In this work, a novel framework for the emergence of general intelligence is proposed, where agents evolve through environmental rewards and learn throughout their lifetime without supervision, i.e., self-supervised learning through embodiment. The chosen control mechanism for agents is a biologically plausible neuron model based on spiking neural networks. Network topologies become more complex through evolution, i.e., the topology is not fixed, while the synaptic weights of the networks cannot be inherited, i.e., newborn brains are not trained and have no innate knowledge of the environment. What is subject to the evolutionary process is the network topology, the type of neurons, and the type of learning. This process ensures that controllers that are passed through the generations have the intrinsic ability to learn and adapt during their lifetime in mutable environments. We envision that the described approach may lead to the emergence of the simplest form of artificial general intelligence.

Machine learning (ML) is probably the first and foremost used technique to deal with the size and complexity of the new generation of data. In this paper, we analyze one of the means to increase the performances of ML algorithms which is exploiting data locality. Data locality and access patterns are often at the heart of performance issues in computing systems due to the use of certain hardware techniques to improve performance. Altering the access patterns to increase locality can dramatically increase performance of a given algorithm. Besides, repeated data access can be seen as redundancy in data movement. Similarly, there can also be redundancy in the repetition of calculations. This work also identifies some of the opportunities for avoiding these redundancies by directly reusing computation results. We document the possibilities of such reuse in some selected machine learning algorithms and give initial indicative results from our first experiments on data access improvement and algorithm redesign.

Recent years have witnessed the world-wide emergence of mega-metropolises with incredibly huge populations. Understanding residents mobility patterns, or urban dynamics, thus becomes crucial for building modern smart cities. In this paper, we propose a Neighbor-Regularized and context-aware Non-negative Tensor Factorization model (NR-cNTF) to discover interpretable urban dynamics from urban heterogeneous data. Different from many existing studies concerned with prediction tasks via tensor completion, NR-cNTF focuses on gaining urban managerial insights from spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal patterns. This is enabled by high-quality Tucker factorizations regularized by both POI-based urban contexts and geographically neighboring relations. NR-cNTF is also capable of unveiling long-term evolutions of urban dynamics via a pipeline initialization approach. We apply NR-cNTF to a real-life data set containing rich taxi GPS trajectories and POI records of Beijing. The results indicate: 1) NR-cNTF accurately captures four kinds of city rhythms and seventeen spatial communities; 2) the rapid development of Beijing, epitomized by the CBD area, indeed intensifies the job-housing imbalance; 3) the southern areas with recent government investments have shown more healthy development tendency. Finally, NR-cNTF is compared with some baselines on traffic prediction, which further justifies the importance of urban contexts awareness and neighboring regulations.

Image partitioning, or segmentation without semantics, is the task of decomposing an image into distinct segments, or equivalently to detect closed contours. Most prior work either requires seeds, one per segment; or a threshold; or formulates the task as multicut / correlation clustering, an NP-hard problem. Here, we propose a greedy algorithm for signed graph partitioning, the "Mutex Watershed". Unlike seeded watershed, the algorithm can accommodate not only attractive but also repulsive cues, allowing it to find a previously unspecified number of segments without the need for explicit seeds or a tunable threshold. We also prove that this simple algorithm solves to global optimality an objective function that is intimately related to the multicut / correlation clustering integer linear programming formulation. The algorithm is deterministic, very simple to implement, and has empirically linearithmic complexity. When presented with short-range attractive and long-range repulsive cues from a deep neural network, the Mutex Watershed gives the best results currently known for the competitive ISBI 2012 EM segmentation benchmark.

Clinical researchers use disease progression modeling algorithms to predict future patient status and characterize progression patterns. One approach for disease progression modeling is to describe patient status using a small number of states that represent distinctive distributions over a set of observed measures. Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and its variants are a class of models that both discover these states and make predictions concerning future states for new patients. HMMs can be trained using longitudinal observations of subjects from large-scale cohort studies, clinical trials, and electronic health records. Despite the advantages of using the algorithms for discovering interesting patterns, it still remains challenging for medical experts to interpret model outputs, complex modeling parameters, and clinically make sense of the patterns. To tackle this problem, we conducted a design study with physician scientists, statisticians, and visualization experts, with the goal to investigate disease progression pathways of certain chronic diseases, namely type 1 diabetes (T1D), Huntington's disease, Parkinson's disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). As a result, we introduce DPVis which seamlessly integrates model parameters and outcomes of HMMs into interpretable, and interactive visualizations. In this study, we demonstrate that DPVis is successful in evaluating disease progression models, visually summarizing disease states, interactively exploring disease progression patterns, and designing and comparing clinically relevant subgroup cohorts by introducing a case study on observation data from clinical studies of T1D.

