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iBOA: The Incremental Bayesian Optimization Algorithm
Pelikan, Martin, Sastry, Kumara, Goldberg, David E.
This paper proposes the incremental Bayesian optimization algorithm (iBOA), which modifies standard BOA by removing the population of solutions and using incremental updates of the Bayesian network. iBOA is shown to be able to learn and exploit unrestricted Bayesian networks using incremental techniques for updating both the structure as well as the parameters of the probabilistic model. This represents an important step toward the design of competent incremental estimation of distribution algorithms that can solve difficult nearly decomposable problems scalably and reliably.
Planning with Durative Actions in Stochastic Domains
Probabilistic planning problems are typically modeled as a Markov Decision Process (MDP). MDPs, while an otherwise expressive model, allow only for sequential, non-durative actions. This poses severe restrictions in modeling and solving a real world planning problem. We extend the MDP model to incorporate -- 1) simultaneous action execution, 2) durative actions, and 3) stochastic durations. We develop several algorithms to combat the computational explosion introduced by these features. The key theoretical ideas used in building these algorithms are -- modeling a complex problem as an MDP in extended state/action space, pruning of irrelevant actions, sampling of relevant actions, using informed heuristics to guide the search, hybridizing different planners to achieve benefits of both, approximating the problem and replanning. Our empirical evaluation illuminates the different merits in using various algorithms, viz., optimality, empirical closeness to optimality, theoretical error bounds, and speed.
MiniMaxSAT: An Efficient Weighted Max-SAT solver
Heras, F., Larrosa, J., Oliveras, A.
In this paper we introduce MiniMaxSat, a new Max-SAT solver that is built on top of MiniSat+. It incorporates the best current SAT and Max-SAT techniques. It can handle hard clauses(clauses of mandatory satisfaction as in SAT), soft clauses (clauses whose falsification is penalized by a cost as in Max-SAT) as well as pseudo-boolean objective functions and constraints. Its main features are: learning and backjumping on hard clauses; resolution-based and substraction-based lower bounding; and lazy propagation with the two-watched literal scheme. Our empirical evaluation comparing a wide set of solving alternatives on a broad set of optimization benchmarks indicates that the performance of MiniMaxSat is usually close to the best specialized alternative and, in some cases, even better.
Common knowledge logic in a higher order proof assistant?
This paper presents experiments on common knowledge logic, conducted with the help of the proof assistant Coq. The main feature of common knowledge logic is the eponymous modality that says that a group of agents shares a knowledge about a certain proposition in a inductive way. This modality is specified by using a fixpoint approach. Furthermore, from these experiments, we discuss and compare the structure of theorems that can be proved in specific theories that use common knowledge logic. Those structures manifests the interplay between the theory (as implemented in the proof assistant Coq) and the metatheory.
Parameterizations and fitting of bi-directed graph models to categorical data
Lupparelli, Monia, Marchetti, Giovanni M., Bergsma, Wicher P.
We discuss two parameterizations of models for marginal independencies for discrete distributions which are representable by bi-directed graph models, under the global Markov property. Such models are useful data analytic tools especially if used in combination with other graphical models. The first parameterization, in the saturated case, is also known as the multivariate logistic transformation, the second is a variant that allows, in some (but not all) cases, variation independent parameters. An algorithm for maximum likelihood fitting is proposed, based on an extension of the Aitchison and Silvey method.
Imprecise probability trees: Bridging two theories of imprecise probability
de Cooman, Gert, Hermans, Filip
We give an overview of two approaches to probability theory where lower and upper probabilities, rather than probabilities, are used: Walley's behavioural theory of imprecise probabilities, and Shafer and Vovk's game-theoretic account of probability. We show that the two theories are more closely related than would be suspected at first sight, and we establish a correspondence between them that (i) has an interesting interpretation, and (ii) allows us to freely import results from one theory into the other. Our approach leads to an account of probability trees and random processes in the framework of Walley's theory. We indicate how our results can be used to reduce the computational complexity of dealing with imprecision in probability trees, and we prove an interesting and quite general version of the weak law of large numbers.
Le terme et le concept : fondements d'une ontoterminologie
Most definitions of ontology, viewed as a "specification of a conceptualization", agree on the fact that if an ontology can take different forms, it necessarily includes a vocabulary of terms and some specification of their meaning in relation to the domain's conceptualization. And as domain knowledge is mainly conveyed through scientific and technical texts, we can hope to extract some useful information from them for building ontology. But is it as simple as this? In this article we shall see that the lexical structure, i.e. the network of words linked by linguistic relationships, does not necessarily match the domain conceptualization. We have to bear in mind that writing documents is the concern of textual linguistics, of which one of the principles is the incompleteness of text, whereas building ontology - viewed as task-independent knowledge - is concerned with conceptualization based on formal and not natural languages. Nevertheless, the famous Sapir and Whorf hypothesis, concerning the interdependence of thought and language, is also applicable to formal languages. This means that the way an ontology is built and a concept is defined depends directly on the formal language which is used; and the results will not be the same. The introduction of the notion of ontoterminology allows to take into account epistemological principles for formal ontology building.
Batch kernel SOM and related Laplacian methods for social network analysis
Boulet, Romain, Jouve, Bertrand, Rossi, Fabrice, Villa, Nathalie
Large graphs are natural mathematical models for describing the structure of the data in a wide variety of fields, such as web mining, social networks, information retrieval, biological networks, etc. For all these applications, automatic tools are required to get a synthetic view of the graph and to reach a good understanding of the underlying problem. In particular, discovering groups of tightly connected vertices and understanding the relations between those groups is very important in practice. This paper shows how a kernel version of the batch Self Organizing Map can be used to achieve these goals via kernels derived from the Laplacian matrix of the graph, especially when it is used in conjunction with more classical methods based on the spectral analysis of the graph. The proposed method is used to explore the structure of a medieval social network modeled through a weighted graph that has been directly built from a large corpus of agrarian contracts.
Toward a statistical mechanics of four letter words
Stephens, Greg J., Bialek, William
Princeton Center for Theoretical Physics, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544 USA (Dated: December 13, 2021) We consider words as a network of interacting letters, and approximate the probability distribution of states taken on by this network. Despite the intuition that the rules of English spelling are highly combinatorial (and arbitrary), we find that maximum entropy models consistent with pairwise correlations among letters provide a surprisingly good approximation to the full statistics of four letter words, capturing 92% of the multi-information among letters and even'discovering' real words that were not represented in the data from which the pairwise correlations were estimated. The maximum entropy model defines an energy landscape on the space of possible words, and local minima in this landscape account for nearly two-thirds of words used in written English. Many complex systems convey an impression of order into these controversies about language in the broad that is not so easily captured by the traditional tools of sense, but rather to test the power of pairwise interactions theoretical physics. Thus, it is not clear what sort of to capture seemingly complex structure.