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Multi-Element Long Distance Dependencies: Using SPk Languages to Explore the Characteristics of Long-Distance Dependencies

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In order to successfully model Long Distance Dependencies (LDDs) it is necessary to understand the full-range of the characteristics of the LDDs exhibited in a target dataset. In this paper, we use Strictly k-Piecewise languages to generate datasets with various properties. We then compute the characteristics of the LDDs in these datasets using mutual information and analyze the impact of factors such as (i) k, (ii) length of LDDs, (iii) vocabulary size, (iv) forbidden subsequences, and (v) dataset size. This analysis reveal that the number of interacting elements in a dependency is an important characteristic of LDDs. This leads us to the challenge of modelling multi-element long-distance dependencies. Our results suggest that attention mechanisms in neural networks may aide in modeling datasets with multi-element long-distance dependencies. However, we conclude that there is a need to develop more efficient attention mechanisms to address this issue.


Detecting Spoofing Attacks Using VGG and SincNet: BUT-Omilia Submission to ASVspoof 2019 Challenge

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we present the system description of the joint efforts of Brno University of Technology (BUT) and Omilia -- Conversational Intelligence for the ASVSpoof2019 Spoofing and Countermeasures Challenge. The primary submission for Physical access (PA) is a fusion of two VGG networks, trained on single and two-channels features. For Logical access (LA), our primary system is a fusion of VGG and the recently introduced SincNet architecture. The results on PA show that the proposed networks yield very competitive performance in all conditions and achieved 86\:\% relative improvement compared to the official baseline. On the other hand, the results on LA showed that although the proposed architecture and training strategy performs very well on certain spoofing attacks, it fails to generalize to certain attacks that are unseen during training.


Image Evolution Trajectory Prediction and Classification from Baseline using Learning-based Patch Atlas Selection for Early Diagnosis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Patients initially diagnosed with early mild cognitive impairment (eMCI) are known to be a clinically heterogeneous group with very subtle patterns of brain atrophy. To examine the boarders between normal controls (NC) and eMCI, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) was extensively used as a non-invasive imaging modality to pin-down subtle changes in brain images of MCI patients. However, eMCI research remains limited by the number of available MRI acquisition timepoints. Ideally, one would learn how to diagnose MCI patients in an early stage from MRI data acquired at a single timepoint, while leveraging 'non-existing' follow-up observations. To this aim, we propose novel supervised and unsupervised frameworks that learn how to jointly predict and label the evolution trajectory of intensity patches, each seeded at a specific brain landmark, from a baseline intensity patch. Specifically, both strategies aim to identify the best training atlas patches at baseline timepoint to predict and classify the evolution trajectory of a given testing baseline patch. The supervised technique learns how to select the best atlas patches by training bidirectional mappings from the space of pairwise patch similarities to their corresponding prediction errors -when one patch was used to predict the other. On the other hand, the unsupervised technique learns a manifold of baseline atlas and testing patches using multiple kernels to well capture patch distributions at multiple scales. Once the best baseline atlas patches are selected, we retrieve their evolution trajectories and average them to predict the evolution trajectory of the testing baseline patch. Next, we input the predicted trajectories to an ensemble of linear classifiers, each trained at a specific landmark. Our classification accuracy increased by up to 10% points in comparison to single timepoint-based classification methods.


Mid-price Prediction Based on Machine Learning Methods with Technical and Quantitative Indicators

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative analysis and tested their validity on short-term mid-price movement prediction. We focus on a wrapper feature selection method using entropy, least-mean squares, and linear discriminant analysis. We also build a new quantitative feature based on adaptive logistic regression for online learning, which is constantly selected first among the majority of the proposed feature selection methods. This study examines the best combination of features using high frequency limit order book data from Nasdaq Nordic. Our results suggest that sorting methods and classifiers can be used in such a way that one can reach the best performance with a combination of only very few advanced hand-crafted features.


Modeling the Uncertainty in Electronic Health Records: a Bayesian Deep Learning Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep learning models have exhibited superior performance in predictive tasks with the explosively increasing Electronic Health Records (EHR). However, due to the lack of transparency, behaviors of deep learning models are difficult to interpret. Without trustworthiness, deep learning models will not be able to assist in the real-world decision-making process of healthcare issues. We propose a deep learning model based on Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) to predict uncertainty induced by data noise. The uncertainty is introduced to provide model predictions with an extra level of confidence. Our experiments verify that instances with high uncertainty are harmful to model performance. Moreover, by investigating the distributions of model prediction and uncertainty, we show that it is possible to identify a group of patients for timely intervention, such that decreasing data noise will benefit more on the prediction accuracy for these patients.