In this paper, we propose the use of a black-box optimization method called deterministic Mesh Adaptive Direct Search (MADS) algorithm with orthogonal directions (Ortho-MADS) for the selection of hyperparameters of Support Vector Machines with a Gaussian kernel. Different from most of the methods in the literature that exploit the properties of the data or attempt to minimize the accuracy of a validation dataset over the first quadrant of (C, gamma), the Ortho-MADS provides convergence proof. We present the MADS, followed by the Ortho-MADS, the dynamic stopping criterion defined by the MADS mesh size and two different search strategies (Nelder-Mead and Variable Neighborhood Search) that contribute to a competitive convergence rate as well as a mechanism to escape from undesired local minima. We have investigated the practical selection of hyperparameters for the Support Vector Machine with a Gaussian kernel, i.e., properly choose the hyperparameters gamma (bandwidth) and C (trade-off) on several benchmark datasets. The experimental results have shown that the proposed approach for hyperparameter tuning consistently finds comparable or better solutions, when using a common configuration, than other methods. We have also evaluated the accuracy and the number of function evaluations of the Ortho-MADS with the Nelder-Mead search strategy and the Variable Neighborhood Search strategy using the mesh size as a stopping criterion, and we have achieved accuracy that no other method for hyperparameters optimization could reach.

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy observations, along with observations of auxiliary covariates, are available. We utilize effective predictive methods from machine learning (ML), including $k$-nearest neighbors regression ($k$NN), classification and regression trees (CART), and random forests (RF), to develop specific methods that are applicable to a wide variety of problems. We demonstrate that our solution methods are asymptotically optimal under mild conditions. Additionally, we establish finite sample guarantees for the optimality of our method with $k$NN weight functions. Finally, we demonstrate the practicality of our approach with computational examples. We see a significant decrease in cost by taking into account the auxiliary data in the multistage setting.

Customer behavior is often assumed to follow weak rationality, which implies that adding a product to an assortment will not increase the choice probability of another product in that assortment. However, an increasing amount of research has revealed that customers are not necessarily rational when making decisions. In this paper, we study a new nonparametric choice model that relaxes this assumption and can model a wider range of customer behavior, such as decoy effects between products. In this model, each customer type is associated with a binary decision tree, which represents a decision process for making a purchase based on checking for the existence of specific products in the assortment. Together with a probability distribution over customer types, we show that the resulting model -- a decision forest -- is able to represent any customer choice model, including models that are inconsistent with weak rationality. We theoretically characterize the depth of the forest needed to fit a data set of historical assortments and prove that asymptotically, a forest whose depth scales logarithmically in the number of assortments is sufficient to fit most data sets. We also propose an efficient algorithm for estimating such models from data, based on combining randomization and optimization. Using synthetic data and real transaction data exhibiting non-rational behavior, we show that the model outperforms the multinomial logit and ranking-based models in out-of-sample predictive ability.

Convolutional analysis operator learning (CAOL) enables the unsupervised training of (hierarchical) convolutional sparsifying operators or autoencoders from large datasets. One can use many training images for CAOL, but a precise understanding of the impact of doing so has remained an open question. This paper presents a series of results that lend insight into the impact of dataset size on the filter update in CAOL. The first result is a general deterministic bound on errors in the estimated filters, and is followed by a bound on the expected errors as the number of training samples increases. The second result provides a high probability analogue. The bounds depend on properties of the training data, and we investigate their empirical values with real data. Taken together, these results provide evidence for the potential benefit of using more training data in CAOL.

Generative Adversarial Net (GAN) has been proven to be a powerful machine learning tool in image data analysis and generation [1]. In this paper, we propose to use Conditional Generative Adversarial Net (CGAN) [2] to learn and simulate time series data. The conditions can be both categorical and continuous variables containing different kinds of auxiliary information. Our simulation studies show that CGAN is able to learn different kinds of normal and heavy tail distributions, as well as dependent structures of different time series and it can further generate conditional predictive distributions consistent with the training data distributions. We also provide an in-depth discussion on the rationale of GAN and the neural network as hierarchical splines to draw a clear connection with the existing statistical method for distribution generation. In practice, CGAN has a wide range of applications in the market risk and counterparty risk analysis: it can be applied to learn the historical data and generate scenarios for the calculation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) and predict the movement of the market risk factors. We present a real data analysis including a backtesting to demonstrate CGAN is able to outperform the Historic Simulation, a popular method in market risk analysis for the calculation of VaR. CGAN can also be applied in the economic time series modeling and forecasting, and an example of hypothetical shock analysis for economic models and the generation of potential CCAR scenarios by CGAN is given at the end of the paper.