The hedonic approach based on a regression model has been widely adopted for the prediction of real estate property price and rent. In particular, a spatial regression technique called Kriging, a method of interpolation that was advanced in the field of spatial statistics, are known to enable high accuracy prediction in light of the spatial dependence of real estate property data. Meanwhile, there has been a rapid increase in machine learning-based prediction using a large (big) dataset and its effectiveness has been demonstrated in previous studies. However, no studies have ever shown the extent to which predictive accuracy differs for Kriging and machine learning techniques using big data. Thus, this study compares the predictive accuracy of apartment rent price in Japan between the nearest neighbor Gaussian processes (NNGP) model, which enables application of Kriging to big data, and the deep neural network (DNN), a representative machine learning technique, with a particular focus on the data sample size (n = 10^4, 10^5, 10^6) and differences in predictive performance. Our analysis showed that, with an increase in sample size, the out-of-sample predictive accuracy of DNN approached that of NNGP and they were nearly equal on the order of n = 10^6. Furthermore, it is suggested that, for both higher and lower end properties whose rent price deviates from the median, DNN may have a higher predictive accuracy than that of NNGP.

Large-batch stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is widely used for training in distributed deep learning because of its training-time efficiency, however, extremely large-batch SGD leads to poor generalization and easily converges to sharp minima, which prevents naive large-scale data-parallel SGD (DP-SGD) from converging to good minima. To overcome this difficulty, we propose gradient noise convolution (GNC), which effectively smooths sharper minima of the loss function. For DP-SGD, GNC utilizes so-called gradient noise, which is induced by stochastic gradient variation and convolved to the loss function as a smoothing effect. GNC computation can be performed by simply computing the stochastic gradient on each parallel worker and merging them, and is therefore extremely easy to implement. Due to convolving with the gradient noise, which tends to spread along a sharper direction of the loss function, GNC can effectively smooth sharp minima and achieve better generalization, whereas isotropic random noise cannot. We empirically show this effect by comparing GNC with isotropic random noise, and show that it achieves state-of-the-art generalization performance for large-scale deep neural network optimization.

Accurate models of patient survival probabilities provide important information to clinicians prescribing care for life-threatening and terminal ailments. A recently developed class of models - known as individual survival distributions (ISDs) - produces patient-specific survival functions that offer greater descriptive power of patient outcomes than was previously possible. Unfortunately, at the time of writing, ISD models almost universally lack uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we demonstrate that an existing method for estimating simultaneous prediction intervals from samples can easily be adapted for patient-specific survival curve analysis and yields accurate results. Furthermore, we introduce both a modification to the existing method and a novel method for estimating simultaneous prediction intervals and show that they offer competitive performance. It is worth emphasizing that these methods are not limited to survival analysis and can be applied in any context in which sampling the distribution of interest is tractable. Code is available at https://github.com/ssokota/spie .

There is substantial interest in the use of machine learning (ML) based techniques throughout the electronic computer-aided design (CAD) flow, particularly those based on deep learning. However, while deep learning methods have surpassed state-of-the-art performance in several applications, they have exhibited intrinsic susceptibility to adversarial perturbations --- small but deliberate alterations to the input of a neural network, precipitating incorrect predictions. In this paper, we seek to investigate whether adversarial perturbations pose risks to ML-based CAD tools, and if so, how these risks can be mitigated. To this end, we use a motivating case study of lithographic hotspot detection, for which convolutional neural networks (CNN) have shown great promise. In this context, we show the first adversarial perturbation attacks on state-of-the-art CNN-based hotspot detectors; specifically, we show that small (on average 0.5% modified area), functionality preserving and design-constraint satisfying changes to a layout can nonetheless trick a CNN-based hotspot detector into predicting the modified layout as hotspot free (with up to 99.7% success). We propose an adversarial retraining strategy to improve the robustness of CNN-based hotspot detection and show that this strategy significantly improves robustness (by a factor of ~3) against adversarial attacks without compromising classification accuracy.

Manifold learning techniques for dynamical systems and time series have shown their utility for a broad spectrum of applications in recent years. While these methods are effective at learning a low-dimensional representation, they are often insufficient for visualizing the global and local structure of the data. In this paper, we present DIG (Dynamical Information Geometry), a visualization method for multivariate time series data that extracts an information geometry from a diffusion framework. Specifically, we implement a novel group of distances in the context of diffusion operators, which may be useful to reveal structure in the data that may not be accessible by the commonly used diffusion distances. Finally, we present a case study applying our visualization tool to EEG data to visualize sleep stages.

