The DNR is able to purchase lands and engage in conservation easements, but there is considerable uncertainty (for the Conservation reserve design is the problem of selecting reasons enumerated above) about which lands to target, and parcels of land such that the assembled set maximizes when. Furthermore, for any parcel that is protected through some criterion pertaining to the conservation of species or purchase or easement, DNR encumbers a responsibility to natural communities (Williams, ReVelle, and Levin 2005).

For a sustainable integration of wind power into the electricity grid, a precise prediction method is required. In this work, we investigate the use of heterogeneous machine learning ensembles for wind power prediction. We first analyze homogeneous ensemble regressors that make use of a single base algorithm and compare decision trees to k-nearest neighbors and support vector regression. As next step, we construct heterogeneous ensembles that make use of multiple base algorithms and benefit from a gain of diversity of the weak predictors. In the experimental evaluation, we show that a combination of decision trees and support vector regression outperforms state-of-the-art predictors (improvements of up to 37% compared to support vector regression) as well as homogeneous ensembles while requiring a shorter runtime (speed-ups from 1.60x to 8.78x). The experiments are based on large wind time series data from simulations and real measurements.

Much AI research on computational sustainability has focused on monitoring, modeling, analysis, and optimization of existing systems and processes. In this article, we present another exciting and promising paradigm for AI research on computational sustainability that emphasizes design of new systems and processes, and, in particular, on biologically inspired design. We first characterize biologically inspired design, then examine its relationship with environmental sustainability, next present a computational model of the process of biologically inspired design, and finally describe a few computational systems for supporting biologically inspired design practice.

We motivate and develop an additive autoregressive hidden Markov model specifically designed to work on the task of energy disaggregation; that is, separating a whole-building electricity signal into its component device signals whose sum is the aggregate signal observed by a smart meter. This model assumes each device in the building operates as an individual autoregressive HMM, where hidden states represent the underlying power mode of the device and Gaussian emissions correspond to that device's power consumption. The additive property models the observed output (whole-building power signal) as the sum of the emissions of multiple hidden states (i.e., as the sum of individual consumptions of multiple devices in the building). The autoregressive property realistically models how many appliances consume energy and is a new extension to previous work using factorial HMMs for energy disaggregation. Finally, our model also includes a robust mixture component, via an L1-regularized noise term, that can absorb outliers arising in this setting from unknown or rarely-used devices. We extract the power signals and underlying state sequences of single devices in a stagewise fashion and illustrate the results of this process on the Reference Energy Disaggregation Dataset (REDD).

We propose to introduce social media opinion mining research into the field of computational sustainability. Opinion mining from social media can be a faster and less expensive alternative to traditional survey and polling, on which many sustainability research are based. We describe a framework for such analysis, examine the challenges in our proposed framework and current status of research on those challenges. We also propose some possible research directions for tackling these challenges.

Cities and their employment catchment areas are focus points of economic activity, transportation, and social interactions. The need for land use and transport inte- grated modelling (LUTI modelling) as a decision aid tool in urban planning, has become apparent. Instanti- ating such models on cities, requires a substantial data collection, model structuring and parameter estimation effort; for conciseness, the latter is referred to here as calibration. This work is a partial effort towards the integrated calibration of LUTI models. It considers one of the most widely used LUTI models and softwares, Tranus. The usual calibration approach for Tranus is briefly reviewed. It is then reformulated as an optimisa- tion problem, in order to make it amenable to the sys- tematic incorporation of constraints on parameters and additional data and to form a clear basis for future fully integrated calibration. The problem at hand concerns a dynamic system; an approach is shown how to “elimi- nate” parts of the dynamics in order to ease the param- eter optimisation. We also discuss how to validate cali- bration results and propose to use synthetic data gener- ated from real world problems in order to assess conver- gence properties and accuracy of calibration methods.

Discovering congestion patterns from table-formed traffic reports is critical for traffic bottleneck analysis. However, patterns mined by existing algorithms often do not satisfy user requirements and are not actionable for traffic management. Traffic officers may not pursue the most frequent patterns but expect mining outcomes showing the dependence between congestion and various kinds of road properties for traffic planning. Such multi-view analysis requires to integrate user preferences of data attributes into pattern mining process. To tackle this problem, we propose a multi-view attributes reduction model for discovering the patterns of user interests, in which user views are interpreted as preferred attributes and formulated by attribute orders. Based on the pattern discovery model, a workflow is built for traffic bottleneck analysis, which consists of data preprocessing, preference representation and congestion pattern mining. Our approach is validated on the reports of road conditions from Shanghai, which shows that the resultant multi-view findings are effective for analyzing congestion causes and traffic management.

Reducing an automobile's energy consumption will lower its dependency on fossil fuel and extend the travel range of electric vehicles. Automobile Climate Control Systems (CCS) are known to be heavy energy consumers. To help reduce CCS energy consumption, this paper presents an adaptive automated agent, MDP Agent for Climate control Systems -- MACS, which provides drivers advice as to how to set their CCS. First, we present a model which has 78% accuracy in predicting drivers' reactions to different advice in different situations. Using the prediction model, we designed a Markov Decision Process which solution provided the advising policy for MACS. Through empirical evaluation using an electric car, with 83 human subjects, we show that MACS successfully reduced the energy consumption of the subjects by 33% compared to subjects who were not equipped with MACS. MACS also outperformed the state-of-the-art Social agent for Advice Provision (SAP).

We introduce an application of self-driving vehicle technology to the problem of towing aircraft at busy airports from gate to runway and runway to gate. Autonomous towing can be supervised by human ramp- or ATC controllers, pilots, or ground crew. The controllers provide route information to the tugs, assisted by an automated route planning system. The planning system and tower and ground controllers work in conjunction with the tugs to make tactical decisions during operations to ensure safe and effective taxiing in a highly dynamic environment. We argue here for the potential for significantly reducing fuel emissions, fuel costs, and community noise, while addressing the added complexity of air terminal operations by increasing efficiency and reducing human workload. This paper describes work-in-progress for developing concepts and capabilities for autonomous engines-off taxiing using towing vehicles.

In this paper, economic principles and the paradigm of a game are used to create a signal control strategy. The game structure is not formal (as in game theory), but the idea of a game is used nonetheless. That is, instead of using the standard techniques of minimum greens, maximum greens, and gaps to control the signal indications, an economically based game structure is employed. The intersection’s space is viewed as a scarce commodity whose use is determined through a bidding process. Movement Managers manage the vehicle departures for specific turning movements. Arriving motorists pay the Movement Managers an initial fee, and make voluntary contributions as they perceive necessary to arrange times of entry for them. Movement Managers submit bids for use of the intersection’s space and the highest bidders win. Distributed processing and connected vehicle technology are seen as the mechanisms by which implementation would be feasible. The value in such an idea is that one can study and reach an understanding of the economics that underlie effective traffic control.