Running hydrodynamical simulations to produce mock data of large-scale structure and baryonic probes, such as the thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich (tSZ) effect, at cosmological scales is computationally challenging. We propose to leverage the expressive power of deep generative models to find an effective description of the large-scale gas distribution and temperature. We train two deep generative models, a variational auto-encoder and a generative adversarial network, on pairs of matter density and pressure slices from the BAHAMAS hydrodynamical simulation. The trained models are able to successfully map matter density to the corresponding gas pressure. We then apply the trained models on 100 lines-of-sight from SLICS, a suite of N-body simulations optimised for weak lensing covariance estimation, to generate maps of the tSZ effect. The generated tSZ maps are found to be statistically consistent with those from BAHAMAS. We conclude by considering a specific observable, the angular cross-power spectrum between the weak lensing convergence and the tSZ effect and its variance, where we find excellent agreement between the predictions from BAHAMAS and SLICS, thus enabling the use of SLICS for tSZ covariance estimation.

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and stationarity. We propose a more flexible spatial prediction method based on the Nearest-Neighbor Neural Network (4N) process that embeds deep learning into a geostatistical model. We show that the 4N process is a valid stochastic process and propose a series of new ways to construct features to be used as inputs to the deep learning model based on neighboring information. Our model framework outperforms some existing state-of-art geostatistical modelling methods for simulated non-Gaussian data and is applied to a massive forestry dataset. GPs are used directly to model Gaussian data and as the basis of non-Gaussian models such as generalized linear (e.g., Diggle et al., 1998), quantile regression (e.g., Lum et al., 2012; Reich, 2012) and spatial extremes (e.g., Cooley et al., 2007; Sang and Gelfand, 2010) models. Similarly, Kriging is the standard method for geostatistical prediction.

The Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism, Elimination, and Toxicity (ADMET) properties of drug candidates are estimated to account for up to 50% of all clinical trial failures. Predicting ADMET properties has therefore been of great interest to the cheminformatics and medicinal chemistry communities in recent decades. Traditional cheminformatics approaches, whether the learner is a random forest or a deep neural network, leverage fixed fingerprint feature representations of molecules. In contrast, in this paper, we learn the features most relevant to each chemical task at hand by representing each molecule explicitly as a graph, where each node is an atom and each edge is a bond. By applying graph convolutions to this explicit molecular representation, we achieve, to our knowledge, unprecedented accuracy in prediction of ADMET properties. By challenging our methodology with rigorous cross-validation procedures and prospective analyses, we show that deep featurization better enables molecular predictors to not only interpolate but also extrapolate to new regions of chemical space.

Evolving cybersecurity threats are a persistent challenge for systemadministrators and security experts as new malwares are continu-ally released. Attackers may look for vulnerabilities in commercialproducts or execute sophisticated reconnaissance campaigns tounderstand a targets network and gather information on securityproducts like firewalls and intrusion detection / prevention systems(network or host-based). Many new attacks tend to be modificationsof existing ones. In such a scenario, rule-based systems fail to detectthe attack, even though there are minor differences in conditions /attributes between rules to identify the new and existing attack. Todetect these differences the IDS must be able to isolate the subset ofconditions that are true and predict the likely conditions (differentfrom the original) that must be observed. In this paper, we proposeaprobabilistic abductive reasoningapproach that augments an exist-ing rule-based IDS (snort [29]) to detect these evolved attacks by (a)Predicting rule conditions that are likely to occur (based on existingrules) and (b) able to generate new snort rules when provided withseed rule (i.e. a starting rule) to reduce the burden on experts toconstantly update them. We demonstrate the effectiveness of theapproach by generating new rules from the snort 2012 rules set andtesting it on the MACCDC 2012 dataset [6].

Speech produced by human vocal apparatus conveys substantial non-semantic information including the gender of the speaker, voice quality, affective state, abnormalities in the vocal apparatus etc. Such information is attributed to the properties of the voice source signal, which is usually estimated from the speech signal. However, most of the source estimation techniques depend heavily on the goodness of the model assumptions and are prone to noise. A popular alternative is to indirectly obtain the source information through the Electroglottographic (EGG) signal that measures the electrical admittance around the vocal folds using a dedicated hardware. In this paper, we address the problem of estimating the EGG signal directly from the speech signal, devoid of any hardware. Sampling from the intractable conditional distribution of the EGG signal given the speech signal is accomplished through optimization of an evidence lower bound. This is constructed via minimization of the KL-divergence between the true and the approximated posteriors of a latent variable learned using a deep neural auto-encoder that serves an informative prior which reconstructs the EGG signal. We demonstrate the efficacy of the method to generate EGG signal by conducting several experiments on datasets comprising multiple speakers, voice qualities, noise settings and speech pathologies. The proposed method is evaluated on many benchmark metrics and is found to agree with the gold standards while being better than the state-of-the-art algorithms on a few tasks such as epoch extraction.

