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Learning to Explore in Motion and Interaction Tasks
Bogdanovic, Miroslav, Righetti, Ludovic
-- Model free reinforcement learning suffers from the high sampling complexity inherent to robotic manipulation or locomotion tasks. Most successful approaches typically use random sampling strategies which leads to slow policy convergence. In this paper we present a novel approach for efficient exploration that leverages previously learned tasks. We exploit the fact that the same system is used across many tasks and build a generative model for exploration based on data from previously solved tasks to improve learning new tasks. The approach also enables continuous learning of improved exploration strategies as novel tasks are learned. Extensive simulations on a robot manipulator performing a variety of motion and contact interaction tasks demonstrate the capabilities of the approach. In particular, our experiments suggest that the exploration strategy can more than double learning speed, especially when rewards are sparse. Moreover, the algorithm is robust to task variations and parameter tuning, making it beneficial for complex robotic problems. I. INTRODUCTION Deep reinforcement learning has attracted a lot of attention for robotic applications where full robot models can be difficult to identify, especially for contact dynamics, and lead to computationally challenging planning and control problems.
Key Ingredients of Self-Driving Cars
Fan, Rui, Jiao, Jianhao, Ye, Haoyang, Yu, Yang, Pitas, Ioannis, Liu, Ming
Abstract--Over the past decade, many research articles have been published in the area of autonomous driving. However, most of them focus only on a specific technological area, such as visual environment perception, vehicle control, etc. Furthermore, due to fast advances in the self-driving car technology, such articles become obsolete very fast. Junior [7] software architecture has Over the past decade, with a number of autonomous system five parts: sensor interface, perception, navigation (planning technology breakthroughs being witnessed in the world, the and control), drive-by-wire interface (user interface and vehicle race to commercialize Autonomous Cars (ACs) has become interface) and global services. Boss [8] uses a threelayer fiercer than ever [1].
DeepAISE -- An End-to-End Development and Deployment of a Recurrent Neural Survival Model for Early Prediction of Sepsis
Shashikumar, Supreeth P., Josef, Christopher, Sharma, Ashish, Nemati, Shamim
Abstract: Sepsis, a dysregulated immune system response to infection, is among the leading causes of morbidity, mortality, and cost overruns in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Ear ly prediction of sepsis can improve situational awareness amongst clinicians and facilitate timely, protective interventions. While the application of predictive analytics in ICU patients has shown early promising results, much of the work has been encumbe red by high false - alarm rates. Efforts to improve specificity have been limited by several factors, most notably the difficulty of labeling sepsis onset time and the low prevalence of septic - events in the ICU. We show that by coupling a clinical criterion for defining sepsis onset time with a treatment policy (e.g., initiation of antibiotics within one hour of meeting the criterion), one may rank the relative utility of various criteria through offline policy evaluation. Given the optimal criterion, DeepAISE automatically learns predictive features related to higher - order interactions and temporal patterns among clinic al risk factors that maximize the data likelihood of observed time to septic events. DeepAISE has been incorporated into a clinical workflow, which provides real - time hourly sepsis risk scores. A comparative study of four baseline models indicates that Dee pAISE produces the most accurate predictions (AUC 0.90 and 0.87) and the lowest false alarm rates (FAR 0.20 and 0.26) in two separate cohorts (internal and external, respectively), while simultaneously producing interpretable representations of the clinica l time series and risk factors. Introduction Sepsis is a syndromic, life - threatening condition that arises when the body's response to infection injures its own internal organs (1) . Though the condition lacks the same public notoriety as other conditions like heart attacks, 6% of all hospitalized patients in the U nited S tates carry a primary diagnosis of sepsis as compared to 2.5% for the latter (2) . When all hospital deaths are ultimately considered, nearly 35% are attributable to sepsis (2) . This condition stands in stark contrast to heart attacks which have a mortality rate of 2.7 - 9.6% and only cost the US $12.1 billion ann ually, roughly half of the cost of sepsis (3) .
Transcriptional Response of SK-N-AS Cells to Methamidophos
Vertes, Akos, Arul, Albert-Baskar, Avar, Peter, Korte, Andrew R., Parvin, Lida, Sahab, Ziad J., Bunin, Deborah I., Knapp, Merrill, Nishita, Denise, Poggio, Andrew, Stehr, Mark-Oliver, Talcott, Carolyn L., Davis, Brian M., Morton, Christine A., Sevinsky, Christopher J., Zavodszky, Maria I.
Transcriptomics response of SK-N-AS cells to methamidophos (an acetylcholine esterase inhibitor) exposure was measured at 10 time points between 0.5 and 48 h. The data was analyzed using a combination of traditional statistical methods and novel machine learning algorithms for detecting anomalous behavior and infer causal relations between time profiles. We identified several processes that appeared to be upregulated in cells treated with methamidophos including: unfolded protein response, response to cAMP, calcium ion response, and cell-cell signaling. The data confirmed the expected consequence of acetylcholine buildup. In addition, transcripts with potentially key roles were identified and causal networks relating these transcripts were inferred using two different computational methods: Siamese convolutional networks and time warp causal inference. Two types of anomaly detection algorithms, one based on Autoencoders and the other one based on Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), were applied to narrow down the set of relevant transcripts.
Predicting Rare Events in Multiscale Dynamical Systems using Machine Learning
Lim, Soon Hoe, Giorgini, Ludovico Theo, Moon, Woosok, Wettlaufer, J. S.
