We audit alignment-induced shifts in residual-stream activations of three open-weight instruction-tuned LLMs (Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, Gemma-2-9B-it, Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct) using the effective rank of the alignment modification matrix on safety-relevant inputs, rho_eps := rank_eps(M_Ds)/d, which formalizes the single-refusal-direction observation of Arditi et al. (2024) as a continuous quantity. The paper has three contributions. (1) Confound-controlled measurement: a four-variant decomposition (M_naive, M_template, M_aligned, M_DiD) separates chat-template formatting, alignment-stage shift, and the refusal-mediating direction, and recovers the Arditi refusal direction on M_DiD at |cos| in {0.77, 0.86, 0.50} (Llama/Gemma/Qwen); chat-template-controlled rho_eps is {0.0029, 0.0048, 0.0044}, and the centered SVD residual is 4-7x larger. (2) Constructive calibration on a 3-layer MLP across rho_eps in {0.008, 0.17, 0.33, 0.40} exhibits a sweet-spot vs. brittle distinction: mild rank-maximization (lambda=5) buys ablation robustness, while strong regularization at the same nominal rho_eps (lambda=50) does not. rho_eps is a diagnostic for fragility, not a target whose mechanical inflation buys robustness. (3) Limits of rank-based diagnostics: (a) not safety-specific (LRH baseline is 2-3x the safety value); (b) SVD principal ordering does not match causal ordering (Llama u_2 inert despite ranking second; cumulative ablation non-monotone at k=5); (c) the spectral-gap hypothesis required to upgrade the O(rho_eps * d) achievability bound to a matching Mirsky-route lower bound fails empirically (1/90 Llama layer-reference pairs, 0/36 MLP combinations) and structurally (kappa_lb <= 2/(eps * r)). The matching lower bound remains an open problem.

We generalize finite-sample bounds for convex clustering to the setting where affinity weights appearing in the objective correspond to a general connected graph. These bounds and their analysis lead to a better understanding of clustering behavior under various implied connectivity structures behind the data and to new rates of convergence for centroid recovery. The new theoretical framework is based on random walks, which allow application of concentration inequalities related to random graph models, and formalizes the relationship between the clustering performance and the connectivity of the graph structures. Through the form of the bound and empirical results, we argue proper tuning of hyperparameters to convex clustering problems should also include tuning of input affinity weights.

We establish four structural results for feature learning in wide two-layer neural networks under the Maximal Update Parametrization ($μ$P). First, we prove global existence and uniqueness of the mean-field limit of noisy gradient descent under $μ$P, identifying the maximal admissible weight $w^*$ on the moment sequence of the initialization as the reciprocal parameter-moment-growth boundary, and hence the largest weighted moment class propagated by the flow. The finite-particle approximation has uniform-in-time squared-Wasserstein rate $O(N^{-1})$. Second, we characterize identifiability of the mean-field limit: two admissible parameter measures induce the same network function in $L^2$ exactly when their active components agree modulo the finite-rank realization symmetry of the architecture. The orbit depth $D^*_{\mathrm{orb}}$ is separated from the moment-variety depth $D^*_{\mathrm{var}}$. Third, under the Barron-Hermite target condition the active support of the long-time limit measure admits a sparse-dictionary decomposition: it is supported on at most $S^*$ atoms modulo finite-rank realization symmetry, with $S^*$ bounded by an explicit coefficient-threshold number. Fourth, we derive the total feature-learning-error decomposition into statistical, optimization, propagation-of-chaos, and sparse-residual components, with a target-dependent Hermite/Barron tail replacing any initialization-only residual. The four results are tied together by an architectural identity: the triple $(w^*, D^*_{\mathrm{orb}}, S^*)$ -- the maximal admissible weight, the orbit identifiability depth, and the sparse-dictionary depth at which the target is realizable -- is the natural learning cell of the architecture-data pair $(σ, ρ)$. The proofs are self-contained except for standard results from $μ$P and mean-field Langevin theory.

