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Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System using Dempster-Shafer Theory and Web Mapping
Maseleno, Andino, Hasan, Md. Mahmud
Based on Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza (H5N1) Reported to World Health Organization (WHO) in the 2011 from 15 countries, Indonesia has the largest number death because Avian Influenza which 146 deaths. In this research, the researcher built a Web Mapping and Dempster-Shafer theory as early warning system of avian influenza. Early warning is the provision of timely and effective information, through identified institutions, that allows individuals exposed to a hazard to take action to avoid or reduce their risk and prepare for effective response. In this paper as example we use five symptoms as major symptoms which include depression, combs, wattle, bluish face region, swollen face region, narrowness of eyes, and balance disorders. Research location is in the Lampung Province, South Sumatera. The researcher reason to choose Lampung Province in South Sumatera on the basis that has a high poultry population. Geographically, Lampung province is located at 103040' to 105050' East Longitude and 6045' - 3045' South latitude, confined with: South Sumatera and Bengkulu on North Side, Sunda Strait on the Side, Java Sea on the East Side, Indonesia Ocean on the West Side. Our approach uses Dempster Shafer theory to combine beliefs in certain hypotheses under conditions of uncertainty and ignorance, and allows quantitative measurement of the belief and plausibility in our identification result. Web Mapping is also used for displaying maps on a screen to visualize the result of the identification process. The result reveal that avian influenza warning system has successfully identified the existence of avian influenza and the maps can be displayed as the visualization.
EP-GIG Priors and Applications in Bayesian Sparse Learning
Zhang, Zhihua, Wang, Shusen, Liu, Dehua, Jordan, Michael I.
In this paper we propose a novel framework for the construction of sparsity-inducing priors. In particular, we define such priors as a mixture of exponential power distributions with a generalized inverse Gaussian density (EP-GIG). EP-GIG is a variant of generalized hyperbolic distributions, and the special cases include Gaussian scale mixtures and Laplace scale mixtures. Furthermore, Laplace scale mixtures can subserve a Bayesian framework for sparse learning with nonconvex penalization. The densities of EP-GIG can be explicitly expressed. Moreover, the corresponding posterior distribution also follows a generalized inverse Gaussian distribution. These properties lead us to EM algorithms for Bayesian sparse learning. We show that these algorithms bear an interesting resemblance to iteratively re-weighted $\ell_2$ or $\ell_1$ methods. In addition, we present two extensions for grouped variable selection and logistic regression.
Green's function based unparameterised multi-dimensional kernel density and likelihood ratio estimator
Kovesarki, Peter, Brock, Ian C., Quiroz, A. Elizabeth Nuncio
This paper introduces a probability density estimator based on Green's function identities. A density model is constructed under the sole assumption that the probability density is differentiable. The method is implemented as a binary likelihood estimator for classification purposes, so issues such as mis-modeling and overtraining are also discussed. The identity behind the density estimator can be interpreted as a real-valued, non-scalar kernel method which is able to reconstruct differentiable density functions.
An existing, ecologically-successful genus of collectively intelligent artificial creatures
ABSTRACT People sometimes worry about the Singularity (Vinge 1993, Kurzweil 2005), or about the world being taken over by artificially intelligent robots. I believe the risks of these are very small. However, few people recognize that we already share our world with artificial creatures that participate as intelligent agents in our society: corporations. Our planet is inhabited by two distinct kinds of intelligent beings -- individual humans and corporate entities -- whose natures and interests are intimately linked. To coexist well, we need to find ways to define the rights and responsibilities of both individual humans and corporate entities, and to find ways to ensure that corporate entities behave as responsible members of society. CORPORATIONS ARE INTELLIGENT AGENTS A corporation is an artificial legal entity, created by the state through a particular kind of legal agreement. A corporation can own property, can sign contracts, can sue and be sued in court, and can be prosecuted and punished for crimes. It can act as an economic agent on its own behalf in our society. A corporation can have goals, can make plans to achieve those goals, and can use its resources to act to carry out those plans. It solves problems and makes decisions about how best to achieve its goals, so it can be considered as an intelligent agent, as defined by a leading text in Artificial Intelligence (Russell & Norvig 2010, p. 34). An agent is anything that can be viewed as perceiving its environment through sensors and acting upon that environment through actuators.... A human agent has eyes, ears, and other organs for sensors and hands, legs, vocal tract, and so on for actuators.
Solution Representations and Local Search for the bi-objective Inventory Routing Problem
Barthรฉlemy, Thibaut, Geiger, Martin Josef, Sevaux, Marc
The solution of the biobjective IRP is rather challenging, even for metaheuristics. We are still lacking a profound understanding of appropriate solution representations and effective neighborhood structures. Clearly, both the delivery volumes and the routing aspects of the alternatives need to be reflected in an encoding, and must be modified when searching by means of local search. Our work contributes to the better understanding of such solution representations. On the basis of an experimental investigation, the advantages and drawbacks of two encodings are studied and compared.
