In developing countries like India agriculture plays an extremely important role in the lives of the population. In India, around 80\% of the population depend on agriculture or its by-products as the primary means for employment. Given large population dependency on agriculture, it becomes extremely important for the government to estimate market factors in advance and prepare for any deviation from those estimates. Commodity arrivals to market is an extremely important factor which is captured at district level throughout the country. Historical data and short-term prediction of important variables such as arrivals, prices, crop quality etc. for commodities are used by the government to take proactive steps and decide various policy measures. In this paper, we present a framework to work with short timeseries in conjunction with remote sensing data to predict future commodity arrivals. We deal with extremely high dimensional data which exceed the observation sizes by multiple orders of magnitude. We use cascaded layers of dimensionality reduction techniques combined with regularized regression models for prediction. We present results to predict arrivals to major markets and state wide prices for `Tur' (red gram) crop in Karnataka, India. Our model consistently beats popular ML techniques on many instances. Our model is scalable, time efficient and can be generalized to many other crops and regions. We draw multiple insights from the regression parameters, some of which are important aspects to consider when predicting more complex quantities such as prices in the future. We also combine the insights to generate important recommendations for different government organizations.

Building performance discrepancies between building design and operation are one of the causes that lead many new designs fail to achieve their goals and objectives. One of main factors contributing to the discrepancy is occupant behaviors. Occupants responding to a new design are influenced by several factors. Existing building performance models (BPMs) ignore or partially address those factors (called contextual factors) while developing BPMs. To potentially reduce the discrepancies and improve the prediction accuracy of BPMs, this paper proposes a computational framework for learning mixture models by using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) that appropriately combining existing BPMs with knowledge on occupant behaviors to contextual factors in new designs. Immersive virtual environments (IVEs) experiments are used to acquire data on such behaviors. Performance targets are used to guide appropriate combination of existing BPMs with knowledge on occupant behaviors. The resulting model obtained is called an augmented BPM. Two different experiments related to occupant lighting behaviors are shown as case study. The results reveal that augmented BPMs significantly outperformed existing BPMs with respect to achieving specified performance targets. The case study confirms the potential of the computational framework for improving prediction accuracy of BPMs during design.

Sequence-processing neural networks led to remarkable progress on many NLP tasks. As a consequence, there has been increasing interest in understanding to what extent they process language as humans do. We aim here to uncover which biases such models display with respect to "natural" word-order constraints. We train models to communicate about paths in a simple gridworld, using miniature languages that reflect or violate various natural language trends, such as the tendency to avoid redundancy or to minimize long-distance dependencies. We study how the controlled characteristics of our miniature languages affect individual learning and their stability across multiple network generations. The results draw a mixed picture. On the one hand, neural networks show a strong tendency to avoid long-distance dependencies. On the other hand, there is no clear preference for the efficient, non-redundant encoding of information that is widely attested in natural language. We thus suggest inoculating a notion of "effort" into neural networks, as a possible way to make their linguistic behavior more human-like.

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive performance in many applications but their large number of parameters lead to significant computational and storage overheads. Several recent works attempt to mitigate these overheads by designing compact networks using pruning of connections. However, we observe that most of the existing strategies to design compact networks fail to preserve network robustness against adversarial examples. In this work, we rigorously study the extension of network pruning strategies to preserve both benign accuracy and robustness of a network. Starting with a formal definition of the pruning procedure, including pre-training, weights pruning, and fine-tuning, we propose a new pruning method that can create compact networks while preserving both benign accuracy and robustness. Our method is based on two main insights: (1) we ensure that the training objectives of the pre-training and fine-tuning steps match the training objective of the desired robust model (e.g., adversarial robustness/verifiable robustness), and (2) we keep the pruning strategy agnostic to pre-training and fine-tuning objectives. We evaluate our method on four different networks on the CIFAR-10 dataset and measure benign accuracy, empirical robust accuracy, and verifiable robust accuracy. We demonstrate that our pruning method can preserve on average 93\% benign accuracy, 92.5\% empirical robust accuracy, and 85.0\% verifiable robust accuracy while compressing the tested network by 10$\times$.

