The devastating effects of cyber-attacks, highlight the need for novel attack detection and prevention techniques. Over the last years, considerable work has been done in the areas of attack detection as well as in collaborative defense. However, an analysis of the state of the art suggests that many challenges exist in prioritizing alert data and in studying the relation between a recently discovered attack and the probability of it occurring again. In this article, we propose a system that is intended for characterizing network entities and the likelihood that they will behave maliciously in the future. Our system, namely Network Entity Reputation Database System (NERDS), takes into account all the available information regarding a network entity (e. g. IP address) to calculate the probability that it will act maliciously. The latter part is achieved via the utilization of machine learning. Our experimental results show that it is indeed possible to precisely estimate the probability of future attacks from each entity using information about its previous malicious behavior and other characteristics. Ranking the entities by this probability has practical applications in alert prioritization, assembly of highly effective blacklists of a limited length and other use cases.

In population synthesis applications, when considering populations with many attributes, a fundamental problem is the estimation of rare combinations of feature attributes. Unsurprisingly, it is notably more difficult to reliably representthe sparser regions of such multivariate distributions and in particular combinations of attributes which are absent from the original sample. In the literature this is commonly known as sampling zeros for which no systematic solution has been proposed so far. In this paper, two machine learning algorithms, from the family of deep generative models,are proposed for the problem of population synthesis and with particular attention to the problem of sampling zeros. Specifically, we introduce the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN) and the Variational Autoencoder(VAE), and adapt these algorithms for a large-scale population synthesis application. The models are implemented on a Danish travel survey with a feature-space of more than 60 variables. The models are validated in a cross-validation scheme and a set of new metrics for the evaluation of the sampling-zero problem is proposed. Results show how these models are able to recover sampling zeros while keeping the estimation of truly impossible combinations, the structural zeros, at a comparatively low level. Particularly, for a low dimensional experiment, the VAE, the marginal sampler and the fully random sampler generate 5%, 21% and 26%, respectively, more structural zeros per sampling zero generated by the WGAN, while for a high dimensional case, these figures escalate to 44%, 2217% and 170440%, respectively. This research directly supports the development of agent-based systems and in particular cases where detailed socio-economic or geographical representations are required.

Spectral Clustering(SC) is a prominent data clustering technique of recent times which has attracted much attention from researchers. It is a highly data-driven method and makes no strict assumptions on the structure of the data to be clustered. One of the central pieces of spectral clustering is the construction of an affinity matrix based on a similarity measure between data points. The way the similarity measure is defined between data points has a direct impact on the performance of the SC technique. Several attempts have been made in the direction of strengthening the pairwise similarity measure to enhance the spectral clustering. In this work, we have defined a novel affinity measure by employing the concept of non-conformity used in Conformal Prediction(CP) framework. The non-conformity based affinity captures the relationship between neighborhoods of data points and has the power to generalize the notion of contextual similarity. We have shown that this formulation of affinity measure gives good results and compares well with the state of the art methods.

The present paper develops a novel aggregated gradient approach for distributed machine learning that adaptively compresses the gradient communication. The key idea is to first quantize the computed gradients, and then skip less informative quantized gradient communications by reusing outdated gradients. Quantizing and skipping result in `lazy' worker-server communications, which justifies the term Lazily Aggregated Quantized gradient that is henceforth abbreviated as LAQ. Our LAQ can provably attain the same linear convergence rate as the gradient descent in the strongly convex case, while effecting major savings in the communication overhead both in transmitted bits as well as in communication rounds. Empirically, experiments with real data corroborate a significant communication reduction compared to existing gradient- and stochastic gradient-based algorithms.

The diagnosis of the Erythemato-squamous disease (ESD) is accepted as a difficult problem in dermatology. ESD is a form of skin disease. It generally causes redness of the skin and also may cause loss of skin. They are generally due to genetic or environmental factors. ESD comprises six classes of skin conditions namely, pityriasis rubra pilaris, lichen planus, chronic dermatitis, psoriasis, seboreic dermatitis and pityriasis rosea. The automated diagnosis of ESD can help doctors and dermatologists in reducing the efforts from their end and in taking faster decisions for treatment. The literature is replete with works that used conventional machine learning methods for the diagnosis of ESD. However, there isn't much instances of application of Deep learning for the diagnosis of ESD. In this paper, we propose a novel hybrid deep learning approach i.e. Derm2Vec for the diagnosis of the ESD. Derm2Vec is a hybrid deep learning model that consists of both Autoencoders and Deep Neural Networks. We also apply a conventional Deep Neural Network (DNN) for the classification of ESD. We apply both Derm2Vec and DNN along with other traditional machine learning methods on a real world dermatology dataset. The Derm2Vec method is found to be the best performer (when taking the prediction accuracy into account) followed by DNN and Extreme Gradient Boosting.The mean CV score of Derm2Vec, DNN and Extreme Gradient Boosting are 96.92 percent, 96.65 percent and 95.80 percent respectively.