We study the problem of rare event prediction for a class of slow-fast nonlinear dynamical systems. The state of the system of interest is described by a slow process, whereas a faster process drives its evolution. By taking advantage of recent advances in machine learning, we present a data-driven method to predict the future evolution of the state. We show that our method is capable of predicting a rare event at least several time steps in advance. We demonstrate our method using numerical experiments on two examples and discuss the mathematical and broader implications of our results.
Autoregressive-Model-Based Methods for Online Time Series Prediction with Missing Values: an Experimental Evaluation
Chen, Xi, Wang, Hongzhi, Wei, Yanjie, Li, Jianzhong, Gao, Hong
Time series prediction with missing values is an important problem of time series analysis since complete data is usually hard to obtain in many real-world applications. To model the generation of time series, autoregressive (AR) model is a basic and widely used one, which assumes that each observation in the time series is a noisy linear combination of some previous observations along with a constant shift. To tackle the problem of prediction with missing values, a number of methods were proposed based on various data models. For real application scenarios, how do these methods perform over different types of time series with different levels of data missing remains to be investigated. In this paper, we focus on online methods for AR-model-based time series prediction with missing values. We adapted five mainstream methods to fit in such a scenario. We make detailed discussion on each of them by introducing their core ideas about how to estimate the AR coefficients and their different strategies to deal with missing values. We also present algorithmic implementations for better understanding. In order to comprehensively evaluate these methods and do the comparison, we conduct experiments with various configurations of relative parameters over both synthetic and real data. From the experimental results, we derived several noteworthy conclusions and shows that imputation is a simple but reliable strategy to handle missing values in online prediction tasks.
A Critical Note on the Evaluation of Clustering Algorithms
Zhong, Li, Zhang, Tiantian, Yuan, Bo
Experimental evaluation is a major research methodology for investigating clustering algorithms. For this purpose, a number of benchmark datasets have been widely used in the literature and their quality plays an important role on the value of the research work. However, in most of the existing studies, little attention has been paid to the specific properties of the datasets and they are often regarded as black-box problems. In our work, with the help of advanced visualization and dimension reduction techniques, we show that there are potential issues with some of the popular benchmark datasets used to evaluate clustering algorithms that may seriously compromise the research quality and even may produce completely misleading results. We suggest that significant efforts need to be devoted to improving the current practice of experimental evaluation of clustering algorithms by having a principled analysis of each benchmark dataset of interest.
Large-scale Traffic Signal Control Using a Novel Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning
Wang, Xiaoqiang, Ke, Liangjun, Qiao, Zhimin, Chai, Xinghua
Finding the optimal signal timing strategy is a difficult task for the problem of large-scale traffic signal control (TSC). Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) is a promising method to solve this problem. However, there is still room for improvement in extending to large-scale problems and modeling the behaviors of other agents for each individual agent. In this paper, a new MARL, called Cooperative double Q-learning (Co-DQL), is proposed, which has several prominent features. It uses a highly scalable independent double Q-learning method based on double estimators and the UCB policy, which can eliminate the over-estimation problem existing in traditional independent Q-learning while ensuring exploration. It uses mean field approximation to model the interaction among agents, thereby making agents learn a better cooperative strategy. In order to improve the stability and robustness of the learning process, we introduce a new reward allocation mechanism and a local state sharing method. In addition, we analyze the convergence properties of the proposed algorithm. Co-DQL is applied on TSC and tested on a multi-traffic signal simulator. According to the results obtained on several traffic scenarios, Co- DQL outperforms several state-of-the-art decentralized MARL algorithms. It can effectively shorten the average waiting time of the vehicles in the whole road system.
LoRMIkA: Local Rule-based Model Interpretability with k-optimal Associations
Rajapaksha, Dilini, Bergmeir, Christoph, Buntine, Wray
--As we rely more and more on machine learning models for real-life decision-making, being able to understand and trust the predictions becomes ever more important. Local explainer models have recently been introduced to explain the predictions of complex machine learning models at the instance level. In this paper, we propose Local Rule-based Model In-terpretability with k-optimal Associations (LoRMIkA), a novel model-agnostic approach that obtains k-optimal association rules from a neighbourhood of the instance to be explained. Compared to other rule-based approaches in the literature, we argue that the most predictive rules are not necessarily the rules that provide the best explanations. Consequently, the LoRMIkA framework provides a flexible way to obtain predictive and interesting rules. It uses an efficient search algorithm guaranteed to find the k-optimal rules with respect to objectives such as strength, lift, leverage, coverage, and support. It also provides multiple rules which explain the decision and counterfactual rules, which give indications for potential changes to obtain different outputs for given instances. We compare our approach to other state-of-the-art approaches in local model interpretability on three different datasets, and achieve competitive results in terms of local accuracy and interpretability. Explainability of machine learning models is becoming ever more important; for example, the European General Data Protection Regulation from 2018 contains a right to explanation concept for any decision provided by predictive models. Recently, model-agnostic interpretability methods have been introduced that offer such explanations for predictions.
Introduction to the 35th International Conference on Logic Programming Special Issue
Erdem, Esra, Formisano, Andrea, Vidal, German, Yang, Fangkai
This volume contains the Regular Papers, Technical Communicationsand the Doctoral Consortium papers of the 35th International Conference on Log ic Programming (ICLP 2019), held in Las Cruces, New Mexico, USA, from September 20-25, 2019. Since the first conference held in Marseille in 1982, ICLP has been the premier international event for presenting research in logic programming. Cont ributions are sought in all areas of logic programming, including but not restricted to: Foundations: Semantics, Formalisms, Nonmonotonic reasoning, Knowledge repre sen-tation.