Many studies have illustrated the import ance to accurately and precisely measure the attributes of an urban transport system. Due to the rise of Big Data and Internet of Things, there are numerous machine learning methods to measur e attributes of the transport system . Chow ( 1) provides an overview of these techniques including several appl ications like Allahviranloo and Recker ( 2) for activity pattern prediction; Cai et al. ( 3) for short - term traffic forecasting; Luque - Baena et al. ( 4) for vehicle detection; Lv et al. ( 5) for t raffic flow prediction; and Ma et al. ( 6) for network congestion prediction. However, generic machine learning techniques are not specifically designed to exploit the unique structure of urban transport networks. As a result, in recent years a theory of inverse problems (see 7) have emerged to capture network structure, dubbed " inverse transportation problems " by Xu et al. ( 8).

Experimentation has become an increasingly prevalent tool for guiding policy choices, firm decisions, and product innovation. A common hurdle in designing experiments is the lack of statistical power. In this paper, we study optimal multi-period experimental design under the constraint that the treatment cannot be easily removed once implemented; for example, a government or firm might implement treatment in different geographies at different times, where the treatment cannot be easily removed due to practical constraints. The design problem is to select which units to treat at which time, intending to test hypotheses about the effect of the treatment. When the potential outcome is a linear function of a unit effect, a time effect, and observed discrete covariates, we provide an analytically feasible solution to the design problem where the variance of the estimator for the treatment effect is at most 1+O(1/N^2) times the variance of the optimal design, where N is the number of units. This solution assigns units in a staggered treatment adoption pattern, where the proportion treated is a linear function of time. In the general setting where outcomes depend on latent covariates, we show that historical data can be utilized in the optimal design. We propose a data-driven local search algorithm with the minimax decision criterion to assign units to treatment times. We demonstrate that our approach improves upon benchmark experimental designs through synthetic experiments on real-world data sets from several domains, including healthcare, finance, and retail. Finally, we consider the case where the treatment effect changes with the time of treatment, showing that the optimal design treats a smaller fraction of units at the beginning and a greater share at the end.

This paper studies a tensor-structured linear regression model with a scalar response variable and tensor-structured predictors, such that the regression parameters form a tensor of order $d$ (i.e., a $d$-fold multiway array) in $\mathbb{R}^{n_1 \times n_2 \times \cdots \times n_d}$. This work focuses on the task of estimating the regression tensor from $m$ realizations of the response variable and the predictors where $m\ll n = \prod \nolimits_{i} n_i$. Despite the ill-posedness of this estimation problem, it can still be solved if the parameter tensor belongs to the space of sparse, low Tucker-rank tensors. Accordingly, the estimation procedure is posed as a non-convex optimization program over the space of sparse, low Tucker-rank tensors, and a tensor variant of projected gradient descent is proposed to solve the resulting non-convex problem. In addition, mathematical guarantees are provided that establish the proposed method converges to the correct solution under the right set of conditions. Further, an upper bound on sample complexity of tensor parameter estimation for the model under consideration is characterized for the special case when the individual (scalar) predictors independently draw values from a sub-Gaussian distribution. The sample complexity bound is shown to have a polylogarithmic dependence on $\bar{n} = \max \big\{n_i: i\in \{1,2,\ldots,d \} \big\}$ and, orderwise, it matches the bound one can obtain from a heuristic parameter counting argument. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed tensor model and estimation method on a synthetic dataset and a neuroimaging dataset pertaining to attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Specifically, the proposed method exhibits better sample complexities on both synthetic and real datasets, demonstrating the usefulness of the model and the method in settings where $n \gg m$.

Recent year, many researches attempt to open the black box of deep neural networks and propose a various of theories to understand it. Among them, information bottleneck theory (IB) claims that there are two distinct phases consisting of fitting phase and compression phase in the course of training. This statement attracts many attentions since its success in explaining the inner behavior of feedforward neural networks. In this paper, we employ IB theory to understand the dynamic behavior of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and investigate how the fundamental features have impact on the performance of CNNs. In particular, through a series of experimental analysis on benchmark of MNIST and Fashion-MNIST, we demonstrate that the compression phase is not observed in all these cases. This show us the CNNs have a rather complicated behavior than feedforward neural networks.