We present in this paper experiments on Table Recognition in hand-written registry books. We first explain how the problem of row and column detection is modeled, and then compare two Machine Learning approaches (Conditional Random Field and Graph Convolutional Network) for detecting these table elements. Evaluation was conducted on death records provided by the Archive of the Diocese of Passau. Both methods show similar results, a 89 F1 score, a quality which allows for Information Extraction. Software and dataset are open source/data.

Smart Meters (SMs) are an important component of smart electrical grids, but they have also generated serious concerns about privacy data of consumers. In this paper, we present a general formulation of the privacy-preserving problem in SMs from an information-theoretic perspective. In order to capture the casual time series structure of the power measurements, we employ Directed Information (DI) as an adequate measure of privacy. On the other hand, to cope with a variety of potential applications of SMs data, we study different distortion measures along with the standard squared-error distortion. This formulation leads to a quite general training objective (or loss) which is optimized under a deep learning adversarial framework where two Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), referred to as the releaser and the attacker, are trained with opposite goals. An exhaustive empirical study is then performed to validate the proposed approach for different privacy problems in three actual data sets. Finally, we study the impact of the data mismatch problem, which occurs when the releaser and the attacker have different training data sets and show that privacy may not require a large level of distortion in real-world scenarios.

Understanding transition events between metastable states is of great importance in the applied sciences. Wellknown examples of the transition events include nucleation events during phase transitions, conformational changes of bio-molecules, dislocation dynamics in crystalline solids, etc. The long time scale associated with these events is a consequence of the disparity between the effective thermal energy and typical energy barrier of the systems. The dynamics proceeds by long waiting periods around metastable states followed by sudden jumps from one state to another. For this reason, the transition event is called rare event. The main objective in the study of rare events is to understand the transition mechanism, such as the transition pathway and transition states.

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a well-known and popular nonparametric regression approach with many desirable properties, including minimax rate-optimality in estimating functions that belong to common reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). The approach, however, is computationally intensive for large data sets, due to the need to operate on a dense $n \times n$ kernel matrix, where $n$ is the sample size. Recently, various approximation schemes for solving KRR have been considered, and some analyzed. Some approaches such as Nystr\"{o}m approximation and sketching have been shown to preserve the rate optimality of KRR. In this paper, we consider the simplest approximation, namely, spectrally truncating the kernel matrix to its largest $r < n$ eigenvalues. We derive an exact expression for the maximum risk of this truncated KRR, over the unit ball of the RKHS. This result can be used to study the exact trade-off between the level of spectral truncation and the regularization parameter of the KRR. We show that, as long as the RKHS is infinite-dimensional, there is a threshold on $r$, above which, the spectrally-truncated KRR, surprisingly, outperforms the full KRR in terms of the minimax risk, where the minimum is taken over the regularization parameter. This strengthens the existing results on approximation schemes, by showing that not only one does not lose in terms of the rates, truncation can in fact improve the performance, for all finite samples (above the threshold). In other words, there is nothing to be gained by running the full KRR and one should always truncate. Our proof is elementary and distribution-free, only requiring the noise vector to be isotropic.

In classical federated learning a central server coordinates the training of a single model on a massively distributed network of devices. This setting can be naturally extended to a multi-task learning framework, to handle real-world federated datasets that typically show strong non-IID data distributions among devices. Even though federated multi-task learning has been shown to be an effective paradigm for real world datasets, it has been applied only to convex models. In this work we introduce VIRTUAL, an algorithm for federated multi-task learning with non-convex models. In VIRTUAL the federated network of the server and the clients is treated as a star-shaped Bayesian network, and learning is performed on the network using approximated variational inference. We show that this method is effective on real-world federated datasets, outperforming the current state-of-the-art for federated learning.

Active learning is an important technique to reduce the number of labeled examples in supervised learning. Active learning for binary classification has been well addressed. However, active learning of reject option classifier is still an unsolved problem. In this paper, we propose novel algorithms for active learning of reject option classifiers. We develop an active learning algorithm using double ramp loss function. We provide mistake bounds for this algorithm. We also propose a new loss function called double sigmoid loss function for reject option and corresponding active learning algorithm. We provide extensive experimental results to show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. The proposed algorithms efficiently reduce the number of label examples required.