We study the stochastic multi-armed bandits problem in the presence of adversarial corruption. We present a new algorithm for this problem whose regret is nearly optimal, substantially improving upon previous work. Our algorithm is agnostic to the level of adversarial contamination and can tolerate a significant amount of corruption with virtually no degradation in performance.

Off-Policy reinforcement learning (RL) is an important class of methods for many problem domains, such as robotics, where the cost of collecting data is high and on-policy methods are consequently intractable. Standard methods for applying Q-learning to continuous-valued action domains involve iteratively sampling the Q-function to find a good action (e.g. via hill-climbing), or by learning a policy network at the same time as the Q-function (e.g. DDPG). Both approaches make tradeoffs between stability, speed, and accuracy. We propose a novel approach, called Cross-Entropy Guided Policies, or CGP, that draws inspiration from both classes of techniques. CGP aims to combine the stability and performance of iterative sampling policies with the low computational cost of a policy network. Our approach trains the Q-function using iterative sampling with the Cross-Entropy Method (CEM), while training a policy network to imitate CEM's sampling behavior. We demonstrate that our method is more stable to train than state of the art policy network methods, while preserving equivalent inference time compute costs, and achieving competitive total reward on standard benchmarks.

Peer review is a core element of the scientific process, particularly in conference-centered fields such as ML and NLP. However, only few studies have evaluated its properties empirically. Aiming to fill this gap, we present a corpus that contains over 4k reviews and 1.2k author responses from ACL-2018. We quantitatively and qualitatively assess the corpus. This includes a pilot study on paper weaknesses given by reviewers and on quality of author responses. We then focus on the role of the rebuttal phase, and propose a novel task to predict after-rebuttal (i.e., final) scores from initial reviews and author responses. Although author responses do have a marginal (and statistically significant) influence on the final scores, especially for borderline papers, our results suggest that a reviewer's final score is largely determined by her initial score and the distance to the other reviewers' initial scores. In this context, we discuss the conformity bias inherent to peer reviewing, a bias that has largely been overlooked in previous research. We hope our analyses will help better assess the usefulness of the rebuttal phase in NLP conferences.

The main objective and motivation of quantum information processing is the development of new technologies based on principles of quantum mechanics such as superposition and entanglement [1]. Quantum technologies require the development of methods and principles of quantum control, the control theory of the quantum mechanical system [2]. Such methods have to be developed by taking into account the behaviour of quantum systems [3, 4]. In particular, as quantum systems are very susceptible to noise, which may influence the results of the computation, the methods of quantum control have to include the means for counteracting the decoherence [5]. The presented work is focused on the development of tools suitable for analysing the relation between the control pulses used for idealized quantum systems, and the control pulses required to execute the quantum computation in the presence of undesirable dynamics.

In multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems, one often needs to deal with assessment information with uncertainty. The evidential reasoning approach is one of the most effective methods to deal with such MADA problems. As kernel of the evidential reasoning approach, an original evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm was firstly proposed by Yang et al, and later they modified the ER algorithm in order to satisfy the proposed four synthesis axioms with which a rational aggregation process needs to satisfy. However, up to present, the essential difference of the two ER algorithms as well as the rationality of the synthesis axioms are still unclear. In this paper, we analyze the ER algorithms in Dempster-Shafer theory (DST) framework and prove that the original ER algorithm follows the reliability discounting and combination scheme, while the modified one follows the importance discounting and combination scheme. Based on these new findings, an extended ER (E R) algorithm is proposed to take into account both the reliability and importance of different attributes, which provides a more general attribute aggregation scheme for MADA with uncertainty. A motorcycle performance assessment problem is examined to illustrate the proposed algorithm. Index Terms Multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA), Dempster-Shafer theory (DST), evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm, reliability, importance.