Towards an Integrated Visualization Of Semantically Enriched 3D City Models: An Ontology of 3D Visualization Techniques
Mรฉtral, Claudine, Ghoula, Nizar, Falquet, Gilles
Such uses are made possible by using semantically enriched 3D city models and by presenting such enriched 3D city models in a way that allows decision-making processes to be carried out from the best choices among sets of objectives, and across issues and scales. In order to help in such a decision-making process we have defined a framework to find the best visualization technique(s) for a set of potentially heterogeneous data that have to be visualized within the same 3D city model, in order to perform a given task in a specific context. We have chosen an ontology-based approach. This approach and the specification and use of the resulting ontology of 3D visualization techniques are described in this paper.
Fuzzy Dynamical Genetic Programming in XCSF
Preen, Richard J., Bull, Larry
A number of representation schemes have been presented for use within Learning Classifier Systems, ranging from binary encodings to Neural Networks, and more recently Dynamical Genetic Programming (DGP). This paper presents results from an investigation into using a fuzzy DGP representation within the XCSF Learning Classifier System. In particular, asynchronous Fuzzy Logic Networks are used to represent the traditional condition-action production system rules. It is shown possible to use self-adaptive, open-ended evolution to design an ensemble of such fuzzy dynamical systems within XCSF to solve several well-known continuous-valued test problems.
Regularized Partial Least Squares with an Application to NMR Spectroscopy
Allen, Genevera I., Peterson, Christine, Vannucci, Marina, Maletic-Savatic, Mirjana
Department of Statistics, Rice University Abstract High-dimensional data common in genomics, proteomics, and chemometrics often contains complicated correlation structures. Recently, partial least squares (PLS) and Sparse PLS methods have gained attention in these areas as dimension reduction techniques in the context of supervised data analysis. We introduce a framework for Regularized PLS by solving a relaxation of the SIMPLS optimization problem with penalties on the PLS loadings vectors. Our approach enjoys many advantages including flexibility, general penalties, easy interpretation of results, and fast computation in high-dimensional settings. We also outline extensions of our methods leading to novel methods for Nonnegative PLS and Generalized PLS, an adaption of PLS for structured data. We demonstrate the utility of our methods through simulations and a case study on proton Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) spectroscopy data. To whom correspondence should be addressed; Department of Statistics, Rice University, MS 138, 6100 Main St., Houston, TX 77005 (email: gallen@rice.edu) 1 Introduction Technologies to measure high-throughput biomedical data in proteomics, chemometrics, and genomics have led to a proliferation of high-dimensional data that pose many statistical challenges. As genes, proteins, and metabolites, are biologically interconnected, the variables in these data sets are often highly correlated. In this context, several have recently advocated using partial least squares (PLS) for dimension reduction of supervised data, or data with a response or labels (Nguyen and Rocke, 2002b; Boulesteix and Strimmer, 2007; Rossouw et al., 2008; Chun and Keleล, 2010). First introduced by Wold (1966) as a regression method that uses least squares on a set of derived inputs accounting for multi-colinearities, others have since proposed alternative methods for PLS with multiple responses (de Jong, 1993) and for classification (Marx, 1996; Barker and Rayens, 2003).
Distributed Iterative Processing for Interference Channels with Receiver Cooperation
Badiu, Mihai-Alin, Manchรณn, Carles Navarro, Bota, Vasile, Fleury, Bernard Henri
We propose a framework for the derivation and evaluation of distributed iterative algorithms for receiver cooperation in interference-limited wireless systems. Our approach views the processing within and collaboration between receivers as the solution to an inference problem in the probabilistic model of the whole system. The probabilistic model is formulated to explicitly incorporate the receivers' ability to share information of a predefined type. We employ a recently proposed unified message-passing tool to infer the variables of interest in the factor graph representation of the probabilistic model. The exchange of information between receivers arises in the form of passing messages along some specific edges of the factor graph; the rate of updating and passing these messages determines the communication overhead associated with cooperation. Simulation results illustrate the high performance of the proposed algorithm even with a low number of message exchanges between receivers.
Eliminating the Weakest Link: Making Manipulation Intractable?
Davies, Jessica, Narodytska, Nina, Walsh, Toby
Successive elimination of candidates is often a route to making manipulation intractable to compute. We prove that eliminating candidates does not necessarily increase the computational complexity of manipulation. However, for many voting rules used in practice, the computational complexity increases. For example, it is already known that it is NP-hard to compute how a single voter can manipulate the result of single transferable voting (the elimination version of plurality voting). We show here that it is NP-hard to compute how a single voter can manipulate the result of the elimination version of veto voting, of the closely related Coombs' rule, and of the elimination versions of a general class of scoring rules.