Traditional approaches focus on finding relationships between two entire time series, however, many interesting relationships exist in small sub-intervals of time and remain feeble during other sub-intervals. We define the notion of a sub-interval relationship (SIR) to capture such interactions that are prominent only in certain sub-intervals of time. To that end, we propose a fast-optimal guaranteed algorithm to find most interesting SIR relationship in a pair of time series. Lastly, we demonstrate the utility of our method in climate science domain based on a real-world dataset along with its scalability scope and obtain useful domain insights.

Structured prediction can be considered as a generalization of many standard supervised learning tasks, and is usually thought as a simultaneous prediction of multiple labels. One standard approach is to maximize a score function on the space of labels, which decomposes as a sum of unary and pairwise potentials, each depending on one or two specific labels, respectively. For this approach, several learning and inference algorithms have been proposed over the years, ranging from exact to approximate methods while balancing the computational complexity. However, in contrast to binary and multiclass classification, results on the necessary number of samples for achieving learning is still limited, even for a specific family of predictors such as factor graphs. In this work, we provide minimax bounds for a class of factor-graph inference models for structured prediction. That is, we characterize the necessary sample complexity for any conceivable algorithm to achieve learning of factor-graph predictors.

There is an increasing need of continual learning in dynamic systems, such as the self-driving vehicle, the surveillance drone, and the robotic system. Such a system requires learning from the data stream, training the model to preserve previous information and adapt to a new task, and generating a single-headed vector for future inference. Different from previous approaches with dynamic structures, this work focuses on a single network and model segmentation to prevent catastrophic forgetting. Leveraging the redundant capacity of a single network, model parameters for each task are separated into two groups: one important group which is frozen to preserve current knowledge, and secondary group to be saved (not pruned) for a future learning. A fixed-size memory containing a small amount of previously seen data is further adopted to assist the training. Without additional regularization, the simple yet effective approach of PST successfully incorporates multiple tasks and achieves the state-of-the-art accuracy in the single-head evaluation on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets. Moreover, the segmented training significantly improves computation efficiency in continual learning.

Consider a two-player zero-sum stochastic game where the transition function can be embedded in a given feature space. We propose a two-player Q-learning algorithm for approximating the Nash equilibrium strategy via sampling. The algorithm is shown to find an $\epsilon$-optimal strategy using sample size linear to the number of features. To further improve its sample efficiency, we develop an accelerated algorithm by adopting techniques such as variance reduction, monotonicity preservation and two-sided strategy approximation. We prove that the algorithm is guaranteed to find an $\epsilon$-optimal strategy using no more than $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(K/(\epsilon^{2}(1-\gamma)^{4}))$ samples with high probability, where $K$ is the number of features and $\gamma$ is a discount factor. The sample, time and space complexities of the algorithm are independent of original dimensions of the game.

We introduce and analyze a parallel sequential Monte Carlo methodology for the numerical solution of optimization problems that involve the minimization of a cost function that consists of the sum of many individual components. The proposed scheme is a stochastic zeroth order optimization algorithm which demands only the capability to evaluate small subsets of components of the cost function. It can be depicted as a bank of samplers that generate particle approximations of several sequences of probability measures. These measures are constructed in such a way that they have associated probability density functions whose global maxima coincide with the global minima of the original cost function. The algorithm selects the best performing sampler and uses it to approximate a global minimum of the cost function. We prove analytically that the resulting estimator converges to a global minimum of the cost function almost surely and provide explicit convergence rates in terms of the number of generated Monte Carlo samples. We show, by way of numerical examples, that the algorithm can tackle cost functions with multiple minima or with broad "flat" regions which are hard to minimize using gradient-based techniques.