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a widely used tool for modeling sequential data, yet they are often treated as inscrutable black boxes. Given a trained recurrent network, we would like to reverse engineer it--to obtain a quantitative, interpretable description of how it solves a particular task. Even for simple tasks, a detailed understanding of how recurrent networks work, or a prescription for how to develop such an understanding, remains elusive. In this work, we use tools from dynamical systems analysis to reverse engineer recurrent networks trained to perform sentiment classification, a foundational natural language processing task. Given a trained network, we find fixed points of the recurrent dynamics and linearize the nonlinear system around these fixed points. Despite their theoretical capacity to implement complex, high-dimensional computations, we find that trained networks converge to highly interpretable, low-dimensional representations. In particular, the topological structure of the fixed points and corresponding linearized dynamics reveal an approximate line attractor within the RNN, which we can use to quantitatively understand how the RNN solves the sentiment analysis task. Finally, we find this mechanism present across RNN architectures (including LSTMs, GRUs, and vanilla RNNs) trained on multiple datasets, suggesting that our findings are not unique to a particular architecture or dataset. Overall, these results demonstrate that surprisingly universal and human interpretable computations can arise across a range of recurrent networks.

Developing learning methods which do not discriminate subgroups in the population is a central goal of algorithmic fairness. One way to reach this goal is by modifying the data representation in order to meet certain fairness constraints. In this work we measure fairness according to demographic parity. This requires the probability of the possible model decisions to be independent of the sensitive information. We argue that the goal of imposing demographic parity can be substantially facilitated within a multitask learning setting. We leverage task similarities by encouraging a shared fair representation across the tasks via low rank matrix factorization. We derive learning bounds establishing that the learned representation transfers well to novel tasks both in terms of prediction performance and fairness metrics. We present experiments on three real world datasets, showing that the proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches by a significant margin.

Two important topics in deep learning both involve incorporating humans into the modeling process: Model priors transfer information from humans to a model by constraining the model's parameters; Model attributions transfer information from a model to humans by explaining the model's behavior. We propose connecting these topics with attribution priors (https://github.com/suinleelab/attributionpriors), which allow humans to use the common language of attributions to enforce prior expectations about a model's behavior during training. We develop a differentiable axiomatic feature attribution method called expected gradients and show how to directly regularize these attributions during training. We demonstrate the broad applicability of attribution priors ($\Omega$) by presenting three distinct examples that regularize models to behave more intuitively in three different domains: 1) on image data, $\Omega_{\textrm{pixel}}$ encourages models to have piecewise smooth attribution maps; 2) on gene expression data, $\Omega_{\textrm{graph}}$ encourages models to treat functionally related genes similarly; 3) on a health care dataset, $\Omega_{\textrm{sparse}}$ encourages models to rely on fewer features. In all three domains, attribution priors produce models with more intuitive behavior and better generalization performance by encoding constraints that would otherwise be very difficult to encode using standard model priors.

This paper models the crowdsourced labeling/classification problem as a sparsely encoded source coding problem, where each query answer, regarded as a code bit, is the XOR of a small number of labels, as source information bits. In this paper we leverage the connections between this problem and well-studied codes with sparse representations for the channel coding problem to provide querying schemes with almost optimal number of queries, each of which involving only a constant number of labels. We also extend this scenario to the case where some workers can be unresponsive. For this case, we propose querying schemes where each query involves only log n items, where n is the total number of items to be labeled. Furthermore, we consider classification of two correlated labeling systems and provide two-stage querying schemes with almost optimal number of queries each involving a constant number of labels.

In this paper we propose a fusion approach to continuous emotion recognition that combines visual and auditory modalities in their representation spaces to predict the arousal and valence levels. The proposed approach employs a pre-trained convolution neural network and transfer learning to extract features from video frames that capture the emotional content. For the auditory content, a minimalistic set of parameters such as prosodic, excitation, vocal tract, and spectral descriptors are used as features. The fusion of these two modalities is carried out at a feature level, before training a single support vector regressor (SVR) or at a prediction level, after training one SVR for each modality. The proposed approach also includes preprocessing and post-processing techniques which contribute favorably to improving the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC). Experimental results for predicting spontaneous and natural emotions on the RECOLA dataset have shown that the proposed approach takes advantage of the complementary information of visual and auditory modalities and provides CCCs of 0.749 and 0.565 for arousal and valence, respectively.