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RL4health: Crowdsourcing Reinforcement Learning for Knee Replacement Pathway Optimization
Joint replacement is the most common inpatient surgical treatment in the US. We investigate the clinical pathway optimization for knee replacement, which is a sequential decision process from onset to recovery. Based on episodic claims from previous cases, we view the pathway optimization as an intelligence crowdsourcing problem and learn the optimal decision policy from data by imitating the best expert at every intermediate state. We develop a reinforcement learning-based pipeline that uses value iteration, state compression and aggregation learning, kernel representation and cross validation to predict the best treatment policy. It also provides forecast of the clinical pathway under the optimized policy. Empirical validation shows that the optimized policy reduces the overall cost by 7 percent and reduces the excessive cost premium by 33 percent.
Content based News Recommendation via Shortest Entity Distance over Knowledge Graphs
Content-based news recommendation systems need to recommend news articles based on the topics and content of articles without using user specific information. Many news articles describe the occurrence of specific events and named entities including people, places or objects. In this paper, we propose a graph traversal algorithm as well as a novel weighting scheme for cold-start content based news recommendation utilizing these named entities. Seeking to create a higher degree of user-specific relevance, our algorithm computes the shortest distance between named entities, across news articles, over a large knowledge graph. Moreover, we have created a new human annotated data set for evaluating content based news recommendation systems. Experimental results show our method is suitable to tackle the hard cold-start problem and it produces stronger Pearson correlation to human similarity scores than other cold-start methods. Our method is also complementary and a combination with the conventional cold-start recommendation methods may yield significant performance gains. The dataset, CNRec, is available at: https://github.com/kevinj22/CNRec
PHom-WAE: Persitent Homology for Wasserstein Auto-Encoders
Charlier, Jeremy, Petit, Francois, Ormazabal, Gaston, State, Radu, Hilger, Jean
Auto-encoders are among the most popular neural network architecture for dimension reduction. They are composed of two parts: the encoder which maps the model distribution to a latent manifold and the decoder which maps the latent manifold to a reconstructed distribution. However, auto-encoders are known to provoke chaotically scattered data distribution in the latent manifold resulting in an incomplete reconstructed distribution. Current distance measures fail to detect this problem because they are not able to acknowledge the shape of the data manifolds, i.e. their topological features, and the scale at which the manifolds should be analyzed. We propose Persistent Homology for Wasserstein Auto-Encoders, called PHom-WAE, a new methodology to assess and measure the data distribution of a generative model. PHom-WAE minimizes the Wasserstein distance between the true distribution and the reconstructed distribution and uses persistent homology, the study of the topological features of a space at different spatial resolutions, to compare the nature of the latent manifold and the reconstructed distribution. Our experiments underline the potential of persistent homology for Wasserstein Auto-Encoders in comparison to Variational Auto-Encoders, another type of generative model. The experiments are conducted on a real-world data set particularly challenging for traditional distance measures and auto-encoders. PHom-WAE is the first methodology to propose a topological distance measure, the bottleneck distance, for Wasserstein Auto-Encoders used to compare decoded samples of high quality in the context of credit card transactions.
MQLV: Modified Q-Learning for Vasicek Model
Charlier, Jeremy, Ormazabal, Gaston, State, Radu, Hilger, Jean
In a reinforcement learning approach, an optimal value function is learned across a set of actions, or decisions, that leads to a set of states giving different rewards, with the objective to maximize the overall reward. A policy assigns to each state-action pairs an expected return. We call an optimal policy a policy for which the value function is optimal. QLBS, Q-Learner in the Black-Scholes(-Merton) Worlds, applies the reinforcement learning concepts, and noticeably, the popular Q-learning algorithm, to the financial stochastic model described by Black, Scholes and Merton. However, QLBS is specifically optimized for the geometric Brownian motion and the pricing of vanilla options. Consequently, it suffers from the traditional over-estimation of the Q-values reflected by an over-estimation of the vanilla option prices. Furthermore, its range of application is limited to vanilla option pricing within the financial markets. We propose MQLV, Modified Q-Learner for the Vasicek model, a new reinforcement learning approach that limits the Q-values over-estimation observed in QLBS and extends the simulation to mean reverting stochastic diffusion processes. Additionally, MQLV uses a digital function to estimate the future probability of an event, thus widening the scope of the financial application to any other domain involving time series. Our experiments underline the potential of MQLV on generated Monte Carlo simulations, particularly representative of the retail banking time series. In particular, MQLV is able to determine the optimal policy of money management based on the aggregated financial transactions of the clients, unlocking new frontiers to establish personalized credit card limits or loans. Finally, MQLV is the first methodology compatible with the Vasicek model capable of an event probability estimation targeting simulation of event probabilities in retail banking.
