Matrix-structured parameters frequently appear in many artificial intelligence models such as large language models. More recently, an efficient Muon optimizer is designed for matrix parameters of large-scale models, and shows markedly faster convergence than the vector-wise algorithms. Although some works have begun to study convergence properties (i.e., optimization error) of the Muon optimizer, its generalization properties (i.e., generalization error) is still not established. Thus, in this paper, we study generalization error of the Muon optimizer based on algorithmic stability and mathematical induction, and prove that the Muon has a generalization error of $O\big(\frac{1}{Nκ^{T}}\big)$, where $N$ is training sample size, and $T$ denotes iteration number, and $κ>0$ denotes minimum difference between singular values of gradient estimate. To enhance generalization of the Muon, we propose an effective mixed Muon (MiMuon) optimizer by cautiously using orthogonalization of gradient, which is a hybrid of Muon and momentum-based SGD optimizers. Then we prove that our MiMuon optimizer has a lower generalization error of $O\big(\frac{1}{N}\big)$ than $O\big(\frac{1}{Nκ^{T}}\big)$ of Muon optimizer, since $κ$ generally is very small. Meanwhile, we also studied the convergence properties of our MiMuon algorithm, and prove that our MiMuon algorithm has the same convergence rate of $O(\frac{1}{T^{1/4}})$ as the Muon algorithm. Some numerical experimental results on training large models including Qwen3-0.6B and YOLO26m demonstrate efficiency of the MiMuon optimizer.

In this paper, we establish Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated linear stochastic approximation (LSA). Our results provide the first federated Gaussian approximations for LSA that explicitly capture communication-computation trade-offs and heterogeneity-aware error terms, quantifying the effects of local step size, number of local updates, and heterogeneity on convergence rates. We present results for both (i) constant step size regime and (ii) decreasing step size with an increasing number of local iterations, recovering the recent rates of Bonnerjee et al. [2025] as a special case. As a primary application of our results, we develop an online multiplier bootstrap procedure for inference on the last iterate, which avoids explicit estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix, and obtain non-asymptotic validity guarantees for this procedure.

Stochastic gradient methods are central to modern large-scale learning, but their use with incomplete covariates remains delicate since imputation schemes generally introduce systematic gradient biases, as shown for linear models. In this work, we prove that all parametric models exhibit similar gradient bias for various imputation procedures and characterize exactly the dependence on the missingness ratio vector $p$, with $O(\|p\|)$ as the leading term. We exploit this analysis to propose a simple debiasing procedure for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with missing values based on Richardson extrapolation, which leverages the exact expression of the gradient bias. The key idea is to \emph{deliberately add missingness}: from an already incomplete observation, we generate a further-thinned version at a higher, controlled missingness level, and combine the two resulting stochastic gradients to cancel the leading bias term. We prove that one Richardson step reduces the gradient bias from $O(\|p\|)$ to $O(\|p\|^2)$ under several missingness scenarios. Our proposed method is computationally efficient, model-agnostic and applies to any parametric loss whose stochastic gradient can be computed after imputation. Furthermore, when missing indicators are independent, the population gradient bias is a multilinear polynomial in $p$ and depends only on population gradient errors induced by declaring a single coordinate missing. In this case, our method generalizes to a multi-step Richardson procedure which recursively cancels higher-order terms. Empirically, Richardson debiasing improves optimization and estimation across several generalized linear models and combines positively with widely used imputation procedures such as MICE. These results suggest that, somewhat counter-intuitively, adding controlled missingness on top of existing missing data can make stochastic learning from incomplete data more accurate.

The ability to maintain and manipulate information over time is a fundamental aspect of living beings and Artificial Intelligence. While modern models have achieved remarkable success in tasks like natural language processing, evaluating the capacity of novel architectures to process sequential information remains computationally expensive and time-consuming. Testing a new architecture often requires scaling up to massive datasets and models, leading to vast computational costs and slow iteration cycles. In this paper, we propose CogScale, a benchmark of 14 scalable synthetic tasks designed to isolate and evaluate specific cognitive and memory abilities at different parametrizable scales. By providing a standardized, lightweight framework, CogScale allows researchers to rapidly validate architectural innovations before committing to large-scale training. To establish a solid baseline, we evaluate seven distinct architectures: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), xLSTM, Echo State Network (ESN), Mamba, Transformer Decoder, and Transformer Encoder-Decoder. These evaluations are conducted under strict parameter budgets (1k, 10k, and 100k) and across different difficulty levels and scales. Our results show that while classical RNNs and Echo State Networks excel at basic retention within strict parameter budgets, only attention mechanisms and modern state-space models consistently maintain high performance as reasoning complexity and task difficulty scale.

We study reinforcement learning for episodic Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) whose transitions are modelled by a multinomial logistic (MNL) model. Existing algorithms for MNL mixture MDPs yield a regret of $\smash{\tilde{O}(dH^2\sqrt{T})}$ (Li et al., 2024), where $d$ is the feature dimension, $H$ the episode length, and $T$ the number of episodes. Inspired by the logistic bandit literature (Abeille et al., 2021; Faury et al., 2022; Boudart et al., 2026), we introduce a problem-dependent constant $\barσ\_T \leq 1/2$, measuring the normalised average variance of the optimal downstream value function along the learner's trajectory. We propose an algorithm achieving a regret of $\smash{\tilde{O}(dH^2\barσ\_T\sqrt{T})}$, which recovers the existing bound in the worst case and improves upon it for structured MDPs. For instance, for KL-constrained robust MDPs, $\barσ\_T = O(H^{-1})$, reducing the horizon dependence by a factor $H$. We further establish a matching $\smash{Ω(dH^2\barσ\_T\sqrt{T})}$ lower bound, proving minimax optimality (up to logarithmic factors) and fully characterising the regret complexity of MNL mixture MDPs for the first time.

Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift. To bridge this gap, we present Latent Laplace Diffusion (LLapDiff), a generative framework that models the target as a low-dimensional latent trajectory, enabling horizon-wide generation without step-by-step integration over physical time. We guide the reverse process utilizing a stable modal parameterization motivated by stochastic port-Hamiltonian dynamics, and parameterize its mean evolution in the Laplace domain via learnable complex-conjugate poles, enabling direct evaluation over irregular timestamps. We also link continuous dynamics to irregular observations through renewal-averaging analysis, which maps sampling gaps to effective event-domain poles and motivates a gap-aware history summarizer. Extensive experiments show that LLapDiff improves over baselines in long-horizon forecasting, and its continuous-time generative nature supports missing-value imputation by querying the same model at historical timestamps. Code is available at https://github.com/pixelhero98/LLapDiffusion.

We introduce FLUXtrapolation, a benchmark for extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under progressively harder distribution shifts. Ecosystem fluxes are central to understanding the carbon, water, and energy cycles, yet they can only be measured directly at sparsely located measurement towers. Producing global flux estimates therefore requires training models on observed sites using globally available covariates and predicting in unobserved regions, that is, upscaling. Flux upscaling is a challenging domain generalization problem that is affected by a shift in covariate distribution across climates, ecosystem types, and environmental conditions, as well as by conditional shift: important drivers remain unobserved at global scale. We provide a quantitative analysis of both these shifts in $P_X$ and $P_{Y\mid X}$. FLUXtrapolation is designed based on domain expertise on flux upscaling: it defines temporal, spatial, and temperature-based extrapolation scenarios and evaluates performance across held-out domains, temporal aggregations, and tail errors. In a pilot study, we find that baselines perform similarly under median hourly RMSE, but separate under the proposed tail-focused and multi-scale evaluation. FLUXtrapolation therefore poses a realistic and thus relevant challenge for machine learning methods under distribution shift; at the same time, progress on this benchmark would directly support the scientific goal of improving flux upscaling.

Neural operators have achieved strong performance in learning solution operators of partial differential equations (PDEs), but their inherently continuous representations struggle to capture discontinuities and sharp transitions. Existing approaches typically approximate such features within continuous function spaces, often requiring increased model capacity and high-resolution data. In this work, we propose Cut-DeepONet, a two-stage training framework that explicitly models discontinuities while reducing learning complexity. Our approach reformulates the problem via a lifting strategy, partitioning the domain into smooth subregions while representing discontinuities as boundaries in a higher-dimensional space. This separation aligns the operator learning task with the inductive bias of neural networks and avoids directly approximating discontinuities. An additional network predicts input-dependent discontinuity locations for unseen inputs, which are then used to guide the neural operator in generating smooth components within each region. Experiments on benchmark PDEs show that Cut-DeepONet outperforms state-of-the-art methods, even when trained on low-resolution datasets. The method excels on problems with discontinuities and sharp transitions, while using fewer trainable parameters. Our results highlight the benefits of changing the representation of operator learning rather than increasing model complexity.

Standard generative models struggle with heavy-tailed data: Lipschitz architectures cannot produce power-law tails from Gaussian noise, and interpolating between heavy-tailed data and Gaussians is ill-posed. We propose a simple fix: apply the soft-log transform $ϕ(x) = \mathrm{sign}(x) \cdot \log(1 + |x|)$ coordinate-wise to data before training, then exponentiate samples after generation. A Hill diagnostic decides per-coordinate whether to transform, leaving light-tailed margins untouched at no added complexity. This compresses heavy tails into a range where standard flow matching succeeds, without heavy-tailed base distributions or architectural modifications. We provide theoretical intuition for why this works: the log-transform maps Pareto tails to exponentials, and the induced dynamics implement a form of tail annealing via power transformations. On a 144-configuration multivariate benchmark (3 copulas, $d$ up to 100, 4 tail indices), Log-FM dominates specialized baselines on $W_1$, CVaR$_{99}$, and extreme-quantile metrics, and is the only method with zero severe divergences across 2{,}880 runs.

Squared Wasserstein distance is a frequently used tool to measure discrepancy between probability distributions. This distance is typically computed between empirical measures of size $n$ from two underlying random samples. Unfortunately, even in lower dimensional Euclidean space problems $\left( d \in \{2,3\} \right)$, algorithms for Wasserstein distance computation with approximate or exact precision guarantees scale poorly in the runtime as a function of $n$ and the desired precision. In response, we consider the computational-statistical runtime, where the goal is to estimate from samples the Wasserstein distance between potentially smooth measures up to $ε$-additive error in expectation with respect to the sampling; we allow $O(1)$ computational cost for collecting a sample. Towards this, we develop a Sample-Sketch-Solve paradigm where we introduce a regular cartesian grid sketch of the samples. We show that (especially under $α$-Hölder smooth distributions) this can compress the data without increasing asymptotic error, and also regularizes the structure which enables faster exact algorithms. Ultimately, we approximate $W_2^2(P,Q)$ within $ε$ error in $ε^{-\max(2,\frac{d+1+o(1)}{1+α})}$ time for $0 < α< 1$ Hölder smooth distributions $P,Q$ on $(0,1)^{d}$; an optimal $Θ(ε^{-2})$ for $α> 1/2$ when $d=2$ and nearly optimal as $α\to 1$ when $d = 3$.