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Pattern recognition issues on anisotropic smoothed particle hydrodynamics
This is a preliminary theoretical discussion on the computational requirements of the state of the art smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) from the optics of pattern recognition and artificial intelligence. It is pointed out in the present paper that, when including anisotropy detection to improve resolution on shock layer, SPH is a very peculiar case of unsupervised machine learning. On the other hand, the free particle nature of SPH opens an opportunity for artificial intelligence to study particles as agents acting in a collaborative framework in which the timed outcomes of a fluid simulation forms a large knowledge base, which might be very attractive in computational astrophysics phenomenological problems like self-propagating star formation.
Decision Generalisation from Game Logs in No Limit Texas Hold'em
Rubin, Jonathan (University of Auckland) | Watson, Ian (University of Auckland)
Given a set of data, recorded by observing the decisions of an expert player, we present a case-based framework that allows the successful generalisation of those decisions in the game of no limit Texas Hold'em. We address the problems of determining a suitable action abstraction and the resulting state translation that is required to map real-value bet amounts into a discrete set of abstract actions. We also detail the similarity metrics used in order to identify similar scenarios, without which no generalisation of playing decisions would be possible. We show that we were able to successfully generalise no limit betting decisions from recorded data via our agent, SartreNL, which achieved a 5th place finish out of 11 opponents at the 2012 Annual Computer Poker Competition.
Bayesian Joint Inversions for the Exploration of Earth Resources
Reid, Alistair Smyth (National ICT Australia) | OโCallaghan, Simon (National ICT Australia) | Bonilla, Edwin (National ICT Australia) | McCalman, Lachlan (National ICT Australia) | Rawling, Tim (University of Melbourne) | Ramos, Fabio (University of Sydney)
We propose a machine learning approach to geophysical inversion problems for the exploration of earth resources. Our approach is based on nonparametric Bayesian methods, specifically, Gaussian processes, and provides afull distribution over the predicted geophysical properties whilst enabling the incorporation of data from different modalities. We assess our method both qualitatively and quantitatively using a real dataset from South Australia containing gravity and drill-hole data and through simulated experiments involving gravity, drill-holes and magnetics, with the goal of characterizing rock densities. The significance of our probabilistic inversion extends to general exploration problems with potential to dramatically benefit the industry.
Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration for Irrigation Management in the Texas High Plains
Holman, Daniel Ellis (Texas Tech University andย Texas A&M AgriLife Research) | Sridharan, Mohan (Texas Tech University) | Gowda, Prasanna (United States Department of Agriculture - Agricultural Research Service) | Porter, Dana (Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service) | Marek, Thomas (Texas A&M AgriLife Research) | Howell, Terry (United States Department of Agriculture - Agricultural Research Service) | Moorhead, Jerry (United States Department of Agriculture - Agricultural Research Service)
Accurate estimates of daily crop evapotranspiration (ET) are needed for efficient irrigation management in regions where crop water demand exceeds rainfall. Daily grass or alfalfa reference ET values and crop coefficients are widely used to estimate crop water demand. Inaccurate reference ET estimates can hence have a tremendous impact on irrigation costs and the demands on freshwater resources. ET networks calculate reference ET using precise measurements of meteorological data. These networks are typically characterized by gaps in spatial coverage and lack of sufficient funding, creating an immediate need for alternative sources that can fill data gaps without high costs. Although non-agricultural weather stations provide publicly accessible meteorological data, there are concerns that the data may be unsuitable for estimating reference ET due to factors such as weather station siting, data formats and quality control issues. The objective of our research is to enable the use of alternative data sources, adapting sophisticated machine learning algorithms such as Gaussian process models and neural networks to discover and model the nonlinear relationships between non-ET weather station data and the reference ET computed by ET networks. Using data from the Texas High Plains region in the U.S., we demonstrate significant improvement in estimation accuracy in comparison with baseline regression models typically used for irrigation management applications.
Isomorph-Free Branch and Bound Search for Finite State Controllers
Grzes, Marek (University of Waterloo) | Poupart, Pascal (University of Waterloo) | Hoey, Jesse (University of Waterloo)
The recent proliferation of smart-phones and other wearable devices has lead to a surge of new mobile applications. Partially observable Markov decision processes provide a natural framework to design applications that continuously make decisions based on noisy sensor measurements. However, given the limited battery life, there is a need to minimize the amount of online computation. This can be achieved by compiling a policy into a finite state controller since there is no need for belief monitoring or online search. In this paper, we propose a new branch and bound technique to search for a good controller. In contrast to many existing algorithms for controllers, our search technique is not subject to local optima. We also show how to reduce the amount of search by avoiding the enumeration of isomorphic controllers and by taking advantage of suitable upper and lower bounds. The approach is demonstrated on several benchmark problems as well as a smart-phone application to assist persons with Alzheimer's to wayfind.