The Use of Gaussian Processes in System Identification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it on the observed data. In system identification, Gaussian processes are used to form time series prediction models such as non-linear finite-impulse response (NFIR) models as well as non-linear autoregressive (NARX) models. Gaussian process state-space models (GPSS) can be used to learn the dynamic and measurement models for a state-space representation of the input-output data. Temporal and spatio-temporal Gaussian processes can be directly used to form regressor on the data in the time domain. The aim of this article is to briefly outline the main directions in system identification methods using Gaussian processes.


Multiscale Principle of Relevant Information for Hyperspectral Image Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a novel architecture, termed multiscale principle of relevant information (MPRI), to learn discriminative spectral-spatial features for hyperspectral image (HSI) classification. MPRI inherits the merits of the principle of relevant information (PRI) to effectively extract multiscale information embedded in the given data, and also takes advantage of the multilayer structure to learn representations in a coarse-to-fine manner. Specifically, MPRI performs spectral-spatial pixel characterization (using PRI) and feature dimensionality reduction (using regularized linear discriminant analysis) iteratively and successively. Extensive experiments on four benchmark data sets demonstrate that MPRI outperforms existing state-of-the-art HSI classification methods (including deep learning based ones) qualitatively and quantitatively, especially in the scenario of limited training samples. I. INTRODUCTION With the rapid development of hyperspectral imaging techniques, current sensors always have high spectral and spatial resolution [1]. This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 61502195), and in part by the Office of Naval Research Science of Autonomy (Grant No. N000141812306). Yantao Wei is with School of Educational Information Technology, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China (email: yantaowei@mail.ccnu.edu.cn).


Extracting Interpretable Physical Parameters from Spatiotemporal Systems using Unsupervised Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Experimental data is often affected by uncontrolled variables that make analysis and interpretation difficult. For spatiotemporal systems, this problem is further exacerbated by their intricate dynamics. Modern machine learning methods are well-suited for modeling complex datasets, but to be effective in science, the result needs to be interpretable. We demonstrate an unsupervised learning technique for extracting interpretable physical parameters from noisy spatiotemporal data and for building a transferable model of the system. In particular, we implement a physics-informed architecture based on variational autoencoders that is designed for analyzing systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The architecture is trained end-to-end and extracts latent parameters that parameterize the dynamics of a learned predictive model for the system. To test our method, we train the architecture on simulated data from a variety of PDEs with varying dynamical parameters that act as uncontrolled variables. Specifically, we examine the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation with varying viscosity damping parameter, the nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation with varying nonlinearity coefficient, and the convection-diffusion equation with varying diffusion constant and drift velocity. Numerical experiments show that our method can accurately identify relevant parameters and extract them from raw and even noisy spatiotemporal data (tested with roughly 10% added noise). These extracted parameters correlate well (linearly with $R^2>0.95$) with the ground truth physical parameters used to generate the datasets. Our method for discovering interpretable latent parameters in spatiotemporal systems will allow us to better analyze and understand real-world phenomena and datasets, which often have uncontrolled variables that alter the system dynamics and cause varying behaviors that are difficult to disentangle.


A Study and Analysis of a Feature Subset Selection Technique using Penguin Search Optimization Algorithm (FS-PeSOA)

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In today world of enormous amounts of data, it is very important to extract useful knowledge from it. This can be accomplished by feature subset selection. Feature subset selection is a method of selecting a minimum number of features with the help of which our machine can learn and predict which class a particular data belongs to. We will introduce a new adaptive algorithm called Feature selection Penguin Search optimization algorithm which is a metaheuristic approach. It is adapted from the natural hunting strategy of penguins in which a group of penguins take jumps at random depths and come back and share the status of food availability with other penguins and in this way, the global optimum solution is found. In order to explore the feature subset candidates, the bioinspired approach Penguin Search optimization algorithm generates during the process a trial feature subset and estimates its fitness value by using three different classifiers for each case: Random Forest, Nearest Neighbour and Support Vector Machines. However, we are planning to implement our proposed approach Feature selection Penguin Search optimization algorithm on some well known benchmark datasets collected from the UCI repository and also try to evaluate and compare its classification accuracy with some state of art algorithms.


Parameterized Exploration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce Parameterized Exploration (PE), a simple family of methods for model-based tuning of the exploration schedule in sequential decision problems. Unlike common heuristics for exploration, our method accounts for the time horizon of the decision problem as well as the agent's current state of knowledge of the dynamics of the decision problem. We show our method as applied to several common exploration techniques has superior performance relative to un-tuned counterparts in Bernoulli and Gaussian multi-armed bandits, contextual bandits, and a Markov decision process based on a mobile health (mHealth) study. We also examine the effects of the accuracy of the estimated dynamics model on the performance of PE.