VecHGrad for solving accurately complex tensor decomposition
Charlier, Jeremy, Ormazabal, Gaston, State, Radu, Hilger, Jean
Tensor decomposition, a collection of factorization techniques for multidimensional arrays, are among the most general and powerful tools for scientific analysis. However, because of their increasing size, today's data sets require more complex tensor decomposition involving factorization with multiple matrices and diagonal tensors such as DEDICOM or PARATUCK2. Traditional tensor resolution algorithms such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Non-linear Conjugate Gradient descent (NCG) or Alternating Least Square (ALS), cannot be easily applied to complex tensor decomposition or often lead to poor accuracy at convergence. We propose a new resolution algorithm, called VecHGrad, for accurate and efficient stochastic resolution over all existing tensor decomposition, specifically designed for complex decomposition. VecHGrad relies on gradient, Hessian-vector product and adaptive line search to ensure the convergence during optimization. Our experiments on five real-world data sets with the state-of-the-art deep learning gradient optimization models show that VecHGrad is capable of converging considerably faster because of its superior theoretical convergence rate per step. Therefore, VecHGrad targets as well deep learning optimizer algorithms. The experiments are performed for various tensor decomposition including CP, DEDICOM and PARATUCK2. Although it involves a slightly more complex update rule, VecHGrad's runtime is similar in practice to that of gradient methods such as SGD, Adam or RMSProp.
A Kernel Loss for Solving the Bellman Equation
Feng, Yihao, Li, Lihong, Liu, Qiang
Value function learning plays a central role in many state-of-the-art reinforcement-learning algorithms. Many popular algorithms like Q-learning do not optimize any objective function, but are fixed-point iterations of some variant of Bellman operator that is not necessarily a contraction. As a result, they may easily lose convergence guarantees, as can be observed in practice. In this paper, we propose a novel loss function, which can be optimized using standard gradient-based methods without risking divergence. The key advantage is that its gradient can be easily approximated using sampled transitions, avoiding the need for double samples required by prior algorithms like residual gradient. Our approach may be combined with general function classes such as neural networks, on either on- or off-policy data, and is shown to work reliably and effectively in several benchmarks.
Cold Case: The Lost MNIST Digits
Although the popular MNIST dataset [LeCun et al., 1994] is derived from the NIST database [Grother and Hanaoka, 1995], the precise processing steps for this derivation have been lost to time. We propose a reconstruction that is accurate enough to serve as a replacement for the MNIST dataset, with insignificant changes in accuracy. We trace each MNIST digit to its NIST source and its rich metadata such as writer identifier, partition identifier, etc. We also reconstruct the complete MNIST test set with 60,000 samples instead of the usual 10,000. Since the balance 50,000 were never distributed, they enable us to investigate the impact of twenty-five years of MNIST experiments on the reported testing performances. Our results unambiguously confirm the trends observed by Recht et al. [2018, 2019]: although the misclassification rates are slightly off, classifier ordering and model selection remain broadly reliable. We attribute this phenomenon to the pairing benefits of comparing classifiers on the same digits.
Greedy Shallow Networks: A New Approach for Constructing and Training Neural Networks
Dereventsov, Anton, Petrosyan, Armenak, Webster, Clayton
We present a novel greedy approach to obtain a single layer neural network approximation to a target function with the use of a ReLU activation function. In our approach we construct a shallow network by utilizing a greedy algorithm where the set of possible inner weights acts as a parametrization of the prescribed dictionary. To facilitate the greedy selection we employ an integral representation of the network, based on the ridgelet transform, that significantly reduces the cardinality of the dictionary and hence promotes feasibility of the proposed method. Our approach allows for the construction of efficient architectures which can be treated either as improved initializations to be used in place of random-based alternatives, or as fully-trained networks, thus potentially nullifying the need for training and/or calibrating based on backpropagation. Numerical experiments demonstrate the tenability of the proposed concept and its advantages compared to the classical techniques for training and constructing neural networks.
Structure-preserving Method for Reconstructing Unknown Hamiltonian Systems from Trajectory Data
Wu, Kailiang, Qin, Tong, Xiu, Dongbin
We present a numerical approach for approximating unknown Hamiltonian systems using observation data. A distinct feature of the proposed method is that it is structure-preserving, in the sense that it enforces conservation of the reconstructed Hamiltonian. This is achieved by directly approximating the underlying unknown Hamiltonian, rather than the right-hand-side of the governing equations. We present the technical details of the proposed algorithm and its error estimate, along with a practical de-noising procedure to cope with noisy data. A set of numerical examples are then presented to demonstrate the structure-preserving property and effectiveness of the algorithm.
A Generalization Error Bound for Multi-class Domain Generalization
Deshmukh, Aniket Anand, Lei, Yunwen, Sharma, Srinagesh, Dogan, Urun, Cutler, James W., Scott, Clayton
Domain generalization is the problem of assigning labels to an unlabeled data set, given several similar data sets for which labels have been provided. Despite considerable interest in this problem over the last decade, there has been no theoretical analysis in the setting of multi-class classification. In this work, we study a kernel-based learning algorithm and establish a generalization error bound that scales logarithmically in the number of classes, matching state-of-the-art bounds for multi-class classification in the conventional learning setting. We also demonstrate empirically that the proposed algorithm achieves significant performance gains compared to a pooling strategy.