Our emotional state influences our choices. Research on how it happens usually comes from the lab. We know relatively little about how real world emotions affect real world settings, like financial markets. Here, we demonstrate that estimating emotions from weblogs provides novel information about future stock market prices. That is, it provides information not already apparent from market data. Specifically, we estimate anxiety, worry and fear from a dataset of over 20 million posts made on the site LiveJournal. Using a Granger-causal framework, we find that increases in expressions of anxiety, evidenced by computationally-identified linguistic features, predict downward pressure on the S&P 500 index. We also present a confirmation of this result via Monte Carlo simulation. The findings show how the mood of millions in a large online community, even one that primarily discusses daily life, can anticipate changes in a seemingly unrelated system. Beyond this, the results suggest new ways to gauge public opinion and predict its impact.

Reaching hundreds of millions of users, major social networks have become important target media for spammers. Although practical techniques such as collaborative filters and behavioral analysis are able to reduce spam, they have an inherent lag (to collect sufficient data on the spammer) that also limits their effectiveness. Through an experimental study of over 1.9 million MySpace profiles, we make a case for analysis of static user profile content, possibly as soon as such profiles are created. We compare several machine learning algorithms in their ability to distinguish spam profiles from legitimate profiles. We found that a C4.5 decision tree algorithm achieves the highest accuracy (99.4%) of finding rogue profiles, while naïve Bayes achieves a lower accuracy (92.6%). We also conducted a sensitivity analysis of the algorithms w.r.t. features which may be easily removed by spammers.

This paper examines social structures underlying economic activity in Second Life (SL), a massively multiplayer virtual world that allows users to create and trade virtual objects and commodities. We find that users conduct many of their transactions both within their social networks and within groups. Using frequency of chat as a proxy of tie strength, we observe that free items are more likely to be exchanged as the strength of the tie increases. Social ties particularly play a significant role in paid transactions for sellers with a moderately sized customer base. We further find that sellers enjoying repeat business are likely to be selling to niche markets, because their customers tend to be contained in a smaller number of groups. But while social structure and interaction can help explain a seller's revenues and repeat business, they provide little information in the forecasting a seller's future performance. Our quantitative analysis is complemented by a novel method of visualizing the transaction activity of a seller, including revenue, customer base growth, and repeat business.

We discuss how to use a Genetic Regulatory Network as an evolutionary representation to solve a typical GP reinforcement problem, the pole balancing. The network is a modified version of an Artificial Regulatory Network proposed a few years ago, and the task could be solved only by finding a proper way of connecting inputs and outputs to the network. We show that the representation is able to generalize well over the problem domain, and discuss the performance of different models of this kind.

Preventive maintenance schedules occurring in industry are often suboptimal with regard to maintenance coal-location, loss-of-production costs and availability. We describe the implementation and deployment of a software decision support tool for the maintenance planning of gas turbines, with the goal of reducing the direct maintenance costs and the often costly production losses during maintenance downtime. The optimization problem is formally defined, and we argue that the feasibility version is NP-complete. We outline a heuristic algorithm that can quickly solve the problem for practical purposes and validate the approach on a real-world scenario based on an oil production facility. We also compare the performance of our algorithm with results from using integer programming, and discuss the deployment of the application. The experimental results indicate that downtime reductions up to 65% can be achieved, compared to traditional preventive maintenance. In addition, the use of our tool is expected to improve availability with up to 1% and reduce the number of planned maintenance days by 12%. Compared to a integer programming approach, our algorithm is not optimal, but is much faster and produces results which are useful in practice. Our test results and SIT AB’s estimates based< on operational use both indicate that significant savings can be achieved by using our software tool, compared to maintenance plans with fixed intervals.

We report on the staging of the third competition on knowledge engineering for AI planning and scheduling systems, held during ICAPS-09 at Thessaloniki, Greece in September 2009. We give an overview of how the competition has developed since its first run in 2005, and its relationship with the AI planning field. This run of the competition focused on translators that when input with some formal description in an application-area-specific language, output solver-ready domain models. Despite a fairly narrow focus within knowledge engineering, seven teams took part in what turned out to be a very interesting and successful competition.

The poker AAAI membership is required for eligibility.

IEA/AIE-10 will be held June 1-4, 2010, in Cordoba, Spain. AI Twelfth International Conference Magazine also maintains a calendar listing that includes nonaffiliated conferences on Enterprise Information Systems. ICEIS 2010 will be held June 8-12, 2010, in Funchal, Portugal. AAAI-12 and Seventh International Conference Fourth International Conference on IAAI-12 will be held July 22-26, 2012, on Informatics in Control, Automation Weblogs and Social Media. AAAI-10 and IAAI-10 will be held July and Reasoning.

These formalisms have in common the use of certain kinds of constructs (for example, objects, goals, skills, and tasks) that represent knowledge of varying degrees of complexity and that are connected through structural relations. In recent years, we have observed increasing interest toward the problem of learning such structural knowledge from observations. These observations range from traces generated by an automated planner to video feeds from a robot performing some actions. The goal of the workshop was to bring researchers together from machine learning, automated planning, case-based reasoning, cognitive science, and other communities that are looking into instances of this problem and to share ideas and perspectives in a common forum.

The conference Robotics: Science and Systems was held at the University of Washington in Seattle, from June 28 to July 1, 2009. More than 300 international researchers attended this single‐track conference to learn about the most exciting robotics research and most advanced robotic systems. The program committee selected 39 papers out of 154 submissions. The program also included invited talks. The plenary presentations were complemented by workshops.