Scarcity of training data for task-oriented dialogue systems is a well known problem that is usually tackled with costly and time-consuming manual data annotation. An alternative solution is to rely on automatic text generation which, although less accurate than human supervision, has the advantage of being cheap and fast. In this paper we propose a novel controlled data generation method that could be used as a training augmentation framework for closed-domain dialogue. Our contribution is twofold. First we show how to optimally train and control the generation of intent-specific sentences using a conditional variational autoencoder. Then we introduce a novel protocol called query transfer that allows to leverage a broad, unlabelled dataset to extract relevant information. Comparison with two different baselines shows that our method, in the appropriate regime, consistently improves the diversity of the generated queries without compromising their quality.

In this paper, we investigate the effect of machine learning based anonymization on anomalous subgroup preservation. In particular, we train a binary classifier to discover the most anomalous subgroup in a dataset by maximizing the bias between the group's predicted odds ratio from the model and observed odds ratio from the data. We then perform anonymization using a variational autoencoder (VAE) to synthesize an entirely new dataset that would ideally be drawn from the distribution of the original data. We repeat the anomalous subgroup discovery task on the new data and compare it to what was identified pre-anonymization. We evaluated our approach using publicly available datasets from the financial industry. Our evaluation confirmed that the approach was able to produce synthetic datasets that preserved a high level of subgroup differentiation as identified initially in the original dataset. Such a distinction was maintained while having distinctly different records between the synthetic and original dataset. Finally, we packed the above end to end process into what we call Utility Guaranteed Deep Privacy (UGDP) system. UGDP can be easily extended to onboard alternative generative approaches such as GANs to synthesize tabular data.

In this paper, we propose an active learning method for an inverse problem that aims to find an input that achieves a desired structured-output. The proposed method provides new acquisition functions for minimizing the error between the desired structured-output and the prediction of a Gaussian process model, by effectively incorporating the correlation between multiple outputs of the underlying multi-valued black box output functions. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by applying it to two synthetic shape search problem and real data. In the real data experiment, we tackle the input parameter search which achieves the desired crystal growth rate in silicon carbide (SiC) crystal growth modeling, that is a problem of materials informatics.

In real-world applications, we can encounter situations when a well-trained model has to be used to predict from a damaged dataset. The damage caused by missing or corrupted values can be either on the level of individual instances or on the level of entire features. Both situations have a negative impact on the usability of the model on such a dataset. This paper focuses on the scenario where entire features are missing which can be understood as a specific case of transfer learning. Our aim is to experimentally research the influence of various imputation methods on the performance of several classification models. The imputation impact is researched on a combination of traditional methods such as k-NN, linear regression, and MICE compared to modern imputation methods such as multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and gradient boosted trees (XGBT). For linear regression, MLP, and XGBT we also propose two approaches to using them for multiple features imputation. The experiments were performed on both real world and artificial datasets with continuous features where different numbers of features, varying from one feature to 50%, were missing. The results show that MICE and linear regression are generally good imputers regardless of the conditions. On the other hand, the performance of MLP and XGBT is strongly dataset dependent. Their performance is the best in some cases, but more often they perform worse than MICE or linear regression.

--This article proposes a communication-efficient decentralized deep learning algorithm, coined layer-wise federated group ADMM (L-FGADMM). T o minimize an empirical risk, every worker in L-FGADMM periodically communicates with two neighbors, in which the periods are separately adjusted for different layers of its deep neural network. A constrained optimization problem for this setting is formulated and solved using the stochastic version of GADMM proposed in our prior work. Numerical evaluations show that by less frequently exchanging the largest layer, L-FGADMM can significantly reduce the communication cost, without compromising the convergence speed. Surprisingly, despite less exchanged information and decentralized operations, intermittently skipping the largest layer consensus in L-FGADMM creates a regularizing effect, thereby achieving the test accuracy as high as federated learning (FL), a baseline method with the entire layer consensus by the aid of a central entity.

Standard algorithms in detection systems perform insufficiently when dealing with malware passed through obfuscation tools. We illustrate this studying in detail an open source metamorphic software, making use of a hybrid framework to obtain the relevant features from binaries. We then provide an improved alternative solution based on adversarial risk analysis which we illustrate describe with an example. KEYWORDS: Adversarial Risk Analysis, Malware Obfuscation, Cybersecurity 1 INTRODUCTION The digital era is bringing along new global threats among which cybersecurity related ones emerge as truly worrisome, see for example the evolution of the Global Risks Map from the World Economic Forum (2017, 2018, 2019). Indeed, the operation of critical cyber infrastructures relies on components which could be cyber attacked, both incidentally and intentionally, suffering major performance degradation, Rao et al. (2016).