We study the sample complexity of robust binary hypothesis testing under three standard contamination models: $\varepsilon$-additive (Huber), $\varepsilon$-subtractive, and $\varepsilon$-total variation (TV), denoted by $n^*_{\mathrm{Hub}}(\varepsilon)$, $n^*_{\mathrm{Sub}}(\varepsilon)$, and $n^*_{\mathrm{TV}}(\varepsilon)$, respectively. For subtractive contamination, we show that least favourable distributions exist and provide explicit formulas for the same, bringing this model in line with the classical Huber and TV models. Next we show that in all three models, sample complexity may be highly unstable in the contamination parameter $\varepsilon$, increasing by polynomial factors even for $o(\varepsilon)$ perturbations. Similarly, there may be polynomial factor gaps between the sample complexities when $\varepsilon$ is known exactly versus when it is known up to $o(\varepsilon)$ error. Despite the instability of the sample complexity in all models, we show that the sample complexities across models are comparable up to constant-factor rescaling of $\varepsilon$. Specifically, for any fixed $δ_0>0$, the following hold for all distributions $p$ and $q$: (i) $n^*_{\mathrm{Hub}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{TV}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{Hub}}(2\varepsilon)$, (ii) $n^*_{\mathrm{Sub}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{TV}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{Sub}}((2+δ_0)\varepsilon)$, and (iii) $n^*_{\mathrm{Sub}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{Hub}}(\varepsilon) \lesssim n^*_{\mathrm{Sub}}((1+δ_0)\varepsilon)$, and the scaling constants are tight. Finally, we extend our results to adaptive versions of the contamination models.

Reward modeling is not only a prediction problem: in KL-regularized policy optimization, the learned reward is exponentiated to define the deployed policy, so downstream value depends on errors in reward-tilted regions. We study this feedback in a Gaussian single-index model with $r^*(x) = σ^*(\langle θ^*, x\rangle)$ and $x \sim N(0, I_d)$. We analyze a two-stage neural reward model that first learns the hidden direction $θ^*$ from reward-weighted samples and then fits the readout layer by weighted ridge regression. Exponential reward weighting changes the Hermite signal available to the first layer; for any feature-learning temperature $β_1$ above a dimension-free $O(1)$ threshold, a constant fraction of neurons recover the hidden direction, with weak-recovery complexity governed by the generative exponent. After feature recovery, we derive tilted-policy value-gap bounds for an idealized label-weighted fit with weights $e^{y/β_2}$ and a more practical surrogate-weighted fit with weights $e^{r_{a_0}(x)/β_2}$. Keeping the $β_2$-dependence explicit yields an admissible set of deployment temperatures, balancing the gain from lowering $β_2$ against the learning cost amplified by exponential weighting; in the surrogate-weighted case, proxy-dependent factors shrink this admissible set.

Quaternion neural networks are parameter-efficient and model multidimensional dependencies by representing four related features as a single entity. However, existing quaternion self-attention computes component-wise scores and applies independent softmax operations to each component, which increases the computational cost and allows attention distributions to diverge across components. We propose a shared-score quaternion self-attention mechanism that computes a single real-valued score using the quaternion inner product and applies a shared attention distribution across all components. This reduces score-computation multiplications by 75% and the number of softmax operations from four to one. We prove that, when queries and keys are produced by quaternion linear projections that induce component pre-mixing, the component-wise and shared scores lie in the same interaction subspace, indicating that independent component-wise attention primarily re-parameterizes the same interactions rather than expanding the feature interaction space. In speech enhancement, our method reduces inference time by up to 44.3% on a GPU and 58.1% on a CPU while maintaining quality, with consistent trends across vision and natural language processing.

