The most common solution concept for a strategic interaction situation is the Nash equilibrium, in which no agent can do better by deviating unilaterally. However, the Nash equilibrium underlays on the assumption of common information that is hardly verified in many practical situations. When information is not common, rational agents are assumed to learn from their observations to derive beliefs over their opponents' play and payoffs. In these situations, there are steady states composed of beliefs and strategies in which the strategies do not constitute a Nash equilibrium. These stable states are called in the game theory literature self-confirming equilibria. They are such that every agent plays the best response to her beliefs and these are correct on the equilibrium path, while off the equilibrium path they may be incorrect. We present some mathematical programming formulations for computing self-confirming equilibria and its refinements in two-player extensive-form games and we study their properties.

Early detection of cognitive impairment can prevent or delay the progress of cognitive dysfunction. In the field of neurology, the Clock Drawing Test (CDT) is one of the most popular instruments for detecting cognitive impairment. This paper presents the development of the ClockReader system, a computerized Clock Drawing Test. The main function of the system is to automate error handling in handwriting recognition. Since the ClockReader is a screening tool for dementia, it is not desirable to ask the users to fix their input errors in the drawing of either numbers or characters. Therefore, we propose a simple machine learning technique, context-bounded refinement filter algorithm. With trial experiments, we prove that this simple algorithm improves the recognizer accuracy of handwriting in clock drawings up to 88%.

Since the expert systems movement of the 1980s and 1990s, - Joint inference between expert knowledge and general AI has had the dream of reproducing expert behavior in specialized Commonsense background knowledge; domains of knowledge, such as medicine or engineering, - Efficient inference, both forward and backward, of plausible by collecting knowledge from human experts. But assertions. the first generations of expert systems suffered from two problems -- first, the difficulty of knowledge engineering

Collaborative filtering systems have been developed to manage information overload and improve discourse in online communities. In such systems, users rank content provided by other users on the validity or usefulness within their particular context. The goal is that "good" content will rise to prominence and "bad" content will fade into obscurity. These filtering mechanisms are not well-understood and have known weaknesses. For example, they depend on the presence of a large crowd to rate content, but such a crowd may not be present. Additionally, the community's decisions determine which voices will reach a large audience and which will be silenced, but it is not known if these decisions represent "the wisdom of crowds" or a "censoring mob." Our approach uses statistical machine learning to predict community ratings. By extracting features that replicate the community's verdict, we can better understand collaborative filtering, improve the way the community uses the ratings of their members, and design agents that augment community decision-making. Slashdot is an example of such a community where peers will rate each others' comments based on their relevance to the post. This work extracts a wide variety of features from the Slashdot metadata and posts' linguistic contents to identify features that can predict the community rating. We find that author reputation, use of pronouns, and author sentiment are salient. We achieve 76% accuracy predicting community ratings as good, neutral, or bad.

Providing energy conservation services becomes a hot research topic because more and more people attach importance to environmental protection. This research proposes a framework that consists of four process models: appliance recognition, activity-appliances model, unattended appliances detection, and energy conservation service. Appliance recognition model can recognizes the operating states of appliances from raw sensing data of electric power. An activity-appliances model has been built to associate activities with appliances according to the data of Open Mind Common Sense Project. Using the relationship between activities can help to detect unattended appliances, which are consuming electric power but not take part in the resident’s activities. After obtain information of appliance operating states and unattended appliances, residents can receive energy conservation services for notifying the energy consumption information. Finally, the experimental results show that dynamic Baysian network approach can achieve higher than 92% accuracy for appliance recognition. Data of activity-appliances model shows most appliances are strong activity-related.

Present-day programs are brittle as computers are notoriously lacking in common sense. While significant progress has been made in building large common sense knowledge bases, they are intrinsically incomplete and inconsistent. This paper presents a novel approach to bridging the gaps between multiple knowledge bases, making it possible to answer queries based on knowledge collected from multiple sources without a common ontology. New assertions are found by computing graph similarity with principle component analysis to draw analogies across multiple knowledge bases. Experiments are designed to find new assertions for a Chinese commonsense knowledge base using the OMCS ConceptNet and similarly for WordNet. The assertions are voted by online users to verify that 75.77% / 77.59% for Chinese ConceptNet / WordNet respectively are good, despite the low overlap in coverage among the knowledge bases.

Most of the existing weight-learning algorithms for Markov Logic Networks (MLNs) use batch training which becomes computationally expensive and even infeasible for very large datasets since the training examples may not fit in main memory. To overcome this problem, previous work has used online learning algorithms to learn weights for MLNs. However, this prior work has only applied existing online algorithms, and there is no comprehensive study of online weight learning for MLNs. In this paper, we derive new online algorithms for structured prediction using the primal-dual framework, apply them to learn weights for MLNs, and compare against existing online algorithms on two large, real-world datasets. The experimental results show that the new algorithms achieve better accuracy than existing methods.

Based on a typology of five basic forms of abduction, I propose a new definition of abductive insight that empha sizes in particular the inferential structure of a belief system that is able to explain a phenomenon after a new, abductive ly created component has been added to this system or the entire system has been abductively restructured. My thesis is, first, that the argumentative structure of the pursued problem solution guides abductive creativity and, second, that diagrammatic reasoning—if conceptualized according to the requirements defined by Charles Peirce—can support this guidance. This support is mainly possible based on the normative power of the system of representation that has to be used to construct diagrams and to perform experiments with them.

The social and collaborative nature of dialogue challenges A spoken dialogue system (SDS) has a social role: it supposedly an SDS in many ways. The spontaneity of dialogue gives allows people to communicate with a computer in rise to disfluencies, where a person repeats or interrupts ordinary language. A robust SDS should support coherent herself, produces filled pauses or false starts and selfrepairs. Disfluencies play a fundamental role in dialogue, and habitable dialogue, even when it confronts situations as signals for turn-taking (Gravano, 2009; Sacks, Schegloff for which it has no explicit pre-specified behavior. To ensure robust task completion, however, SDS designers typically and Jefferson, 1974) and for grounding to establish shared produce systems that make a sequence of rigid demands beliefs about the current state of mutual understanding on the user, and thereby lose any semblance of natural (Clark and Schaefer, 1989). Most SDSs handle the content dialogue. The thesis of our work is that a dialogue of the user's utterances, but do not fully integrate the way they address utterance meaning, disfluencies, turn-taking should evolve as a set of agreements that arise from joint and the collaborative nature of grounding.

The overall goal of our research is the automatic recognition of the intended message of a grouped bar chart. This paper presents our preliminary work on a system that utilizes the communicative signals in a grouped bar chart as evidence in a Bayesian network that hypothesizes the primary message conveyed by the graphic. The paper discusses the kinds of communicative signals present in grouped bar charts and an ACT-R model for computationalizing one important communicative signal, the relative effort involved in performing the perceptual tasks necessary for the recognition. It also describes our Bayesian network and its implementation on a subset of the kinds of messages that can be conveyed by grouped bar charts.