Cold-start problems are long-standing challenges for practical recommendations. Most existing recommendation algorithms rely on extensive observed data and are brittle to recommendation scenarios with few interactions. This paper addresses such problems using few-shot learning and meta learning. Our approach is based on the insight that having a good generalization from a few examples relies on both a generic model initialization and an effective strategy for adapting this model to newly arising tasks. To accomplish this, we combine the scenario-specific learning with a model-agnostic sequential meta-learning and unify them into an integrated end-to-end framework, namely Scenario-specific Sequential Meta learner (or s^2 meta). By doing so, our meta-learner produces a generic initial model through aggregating contextual information from a variety of prediction tasks while effectively adapting to specific tasks by leveraging learning-to-learn knowledge. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed model can achieve significant gains over the state-of-the-arts for cold-start problems in online recommendation. Deployment is at the Guess You Like session, the front page of the Mobile Taobao.

We consider multi-label classification where the goal is to annotate each data point with the most relevant $\textit{subset}$ of labels from an extremely large label set. Efficient annotation can be achieved with balanced tree predictors, i.e. trees with logarithmic-depth in the label complexity, whose leaves correspond to labels. Designing prediction mechanism with such trees for real data applications is non-trivial as it needs to accommodate sending examples to multiple leaves while at the same time sustain high prediction accuracy. In this paper we develop the LdSM algorithm for the construction and training of multi-label decision trees, where in every node of the tree we optimize a novel objective function that favors balanced splits, maintains high class purity of children nodes, and allows sending examples to multiple directions but with a penalty that prevents tree over-growth. Each node of the tree is trained once the previous one is completed leading to a streaming approach for training. We analyze the proposed method theoretically and show that minimizing the objective leads to pure and balanced data splits. Furthermore, we prove that optimizing it results in the monotonic decrease of the error with every split. Experimental results on benchmark data sets demonstrate that our approach achieves high prediction accuracy with logarithmic-depth trees and position LdSM as a competitive tool among existing state-of-the-art tree-based approaches in terms of the statistical performance and prediction time.

Discriminative pattern mining is an essential task of data mining. This task aims to discover patterns which occur more frequently in a class than other classes in a class-labeled dataset. This type of patterns is valuable in various domains such as bioinformatics, data classification. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm, named SSDPS, to discover patterns in two-class datasets. The SSDPS algorithm owes its efficiency to an original enumeration strategy of the patterns, which allows to exploit some degrees of anti-monotonicity on the measures of discriminance and statistical significance. Experimental results demonstrate that the performance of the SSDPS algorithm is better than others. In addition, the number of generated patterns is much less than the number of the other algorithms. Experiment on real data also shows that SSDPS efficiently detects multiple SNPs combinations in genetic data.

Structured prediction can be thought of as a simultaneous prediction of multiple labels. This is often done by maximizing a score function on the space of labels, which decomposes as a sum of pairwise and unary potentials. The above is naturally modeled with a graph, where edges and vertices are related to pairwise and unary potentials, respectively. We consider the generative process proposed by Globerson et al. and apply it to general connected graphs. We analyze the structural conditions of the graph that allow for the exact recovery of the labels. Our results show that exact recovery is possible and achievable in polynomial time for a large class of graphs. In particular, we show that graphs that are bad expanders can be exactly recovered by adding small edge perturbations coming from the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model. Finally, as a byproduct of our analysis, we provide an extension of Cheeger's inequality.

There is a high demand for high-quality Non-Player Characters (NPCs) in video games. Hand-crafting their behavior is a labor intensive and error prone engineering process with limited controls exposed to the game designers. We propose to create such NPC behaviors interactively by training an agent in the target environment using imitation learning with a human in the loop. While traditional behavior cloning may fall short of achieving the desired performance, we show that interactivity can substantially improve it with a modest amount of human efforts. The model we train is a multi-resolution ensemble of Markov models, which can be used as is or can be further "compressed" into a more compact model for inference on consumer devices. We illustrate our approach on an example in OpenAI Gym, where a human can help to quickly train an agent with only a handful of interactive demonstrations. We also outline our experiments with NPC training for a first-person shooter game currently in development.