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M $-component mixture distributions, we propose a family of estimators derived from the stochastic mirror descent (SMD) algorithm. This optimization-based approach provides a principled and flexible framework that generalizes traditional estimators and proposes a variety of novel estimators through the choice of Bregman divergences. A key advantage of our method is that it scales efficiently with the number of candidate components $ f_i $; that is, one can employ a large set of basis distributions in the mixture model without incurring significant computational overhead. This enables richer approximations and improved estimation accuracy. Moreover, in the case of categorical distribution (discrete outcomes) our estimators do not require a strict lower bound, in other words our framework does not require the precise knowledge of the support of the distribution. We demonstrate that, under mild conditions, the proposed $ φ$-SMD estimators achieve near-optimal convergence rates in both Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence and $ \ell_2 $-norm and offer practical benefits when computation is expensive. Our numerical analysis highlights improved performance guaranties over classical estimators, particularly in terms of sample efficiency and scalability.

Random sampling is a fundamental tool in modern machine learning and numerical linear algebra for reducing the computational cost of large-scale matrix problems. Existing analyses, however, rely primarily on subspace embedding guarantees, which do not precisely characterize the statistical bias of nonlinear random oblique projections induced by sampling, which arises ubiquitously in subsampled least squares and fast low-rank approximation methods. Because (pseudo)inversion is nonlinear, these random oblique projections can be systematically biased even when the underlying sketch is unbiased, thereby introducing hidden bias into downstream least squares and low-rank approximation solutions. In this work, we develop a unified non-asymptotic theory for random oblique projections in high dimensions. We show that standard random sampling schemes generally induce a systematic statistical bias overlooked by classical subspace embedding-style analyses, and we propose a principled debiasing framework to correct it. We illustrate the power of the theory through two canonical applications. For subsampled least squares, we obtain sharp bias--variance characterizations, reveal previously unrecognized statistical suboptimality in widely used sampling schemes, and identify when debiasing yields provable improvements. For fast CUR decomposition, we develop a debiased approach with improved approximation accuracy. Numerical experiments further validate our theoretical findings.

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from neighbouring doses, leading to unnecessary escalation or de-escalation. We propose the shared Keyboard design, a Bayesian model-assisted design that replaces the independent beta--binomial updating scheme at each dose with a posterior induced by a Beta kernel process using kernel-weighted pseudo-counts. The design preserves the decision structure of the Keyboard design while enabling controlled borrowing across nearby doses. To prioritise overdose control, we propose an asymmetric kernel that assigns greater weight to toxicities observed at higher doses during escalation. We further extend the proposed design to accommodate adaptive dose insertion when the initial dose grid is inadequate and time-to-event outcomes when late-onset toxicities are present. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate substantial improvements in both accuracy and safety for identifying the maximum tolerated dose. In settings involving dose insertion, the proposed design identifies inserted target doses more effectively than adaptive dose modification while maintaining a comparable modification rate.

Integrating multimodal datasets in clinical oncology is frequently hindered by high dimensionality and blockwise missingness, where entire data sources are unavailable for specific patient subsets. Standard survival models often struggle with these gaps, leading to biased results or patient exclusion. We introduce Multimodality Stacking with Blockwise missing values (MSB), a late-fusion framework for survival analysis that independently models modality-specific features before aggregating predictions via a cross-validated stacking meta-learner. MSB was validated on the PIONeeR study (n=443 patients, 378 biomarkers across eight heterogeneous sources) to predict progression-free survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving immunotherapy. MSB yielded higher predictive performance (C-index) than baseline algorithms. Improvements varied by baseline strength: linear models showed a 15.9% increase (p<0.001 for the Wilcoxon signed-rank test), random survival forests gained 5.4% (p=0.002), and gradient boosting methods improved by 2.1% (p=0.030). Beyond discrimination, MSB reduced the generalization gap (train-test difference in 5 folds cross-validation repeated 3 times: 0.055 vs 0.380 for linear models). Permutation importance analysis identified routine laboratory markers, clinical features, and PD-L1 expression as primary predictive drivers. Missing block indicators showed negligible importance, suggesting the model learned from biomarker values rather than data availability patterns. MSB provides a statistically validated framework for multimodal survival prediction with blockwise missingness. By enabling systematic biomarker evaluation without requiring complete data, MSB offers a practical tool for predictive modeling in biomedical research, pending external validation. Implementation is available at https://github.com/MohamedBoussena/MSB under Inria license.