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Real-Time Filtering for Pulsing Public Opinion in Social Media

AAAI Conferences

When analysing social media conversations, in search of the public opinion about an unfolding event that is be- ing discussed in real-time (e.g., presidential debates, major speeches, etc.), it is important to distinguish between two groups of participants: opinion-makers and opinion-holders. To address this problem, we propose a supervised machine-learning approach, which uses inexpensively acquired labeled data from monothematic Twitter accounts to learn a binary classifier for the labels โ€œpolitical accountโ€ (opinion-makers) and โ€œnon-political accountโ€ (opinion-holders). While the classifier has a 83% accuracy on individual tweets, when applied to the last 200 tweets from accounts of a set of 1000 Twitter users, it classifies accounts with a 97% accuracy. This high accuracy derives from our decision to incorporate information about classifier probability into the classification. Our work demonstrates that machine learning algorithms can play a critical role in improving the quality of social media analytics and understanding, whose importance is increasing as social media adoption becomes widespread.


Snackbot: The Process to Engage in Human-Robot Conversation

AAAI Conferences

While delivering snacks, Snackbotโ€™s need to actively engage in conversation with the customers and other individuals, provides an approach for verbal interaction. This paper addresses the verbal human-robot interaction between humans and robots using a speech recognizer named Sphinx-4. Sphinx-4, written entirely in Java is capable of recognizing predetermined words and sentences. Thereby, allowing robots to actively engage in conversations using spoken language.


Evolving Kernel Functions with Particle Swarms and Genetic Programming

AAAI Conferences

The Support Vector Machine has gained significant popularity over recent years as a kernel-based supervised learning technique. However, choosing the appropriate kernel function and its associated parameters is not a trivial task. The kernel is often chosen from several widely-used and general-purpose functions, and the parameters are then empirically tuned for the best results on a specific data set. This paper explores the use of Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Programming as evolutionary approaches to evolve effective kernel functions for a given dataset. Rather than using expert knowledge, we evolve kernel functions without human-guided knowledge or intuition. Our results show consistently better SVM performance with evolved kernels over a variety of traditional kernels on several datasets.


A Linguistic Analysis of Expert-Generated Paraphrases

AAAI Conferences

The authors used the computational tool Coh-Metrix to examine expert writersโ€™ paraphrases and in particular, how experts paraphrase text passages using condensing strategies. The overarching goal of this study was to develop machine learning algorithms to aid in the automatic detection of paraphrases and paraphrase types. To this end, three experts were instructed to paraphrase by condensing a set of target passages. The linguistic differences between the original passages and the condensed paraphrases were then analyzed using Coh-Metrix. The condensed paraphrases were accurately distinguished from the original target passages based on the number of words, word frequency, and syntactic complexity.


Graph-Based Anomaly Detection Applied to Homeland Security Cargo Screening

AAAI Conferences

Protecting our nationโ€™s ports is a critical challenge for homeland security and requires the research, development and deployment of new technologies that will allow for the efficient securing of shipments entering this country. Most approaches look only at statistical irregularities in the attributes of the cargo, and not at the relationships of this cargo to others. However, anomalies detected in these relationships could add to the suspicion of the cargo, and therefore improve the accuracy with which we detect suspicious cargo. This paper proposes an improvement in our ability to detect suspicious cargo bound for the U.S. through a graph-based anomaly detection approach. Using anonymized data received from the Department of Homeland Security, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach and its usefulness to a homeland security analyst who is tasked with uncovering illegal and potentially dangerous cargo shipments.


Maritime Threat Detection Using Probabilistic Graphical Models

AAAI Conferences

Maritime threat detection is a challenging problem because maritime environments can involve a complex combination of concurrent vessel activities, and only a small fraction of these may be irregular, suspicious, or threatening. Previous work on this task has been limited to analyses of single vessels using simple rule-based models that alert watchstanders when a proximity threshold is breached. We claim that Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) can be used to more effectively model complex maritime situations. In this paper, we study the performance of PGMs for detecting (small boat) maritime attacks. We describe three types of PGMs that vary in their representational expressiveness and evaluate them on a threat recognition task using track data obtained from force protection naval exercises involving unmanned sea surface vehicles. We found that the best-performing PGMs can outperform the deployed rule-based approach on these tasks, though some PGMs require substantial engineering and are computationally expensive.


On the Complexity of Bribery and Manipulation in Tournaments with Uncertain Information

AAAI Conferences

We study the computational complexity of optimal bribery and manipulation schemes for sports tournaments with uncertain information: cup; challenge or caterpillar; and round robin. Our results carry over to the equivalent voting rules: sequential pair-wise elections, cup, and Copeland, when the set of candidates is exactly the set of voters. This restriction creates new difficulties for most existing algorithms. The complexity of bribery and manipulation are well studied, almost always assuming deterministic information about votes and results. We assume that for candidates i and j the probability that i beats j and the costs of lowering each probability by fixed increments are known to the manipulators. We provide complexity analyses for cup, challenge, and round robin competitions ranging from polynomial time to NP^PP. This shows that the introduction of uncertainty into the reasoning process drastically increases the complexity of bribery problems in some instances.


Automated Weather Sensor Quality Control

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we investigate the application of data mining to existing techniques for quality control/anomaly detection on weather sensor observations. Specifically we adapt the popular Barnes Spatial interpolation method to use time-series distance rather than spatial distance to develop an online algorithm that uses readings from similar stations based on current and historical observations for interpolation and we demonstrate that this new algorithm exhibits less model error than the Barnes Spatial interpolation-based method. We focus on interpolation, which is a basis for this popular quality control method and other related methods, and examine a dataset of over 233 million temperature observations from California and surrounding areas. Our approach shows improved performance as indicated by mean squared error reduced by approximately one half for predicted values versus reported values.


Integer Sparse Distributed Memory

AAAI Conferences

Sparse distributed memory is an auto-associative memory system that stores high dimensional Boolean vectors. Here we present an extension of the original SDM, the Integer SDM that uses modular arithmetic integer vectors rather than binary vectors. This extension preserves many of the desirable properties of the original SDM: auto-associativity, content addressability, distributed storage, and robustness over noisy inputs. In addition, it improves the representation capabilities of the memory and is more robust over normalization. It can also be extended to support forgetting and reliable sequence storage.


Invited Talks

AAAI Conferences

Bill Swartout Introduced by Alan Kay at XEROX PARC in the 1970's, the desktop metaphor, which was later adopted in the Macintosh and Windows operating systems, has become the primary way we think about interacting with computers. Over the last decade, we have been developing sophisticated virtual humans at the USC Institute for Creative Technologies.