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Characterizing Quantifier Fuzzification Mechanisms: a behavioral guide for practical applications
Diaz-Hermida, F., Pereira-Fariña, M., Vidal, Juan C., Ramos-Soto, A.
Important advances have been made in the fuzzy quantification field. Nevertheless, some problems remain when we face the decision of selecting the most convenient model for a specific application. In the literature, several desirable adequacy properties have been proposed, but theoretical limits impede quantification models from simultaneously fulfilling every adequacy property that has been defined. Besides, the complexity of model definitions and adequacy properties makes very difficult for real users to understand the particularities of the different models that have been presented. In this work we will present several criteria conceived to help in the process of selecting the most adequate Quantifier Fuzzification Mechanisms for specific practical applications. In addition, some of the best known well-behaved models will be compared against this list of criteria. Based on this analysis, some guidance to choose fuzzy quantification models for practical applications will be provided.
High dimensional thresholded regression and shrinkage effect
Zheng, Zemin, Fan, Yingying, Lv, Jinchi
High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important features in high dimensions, but the global optimality of such methods still demands more understanding. In this paper, we consider sparse regression with hard-thresholding penalty, which we show to give rise to thresholded regression. This approach is motivated by its close connection with the $L_0$-regularization, which can be unrealistic to implement in practice but of appealing sampling properties, and its computational advantage. Under some mild regularity conditions allowing possibly exponentially growing dimensionality, we establish the oracle inequalities of the resulting regularized estimator, as the global minimizer, under various prediction and variable selection losses, as well as the oracle risk inequalities of the hard-thresholded estimator followed by a further $L_2$-regularization. The risk properties exhibit interesting shrinkage effects under both estimation and prediction losses. We identify the optimal choice of the ridge parameter, which is shown to have simultaneous advantages to both the $L_2$-loss and prediction loss. These new results and phenomena are evidenced by simulation and real data examples.
Stochastic Shortest Path with Energy Constraints in POMDPs
Brázdil, Tomáš, Chatterjee, Krishnendu, Chmelík, Martin, Gupta, Anchit, Novotný, Petr
We consider partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with a set of target states and positive integer costs associated with every transition. The traditional optimization objective (stochastic shortest path) asks to minimize the expected total cost until the target set is reached. We extend the traditional framework of POMDPs to model energy consumption, which represents a hard constraint. The energy levels may increase and decrease with transitions, and the hard constraint requires that the energy level must remain positive in all steps till the target is reached. First, we present a novel algorithm for solving POMDPs with energy levels, developing on existing POMDP solvers and using RTDP as its main method. Our second contribution is related to policy representation. For larger POMDP instances the policies computed by existing solvers are too large to be understandable. We present an automated procedure based on machine learning techniques that automatically extracts important decisions of the policy allowing us to compute succinct human readable policies. Finally, we show experimentally that our algorithm performs well and computes succinct policies on a number of POMDP instances from the literature that were naturally enhanced with energy levels.
Asymptotic sequential Rademacher complexity of a finite function class
For a finite function class we describe the large sample limit of the sequential Rademacher complexity in terms of the viscosity solution of a $G$-heat equation. In the language of Peng's sublinear expectation theory, the same quantity equals to the expected value of the largest order statistics of a multidimensional $G$-normal random variable. We illustrate this result by deriving upper and lower bounds for the asymptotic sequential Rademacher complexity.
Random forests for survival analysis using maximally selected rank statistics
Wright, Marvin N., Dankowski, Theresa, Ziegler, Andreas
The most popular approach for analyzing survival data is the Cox regression model. The Cox model may, however, be misspecified, and its proportionality assumption is not always fulfilled. An alternative approach is random forests for survival outcomes. The standard split criterion for random survival forests is the log-rank test statistics, which favors splitting variables with many possible split points. Conditional inference forests avoid this split point selection bias. However, linear rank statistics are utilized in current software for conditional inference forests to select the optimal splitting variable, which cannot detect non-linear effects in the independent variables. We therefore use maximally selected rank statistics for split point selection in random forests for survival analysis. As in conditional inference forests, p-values for association between split points and survival time are minimized. We describe several p-value approximations and the implementation of the proposed random forest approach. A simulation study demonstrates that unbiased split point selection is possible. However, there is a trade-off between unbiased split point selection and runtime. In benchmark studies of prediction performance on simulated and real datasets the new method performs better than random survival forests if informative dichotomous variables are combined with uninformative variables with more categories and better than conditional inference forests if non-linear covariate effects are included. In a runtime comparison the method proves to be computationally faster than both alternatives, if a simple p-value approximation is used.