Most real-world networks are incompletely observed. Algorithms that can accurately predict which links are missing can dramatically speedup the collection of network data and improve the validity of network models. Many algorithms now exist for predicting missing links, given a partially observed network, but it has remained unknown whether a single best predictor exists, how link predictability varies across methods and networks from different domains, and how close to optimality current methods are. We answer these questions by systematically evaluating 203 individual link predictor algorithms, representing three popular families of methods, applied to a large corpus of 548 structurally diverse networks from six scientific domains. We first show that individual algorithms exhibit a broad diversity of prediction errors, such that no one predictor or family is best, or worst, across all realistic inputs. We then exploit this diversity via meta-learning to construct a series of "stacked" models that combine predictors into a single algorithm. Applied to a broad range of synthetic networks, for which we may analytically calculate optimal performance, these stacked models achieve optimal or nearly optimal levels of accuracy. Applied to real-world networks, stacked models are also superior, but their accuracy varies strongly by domain, suggesting that link prediction may be fundamentally easier in social networks than in biological or technological networks. These results indicate that the state-of-the-art for link prediction comes from combining individual algorithms, which achieves nearly optimal predictions. We close with a brief discussion of limitations and opportunities for further improvement of these results.

Automated Lane Change Decision Making using Deep Reinforcement Learning in Dynamic and Uncertain Highway Environment Ali Alizadeh 1, Majid Moghadam 2, Y unus Bicer 3, Nazim Kemal Ure 4, Ugur Y avas 5 and Can Kurtulus 5 Abstract -- Autonomous lane changing is a critical feature for advanced autonomous driving systems, that involves several challenges such as uncertainty in other driver's behaviors and the tradeoff between safety and agility. In this work, we develop a novel simulation environment that emulates these challenges and train a deep reinforcement learning agent that yields consistent performance in a variety of dynamic and uncertain traffic scenarios. Results show that the proposed data-driven approach performs significantly better in noisy environments compared to methods that rely solely on heuristics. I NTRODUCTION Advanced Driving Assistance Systems (ADAS) are developed to increase traffic safety by reducing the impact of human errors. The evolution of various levels of driving autonomy has seen a significant speedup in last years aiming to enhance comfort, safety, and driving experience. For a long time, with a limited amount of technological resources, automotive stakeholders were focusing on steady-state maneuvers to achieve driving autonomy.

We present an architecture for integrating real-time, multimodal input into a computational agent's contextual model. Using a human-avatar interaction in a virtual world, we treat aligned gesture and speech as an ensemble where content may be communicated by either modality. With a modified nondeterministic pushdown automaton architecture, the computer system: (1) consumes input incrementally using continuation-passing style until it achieves sufficient understanding the user's aim; (2) constructs and asks questions where necessary using established contextual information; and (3) maintains track of prior discourse items using multimodal cues. This type of architecture supports special cases of pushdown and finite state automata as well as integrating outputs from machine learning models. We present examples of this architecture's use in multimodal one-shot learning interactions of novel gestures and live action composition.

In this work we present Ludwig, a flexible, extensible and easy to use toolbox which allows users to train deep learning models and use them for obtaining predictions without writing code. Ludwig implements a novel approach to deep learning model building based on two main abstractions: data types and declarative configuration files. The data type abstraction allows for easier code and sub-model reuse, and the standardized interfaces imposed by this abstraction allow for encapsulation and make the code easy to extend. Declarative model definition configuration files enable inexperienced users to obtain effective models and increase the productivity of expert users. Alongside these two innovations, Ludwig introduces a general modularized deep learning architecture called Encoder-Combiner-Decoder that can be instantiated to perform a vast amount of machine learning tasks. These innovations make it possible for engineers, scientists from other fields and, in general, a much broader audience to adopt deep learning models for their tasks, concretely helping in its democratization.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms usually assume their environment to be a Markov Decision Process (MDP). Additionally, they do not try to identify specific features of environments which could help them perform better. Here, we present a few key meta-features of environments: delayed rewards, specific reward sequences, sparsity of rewards, and stochasticity of environments, which may violate the MDP assumptions and adapting to which should help RL agents perform better. While it is very time consuming to run RL algorithms on standard benchmarks, we define a parameterised collection of fast-to-run toy benchmarks in OpenAI Gym by varying these meta-features. Despite their toy nature and low compute requirements, we show that these benchmarks present substantial difficulties to current RL algorithms. Furthermore, since we can generate environments with a desired value for each of the meta-features, we have fine-grained control over the environments' difficulty and also have the ground truth available for evaluating algorithms. We believe that devising algorithms that can detect such meta-features of environments and adapt to them will be key to creating robust RL algorithms that work in a variety of different real-world problems.