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A Method for Comparing Hedge Funds
The paper presents new machine learning methods: signal composition, which classifies time-series regardless of length, type, and quantity; and self-labeling, a supervised-learning enhancement. The paper describes further the implementation of the methods on a financial search engine system to identify behavioral similarities among time-series representing monthly returns of 11,312 hedge funds operated during approximately one decade (2000 - 2010). The presented approach of cross-category and cross-location classification assists the investor to identify alternative investments.
Inverse Signal Classification for Financial Instruments
The paper presents new machine learning methods: signal composition, which classifies time-series regardless of length, type, and quantity; and self-labeling, a supervised-learning enhancement. The paper describes further the implementation of the methods on a financial search engine system using a collection of 7,881 financial instruments traded during 2011 to identify inverse behavior among the time-series.
On the convergence of maximum variance unfolding
Arias-Castro, Ery, Pelletier, Bruno
Maximum Variance Unfolding is one of the main methods for (nonlinear) dimensionality reduction. We study its large sample limit, providing specific rates of convergence under standard assumptions. We find that it is consistent when the underlying submanifold is isometric to a convex subset, and we provide some simple examples where it fails to be consistent.
Bio-Signals-based Situation Comparison Approach to Predict Pain
This paper describes a time-series-based classification approach to identify similarities between bio-medical-based situations. The proposed approach allows classifying collections of time-series representing bio-medical measurements, i.e., situations, regardless of the type, the length and the quantity of the time-series a situation comprised of.
Better subset regression
To find efficient screening methods for high dimensional linear regression models, this paper studies the relationship between model fitting and screening performance. Under a sparsity assumption, we show that a subset that includes the true submodel always yields smaller residual sum of squares (i.e., has better model fitting) than all that do not in a general asymptotic setting. This indicates that, for screening important variables, we could follow a "better fitting, better screening" rule, i.e., pick a "better" subset that has better model fitting. To seek such a better subset, we consider the optimization problem associated with best subset regression. An EM algorithm, called orthogonalizing subset screening, and its accelerating version are proposed for searching for the best subset. Although the two algorithms cannot guarantee that a subset they yield is the best, their monotonicity property makes the subset have better model fitting than initial subsets generated by popular screening methods, and thus the subset can have better screening performance asymptotically. Simulation results show that our methods are very competitive in high dimensional variable screening even for finite sample sizes.
Margins, Shrinkage, and Boosting
This manuscript shows that AdaBoost and its immediate variants can produce approximate maximum margin classifiers simply by scaling step size choices with a fixed small constant. In this way, when the unscaled step size is an optimal choice, these results provide guarantees for Friedman's empirically successful "shrinkage" procedure for gradient boosting (Friedman, 2000). Guarantees are also provided for a variety of other step sizes, affirming the intuition that increasingly regularized line searches provide improved margin guarantees. The results hold for the exponential loss and similar losses, most notably the logistic loss.
Topic Discovery through Data Dependent and Random Projections
Ding, Weicong, Rohban, Mohammad H., Ishwar, Prakash, Saligrama, Venkatesh
We present algorithms for topic modeling based on the geometry of cross-document word-frequency patterns. This perspective gains significance under the so called separability condition. This is a condition on existence of novel-words that are unique to each topic. We present a suite of highly efficient algorithms based on data-dependent and random projections of word-frequency patterns to identify novel words and associated topics. We will also discuss the statistical guarantees of the data-dependent projections method based on two mild assumptions on the prior density of topic document matrix. Our key insight here is that the maximum and minimum values of cross-document frequency patterns projected along any direction are associated with novel words. While our sample complexity bounds for topic recovery are similar to the state-of-art, the computational complexity of our random projection scheme scales linearly with the number of documents and the number of words per document. We present several experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets to demonstrate qualitative and quantitative merits of our scheme.
A General Iterative Shrinkage and Thresholding Algorithm for Non-convex Regularized Optimization Problems
Gong, Pinghua, Zhang, Changshui, Lu, Zhaosong, Huang, Jianhua, Ye, Jieping
Non-convex sparsity-inducing penalties have recently received considerable attentions in sparse learning. Recent theoretical investigations have demonstrated their superiority over the convex counterparts in several sparse learning settings. However, solving the non-convex optimization problems associated with non-convex penalties remains a big challenge. A commonly used approach is the Multi-Stage (MS) convex relaxation (or DC programming), which relaxes the original non-convex problem to a sequence of convex problems. This approach is usually not very practical for large-scale problems because its computational cost is a multiple of solving a single convex problem. In this paper, we propose a General Iterative Shrinkage and Thresholding (GIST) algorithm to solve the nonconvex optimization problem for a large class of non-convex penalties. The GIST algorithm iteratively solves a proximal operator problem, which in turn has a closed-form solution for many commonly used penalties. At each outer iteration of the algorithm, we use a line search initialized by the Barzilai-Borwein (BB) rule that allows finding an appropriate step size quickly. The paper also presents a detailed convergence analysis of the GIST algorithm. The efficiency of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated by extensive experiments on large-scale data sets.
Modeling a Sensor to Improve its Efficacy
Malakar, N. K., Gladkov, D., Knuth, K. H.
Robots rely on sensors to provide them with information about their surroundings. However, high-quality sensors can be extremely expensive and cost-prohibitive. Thus many robotic systems must make due with lower-quality sensors. Here we demonstrate via a case study how modeling a sensor can improve its efficacy when employed within a Bayesian inferential framework. As a test bed we employ a robotic arm that is designed to autonomously take its own measurements using an inexpensive LEGO light sensor to estimate the position and radius of a white circle on a black field. The light sensor integrates the light arriving from a spatially distributed region within its field of view weighted by its Spatial Sensitivity Function (SSF). We demonstrate that by incorporating an accurate model of the light sensor SSF into the likelihood function of a Bayesian inference engine, an autonomous system can make improved inferences about its surroundings. The method presented here is data-based, fairly general, and made with plug-and play in mind so that it could be implemented in similar problems.
Generating extrema approximation of analytically incomputable functions through usage of parallel computer aided genetic algorithms
Genetic algorithm (GA) is a type of algorithm inspired by the evolution of living organisms in the nature. It belongs to evolution algorithms whose idea was started by John Henry Holland, the American engineer and scientist. GA in a specific way searches in the area of solutions of a problem to find the best solution. The algorithm defines environment in which a specific population of specimens being possible solutions of the problem exists. Next, similarly to organisms in the nature, the specimens are crossbred, mutated and selection of the best solutions based on the value of adaptation function occurs. Ideas of genetic algorithm were presented in Figure 1. Figure 1.