that ACh controls the balance between bottom-up inference, influenced by input stimuli, and top-down inference, influenced by contextual information. We illustrate our proposal using a hierarchical hidden Markov model.

Maximum margin classifiers such as Support Vector Machines (SVMs) critically depends upon the convex hulls of the training samples of each class, as they implicitly search for the minimum distance between the convex hulls. We propose Extrapolated Vector Machines (XVMs) which rely on extrapolations outside these convex hulls. XVMs improve SVM generalization very significantly on the MNIST [7] OCR data. They share similarities with the Fisher discriminant: maximize the inter-class margin while minimizing the intra-class disparity.

We propose the following general method for scaling learning algorithms to arbitrarily large data sets. Upper-bound the loss L(Mii' M oo) between them as a function of ii, and then minimize the algorithm's time complexity f(ii) subject to the constraint that L(Moo, Mii) be at most f with probability at most 8. We apply this method to the EM algorithm for mixtures of Gaussians. Preliminary experiments on a series of large data sets provide evidence of the potential of this approach. On the other hand, they require large computational resources to learn from.

Traditional information retrieval techniques can give poor results on the Web, with its vast scale and highly variable content quality. Recently, however, it was found that Web search results can be much improved by using the information contained in the link structure between pages. The two best-known algorithms which do this are HITS [1] and PageRank [2]. The latter is used in the highly successful Google search engine [3]. The heuristic underlying both of these approaches is that pages with many inlinks are more likely to be of high quality than pages with few inlinks, given that the author of a page will presumably include in it links to pages that s/he believes are of high quality.

Population codes often rely on the tuning of the mean responses to the stimulus parameters. However, this information can be greatly suppressed by long range correlations. Here we study the efficiency of coding information in the second order statistics of the population responses. We show that the Fisher Information of this system grows linearly with the size of the system. We propose a bilinear readout model for extracting information from correlation codes, and evaluate its performance in discrimination and estimation tasks. It is shown that the main source of information in this system is the stimulus dependence of the variances of the single neuron responses.

Discriminative classifiers model the posterior p(ylx) directly, or learn a direct map from inputs x to the class labels. There are several compelling reasons for using discriminative rather than generative classifiers, one of which, succinctly articulated by Vapnik [6], is that "one should solve the [classification] problem directly and never solve a more general problem as an intermediate step [such as modeling p(xly)]." Indeed, leaving aside computational issues and matters such as handling missing data, the prevailing consensus seems to be that discriminative classifiers are almost always to be preferred to generative ones. Another piece of prevailing folk wisdom is that the number of examples needed to fit a model is often roughly linear in the number of free parameters of a model. This has its theoretical basis in the observation that for "many" models, the VC dimension is roughly linear or at most some low-order polynomial in the number of parameters (see, e.g., [1, 3]), and it is known that sample complexity in the discriminative setting is linear in the VC dimension [6]. In this paper, we study empirically and theoretically the extent to which these beliefs are true. A parametric family of probabilistic models p(x, y) can be fit either to optimize the joint likelihood of the inputs and the labels, or fit to optimize the conditional likelihood p(ylx), or even fit to minimize the 0-1 training error obtained by thresholding p(ylx) to make predictions.