Asymptotic properties for combined $L_1$ and concave regularization
Two important goals of high-dimensional modeling are prediction and variable selection. In this article, we consider regularization with combined $L_1$ and concave penalties, and study the sampling properties of the global optimum of the suggested method in ultra-high dimensional settings. The $L_1$-penalty provides the minimum regularization needed for removing noise variables in order to achieve oracle prediction risk, while concave penalty imposes additional regularization to control model sparsity. In the linear model setting, we prove that the global optimum of our method enjoys the same oracle inequalities as the lasso estimator and admits an explicit bound on the false sign rate, which can be asymptotically vanishing. Moreover, we establish oracle risk inequalities for the method and the sampling properties of computable solutions. Numerical studies suggest that our method yields more stable estimates than using a concave penalty alone.
Unsupervised Semantic Action Discovery from Video Collections
Sener, Ozan, Zamir, Amir Roshan, Wu, Chenxia, Savarese, Silvio, Saxena, Ashutosh
Human communication takes many forms, including speech, text and instructional videos. It typically has an underlying structure, with a starting point, ending, and certain objective steps between them. In this paper, we consider instructional videos where there are tens of millions of them on the Internet. We propose a method for parsing a video into such semantic steps in an unsupervised way. Our method is capable of providing a semantic "storyline" of the video composed of its objective steps. We accomplish this using both visual and language cues in a joint generative model. Our method can also provide a textual description for each of the identified semantic steps and video segments. We evaluate our method on a large number of complex YouTube videos and show that our method discovers semantically correct instructions for a variety of tasks.
Tuning parameter selection in high dimensional penalized likelihood
Fan, Yingying, Tang, Cheng Yong
Determining how to appropriately select the tuning parameter is essential in penalized likelihood methods for high-dimensional data analysis. We examine this problem in the setting of penalized likelihood methods for generalized linear models, where the dimensionality of covariates p is allowed to increase exponentially with the sample size n. We propose to select the tuning parameter by optimizing the generalized information criterion (GIC) with an appropriate model complexity penalty. To ensure that we consistently identify the true model, a range for the model complexity penalty is identified in GIC. We find that this model complexity penalty should diverge at the rate of some power of $\log p$ depending on the tail probability behavior of the response variables. This reveals that using the AIC or BIC to select the tuning parameter may not be adequate for consistently identifying the true model. Based on our theoretical study, we propose a uniform choice of the model complexity penalty and show that the proposed approach consistently identifies the true model among candidate models with asymptotic probability one. We justify the performance of the proposed procedure by numerical simulations and a gene expression data analysis.
Interaction pursuit in high-dimensional multi-response regression via distance correlation
Kong, Yinfei, Li, Daoji, Fan, Yingying, Lv, Jinchi
Feature interactions can contribute to a large proportion of variation in many prediction models. In the era of big data, the coexistence of high dimensionality in both responses and covariates poses unprecedented challenges in identifying important interactions. In this paper, we suggest a two-stage interaction identification method, called the interaction pursuit via distance correlation (IPDC), in the setting of high-dimensional multi-response interaction models that exploits feature screening applied to transformed variables with distance correlation followed by feature selection. Such a procedure is computationally efficient, generally applicable beyond the heredity assumption, and effective even when the number of responses diverges with the sample size. Under mild regularity conditions, we show that this method enjoys nice theoretical properties including the sure screening property, support union recovery, and oracle inequalities in prediction and estimation for both interactions and main effects. The advantages of our method are supported by several simulation studies and real data analysis.
Innovated scalable efficient estimation in ultra-large Gaussian graphical models
Large-scale precision matrix estimation is of fundamental importance yet challenging in many contemporary applications for recovering Gaussian graphical models. In this paper, we suggest a new approach of innovated scalable efficient estimation (ISEE) for estimating large precision matrix. Motivated by the innovated transformation, we convert the original problem into that of large covariance matrix estimation. The suggested method combines the strengths of recent advances in high-dimensional sparse modeling and large covariance matrix estimation. Compared to existing approaches, our method is scalable and can deal with much larger precision matrices with simple tuning. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish that this procedure can recover the underlying graphical structure with significant probability and provide efficient estimation of link strengths. Both computational and theoretical advantages of the procedure are evidenced through simulation and real data examples.