i, Poet: Automatic Chinese Poetry Composition through a Generative Summarization Framework under Constrained Optimization
Yan, Rui (National Taiwan University) | Jiang, Han (Peking University) | Lapata, Mirella (University of Edinburgh) | Lin, Shou-De (National Taiwan University) | Lv, Xueqiang (Beijing Information Science and Technology University) | Li, Xiaoming (Peking University)
Part of the long lasting cultural heritage of China is the classical ancient Chinese poems which follow strict formats and complicated linguistic rules. Automatic Chinese poetry composition by programs is considered as a challenging problem in computational linguistics and requires high Artificial Intelligence assistance, and has not been well addressed. In this paper, we formulate the poetry composition task as an optimization problem based on a generative summarization framework under several constraints. Given the user specified writing intents, the system retrieves candidate terms out of a large poem corpus, and then orders these terms to fit into poetry formats, satisfying tonal and rhythm requirements. The optimization process under constraints is conducted via iterative term substitutions till convergence, and outputs the subset with the highest utility as the generated poem. For experiments, we perform generation on large datasets of 61,960 classic poems from Tang and Song Dynasty of China. A comprehensive evaluation, using both human judgments and ROUGE scores, has demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed approach.
Action Translation in Extensive-Form Games with Large Action Spaces: Axioms, Paradoxes, and the Pseudo-Harmonic Mapping
Ganzfried, Sam (Carnegie Mellon University) | Sandholm, Tuomas (Carnegie Mellon University)
When solving extensive-form games with large action spaces, typically significant abstraction is needed to make the problem manageable from a modeling or computational perspective. When this occurs, a procedure is needed to interpret actions of the opponent that fall outside of our abstraction (by mapping them to actions in our abstraction). This is called an action translation mapping. Prior action translation mappings have been based on heuristics without theoretical justification. We show that the prior mappings are highly exploitable and that most of them violate certain natural desiderata. We present a new mapping that satisfies these desiderata and has significantly lower exploitability than the prior mappings. Furthermore, we observe that the cost of this worst-case performance benefit (low exploitability) is not high in practice; our mapping performs competitively with the prior mappings against no-limit Texas Hold'em agents submitted to the 2012 Annual Computer Poker Competition. We also observe several paradoxes that can arise when performing action abstraction and translation; for example, we show that it is possible to improve performance by including suboptimal actions in our abstraction and excluding optimal actions.
Compressive Shift Retrieval
Ohlsson, Henrik, Eldar, Yonina C., Yang, Allen Y., Sastry, S. Shankar
The classical shift retrieval problem considers two signals in vector form that are related by a shift. The problem is of great importance in many applications and is typically solved by maximizing the cross-correlation between the two signals. Inspired by compressive sensing, in this paper, we seek to estimate the shift directly from compressed signals. We show that under certain conditions, the shift can be recovered using fewer samples and less computation compared to the classical setup. Of particular interest is shift estimation from Fourier coefficients. We show that under rather mild conditions only one Fourier coefficient suffices to recover the true shift.
A better Beta for the H measure of classification performance
Hand, David J., Anagnostopoulos, Christoforos
Department of Mathematics, South Kensington Campus, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ Abstract The area under the ROC curve is widely used as a measure of performance of classification rules. However, it has recently been shown that the measure is fundamentally incoherent, in the sense that it treats the relative severities of misclassifications differently when different classifiers are used. To overcome this, [5, 6] proposed the H measure, which allows a given researcher to fix the distribution of relative severities to a classifier-independent setting on a given problem. Keywords: supervised classification, classifier performance, AUC, ROC curve, H measure 1. Introduction The aim of supervised classification is to construct a rule which will allow one to assign objects to one of M classes, on the basis of vectors of descriptive features of those objects. The rule will be constructed using a'training' set (machine learning and pattern recognition terminology) or'design' set (statistics terminology) of data which includes both descriptive vectors and true classes for a sample of objects.
An efficient model-free estimation of multiclass conditional probability
Conventional multiclass conditional probability estimation methods, such as Fisher's discriminate analysis and logistic regression, often require restrictive distributional model assumption. In this paper, a model-free estimation method is proposed to estimate multiclass conditional probability through a series of conditional quantile regression functions. Specifically, the conditional class probability is formulated as difference of corresponding cumulative distribution functions, where the cumulative distribution functions can be converted from the estimated conditional quantile regression functions. The proposed estimation method is also efficient as its computation cost does not increase exponentially with the number of classes. The theoretical and numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed estimation method is highly competitive against the existing competitors, especially when the number of classes is relatively large.