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Machine Of Human Dreams explores how AI could overtake mankind

#artificialintelligence

In the film, Goertzel emerges as part visionary, part mountebank. He can always attract partners and excite investors but he struggles to hit deadlines. A company he set up in New York "pissed away" 20 million (as his former business partner puts it.) There is an excruciating scene in the documentary in which he and his colleagues demonstrate their A.I. "child" robots to their Chinese investors in Hong Kong. The robots let them down.


The End of Employment

#artificialintelligence

This film is brought to you by the World Technology Network. Job displacement due to automation of ever increasing range of professions - from truck drivers and lawyers, to writers and financial analysts - is likely to be one of the greatest challenges of the next couple of decades. A 2013 Oxford study predicts that up to 47% of jobs could be lost in the United States - nearly twice the unemployment rate of the Great Depression. Why wait till it's too late? Let's talk about this elephant in the room now.


3000 Engineers Might Get Fired At Wipro After Artificial Intelligence Learns To Do Their Work!

#artificialintelligence

Today's reminder that you are definitely living in the future - 3,000 engineers have an "uncertain future" after Holmes, an artificial intelligence (AI) tool at Wipro which can automate these projects. According to the Mint, it will free up 3,000 engineers from "mundane" software maintenance jobs, and save save the company about 46.5 million. The software goes live on the company's'fixed-price' projects. "Hyper-automation is one of the six themes [CEO Abidali Neemuchwala] has outlined," a Wipro executive told Mint. Another Wipro source told the media: "We will move out 1,300 engineers from on-site [fixed price contracts] and about 2,000 people from off-site this year."


UNU set to forecast tech trends after accurate Oscars, Kentucky Derby predictions

#artificialintelligence

Can AI outpace the expertise of vaunted futurists like Mary Meeker or Ray Kurzweil? The artificial intelligence system called UNU is slated to answer questions tomorrow about technology and its long-term impact on humanity via a Reddit AMA ("ask me anything" interview). The same system accurately predicted Oscars winners, and the top four horses to win at the Kentucky Derby previously. UNU CEO Louis Rosenberg placed a 40 bet on the horse races and took home a 12,700 prize after putting his faith in his own technology, he told TechCrunch. UNU employs crowd wisdom to deliver its forecasts, but it differs from familiar crowdsourcing technology, surveys and polls. Instead, it uses "swarms," or the hive mind to derive forecasts and conclusions.


De-identification of Patient Notes with Recurrent Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Objective: Patient notes in electronic health records (EHRs) may contain critical information for medical investigations. However, the vast majority of medical investigators can only access de-identified notes, in order to protect the confidentiality of patients. In the United States, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) defines 18 types of protected health information (PHI) that needs to be removed to de-identify patient notes. Manual de-identification is impractical given the size of EHR databases, the limited number of researchers with access to the non-de-identified notes, and the frequent mistakes of human annotators. A reliable automated de-identification system would consequently be of high value. Materials and Methods: We introduce the first de-identification system based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), which requires no handcrafted features or rules, unlike existing systems. We compare the performance of the system with state-of-the-art systems on two datasets: the i2b2 2014 de-identification challenge dataset, which is the largest publicly available de-identification dataset, and the MIMIC de-identification dataset, which we assembled and is twice as large as the i2b2 2014 dataset. Results: Our ANN model outperforms the state-of-the-art systems. It yields an F1-score of 97.85 on the i2b2 2014 dataset, with a recall 97.38 and a precision of 97.32, and an F1-score of 99.23 on the MIMIC de-identification dataset, with a recall 99.25 and a precision of 99.06. Conclusion: Our findings support the use of ANNs for de-identification of patient notes, as they show better performance than previously published systems while requiring no feature engineering.


Scan Order in Gibbs Sampling: Models in Which it Matters and Bounds on How Much

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Gibbs sampling is a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling technique that iteratively samples variables from their conditional distributions. There are two common scan orders for the variables: random scan and systematic scan. Due to the benefits of locality in hardware, systematic scan is commonly used, even though most statistical guarantees are only for random scan. While it has been conjectured that the mixing times of random scan and systematic scan do not differ by more than a logarithmic factor, we show by counterexample that this is not the case, and we prove that that the mixing times do not differ by more than a polynomial factor under mild conditions. To prove these relative bounds, we introduce a method of augmenting the state space to study systematic scan using conductance.


Conditional Generation and Snapshot Learning in Neural Dialogue Systems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recently a variety of LSTM-based conditional language models (LM) have been applied across a range of language generation tasks. In this work we study various model architectures and different ways to represent and aggregate the source information in an end-to-end neural dialogue system framework. A method called snapshot learning is also proposed to facilitate learning from supervised sequential signals by applying a companion cross-entropy objective function to the conditioning vector. The experimental and analytical results demonstrate firstly that competition occurs between the conditioning vector and the LM, and the differing architectures provide different trade-offs between the two. Secondly, the discriminative power and transparency of the conditioning vector is key to providing both model interpretability and better performance. Thirdly, snapshot learning leads to consistent performance improvements independent of which architecture is used.


Square Root Graphical Models: Multivariate Generalizations of Univariate Exponential Families that Permit Positive Dependencies

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop Square Root Graphical Models (SQR), a novel class of parametric graphical models that provides multivariate generalizations of univariate exponential family distributions. Previous multivariate graphical models [Yang et al. 2015] did not allow positive dependencies for the exponential and Poisson generalizations. However, in many real-world datasets, variables clearly have positive dependencies. For example, the airport delay time in New York---modeled as an exponential distribution---is positively related to the delay time in Boston. With this motivation, we give an example of our model class derived from the univariate exponential distribution that allows for almost arbitrary positive and negative dependencies with only a mild condition on the parameter matrix---a condition akin to the positive definiteness of the Gaussian covariance matrix. Our Poisson generalization allows for both positive and negative dependencies without any constraints on the parameter values. We also develop parameter estimation methods using node-wise regressions with $\ell_1$ regularization and likelihood approximation methods using sampling. Finally, we demonstrate our exponential generalization on a synthetic dataset and a real-world dataset of airport delay times.


Reducing Overfitting in Deep Networks by Decorrelating Representations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

One major challenge in training Deep Neural Networks is preventing overfitting. Many techniques such as data augmentation and novel regularizers such as Dropout have been proposed to prevent overfitting without requiring a massive amount of training data. In this work, we propose a new regularizer called DeCov which leads to significantly reduced overfitting (as indicated by the difference between train and val performance), and better generalization. Our regularizer encourages diverse or non-redundant representations in Deep Neural Networks by minimizing the cross-covariance of hidden activations. This simple intuition has been explored in a number of past works but surprisingly has never been applied as a regularizer in supervised learning. Experiments across a range of datasets and network architectures show that this loss always reduces overfitting while almost always maintaining or increasing generalization performance and often improving performance over Dropout.


Kalman-based Stochastic Gradient Method with Stop Condition and Insensitivity to Conditioning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Modern proximal and stochastic gradient descent (SGD) methods are believed to efficiently minimize large composite objective functions, but such methods have two algorithmic challenges: (1) a lack of fast or justified stop conditions, and (2) sensitivity to the objective function's conditioning. In response to the first challenge, modern proximal and SGD methods guarantee convergence only after multiple epochs, but such a guarantee renders proximal and SGD methods infeasible when the number of component functions is very large or infinite. In response to the second challenge, second order SGD methods have been developed, but they are marred by the complexity of their analysis. In this work, we address these challenges on the limited, but important, linear regression problem by introducing and analyzing a second order proximal/SGD method based on Kalman Filtering (kSGD). Through our analysis, we show kSGD is asymptotically optimal, develop a fast algorithm for very large, infinite or streaming data sources with a justified stop condition, prove that kSGD is insensitive to the problem's conditioning, and develop a unique approach for analyzing the complex second order dynamics. Our theoretical results are supported by numerical experiments on three regression problems (linear, nonparametric wavelet, and logistic) using three large publicly available datasets. Moreover, our analysis and experiments lay a foundation for embedding kSGD in multiple epoch algorithms, extending kSGD to other problem classes, and developing parallel and low memory kSGD implementations.