November 20, 2019 A BSTRACT This paper presents a model that uses the information that sellers publish in real estate market websites to predict whether a property has higher or lower price than the average price of its similar properties. The model learns the correlation between price and information (text descriptions and features) of real estate properties through automatic identification of latent semantic content given by a machine learning model based on doc2vec and xgboost. The proposed model was evaluated with a data set of 57,516 publications of real estate properties collected from 2016 to 2018 of Bogot a city. Results show that the accuracy of a classifier that involves text descriptions is slightly higher than a classifier that only uses features of the real estate properties, as text descriptions tends to contain detailed information about the property. K eywords housing price prediction · real estate property · machine learning · doc2vec · xgboost 1 Introduction A fairly popular way for property sellers to advertise a property for sale is through a real estate market website which guarantees many more possible buyers than just the street for sale sign.

Background: Overweight and obesity are an increasing phenomenon worldwide. Predicting future overweight or obesity early in the childhood reliably could enable a successful intervention by experts. While a lot of research has been done using explanatory modeling methods, capability of machine learning, and predictive modeling, in particular, remain mainly unexplored. In predictive modeling models are validated with previously unseen examples, giving a more accurate estimate of their performance and generalization ability in real-life scenarios. Objective: To find and review existing overweight or obesity research from the perspective of employing childhood data and predictive modeling methods. Methods: The initial phase included bibliographic searches using relevant search terms in PubMed, IEEE database and Google Scholar. The second phase consisted of iteratively searching references of potential studies and recent research that cite the potential studies. Results: Eight research articles and three review articles were identified as relevant for this review. Conclusions: Prediction models with high performance either have a relatively short time period to predict or/and are based on late childhood data. Logistic regression is currently the most often used method in forming the prediction models. In addition to child's own weight and height information, maternal weight status or body mass index was often used as predictors in the models.

--This paper focuses on the problem of query by example spoken term detection (QbE-STD) in zero-resource scenario. State-of-the-art approaches primarily rely on dynamic time warping (DTW) based template matching techniques using phone posterior or bottleneck features extracted from a deep neural network (DNN). We use both monolingual and multilingual bottleneck features, and show that multilingual features perform increasingly better with more training languages. Previously, it has been shown that the DTW based matching can be replaced with a CNN based matching while using posterior features. Here, we show that the CNN based matching outperforms DTW based matching using bottleneck features as well. In this case, the feature extraction and pattern matching stages of our QbE-STD system are optimized independently of each other . We propose to integrate these two stages in a fully neural network based end-to-end learning framework to enable joint optimization of those two stages simultaneously. The proposed approaches are evaluated on two challenging multilingual datasets: Spoken Web Search 2013 and Query by Example Search on Speech T ask 2014, demonstrating in each case significant improvements. Query-by-example spoken term detection (QbE-STD) is defined as the task of detecting all files from an audio archive which contain a spoken query provided by a user (see Figure 1). It enables users to search through multilingual audio archives using their own speech. The primary difference from keyword spotting is that QbE-STD relies on spoken queries instead of textual queries making it a language independent task. In general, the queries and test utterances are generated by different speakers in different languages with varying acoustic conditions and without constraints on vocabulary, pronunciation lexicon, accents etc. Thus, the search is performed relying only on acoustic data of the query and test utterances with no language specific resources, as a zero-resource task. It is essentially a pattern matching problem in the context of speech data where the targeted pattern is the information represented using speech signal and given to the system as a spoken query.

Planning algorithms based on lookahead search have achieved remarkable successes in artificial intelligence. Human world champions have been defeated in classic games such as checkers [34], chess [5], Go [38] and poker [3, 26], and planning algorithms have had real-world impact in applications from logistics [47] to chemical synthesis [37]. However, these planning algorithms all rely on knowledge of the environment's dynamics, such as the rules of the game or an accurate simulator, preventing their direct application to real-world domains like robotics, industrial control, or intelligent assistants. Model-based reinforcement learning (RL) [42] aims to address this issue by first learning a model of the environment's dynamics, and then planning with respect to the learned model. Typically, these models have either focused on reconstructing the true environmental state [8, 16, 24], or the sequence of full observations [14, 20]. However, prior work [4, 14, 20] remains far from the state of the art in visually rich domains, such as Atari 2600 games [2]. Instead, the most successful methods are based on model-free RL [9, 21, 18] - i.e. they estimate the optimal policy and/or value function directly from interactions with the environment. However, model-free algorithms are in turn far from the state of the art in domains that require precise and sophisticated lookahead, such as chess and Go. In this paper, we introduce MuZero, a new approach to model-based RL that achieves state-of-the-art performance in Atari 2600, a visually complex set of domains, while maintaining superhuman performance in precision planning tasks such as chess, shogi and Go.

Deeper neural networks are hard to train. Inspired by the elastic collision model in physics, we present a universal structure that could be integrated into the existing network structures to speed up the training process and eventually increase its generalization ability. We apply our structure to the Con-volutional Neural Networks(CNNs) to form a new structure, which we term the "Interlayer Collision" (IC) structure. The IC structure provides the deeper layer a better representation of the input features. We evaluate the IC structure on CI-FAR10 and Imagenet by integrating it into the existing state-of-the-art CNNs. Our experiment shows that the proposed IC structure can effectively increase the accuracy and convergence speed.

We consider the problem of adaptively PAC-learning a probability distribution $\mathcal{P}$'s mode by querying an oracle for information about a sequence of i.i.d. samples $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ generated from $\mathcal{P}$. We consider two different query models: (a) each query is an index $i$ for which the oracle reveals the value of the sample $X_i$, (b) each query is comprised of two indices $i$ and $j$ for which the oracle reveals if the samples $X_i$ and $X_j$ are the same or not. For these query models, we give sequential mode-estimation algorithms which, at each time $t$, either make a query to the corresponding oracle based on past observations, or decide to stop and output an estimate for the distribution's mode, required to be correct with a specified confidence. We analyze the query complexity of these algorithms for any underlying distribution $\mathcal{P}$, and derive corresponding lower bounds on the optimal query complexity under the two querying models.

A BSTRACT Recent advances in deep learning theory have evoked the study of generalizabil-ity across different local minima of deep neural networks (DNNs). While current work focused on either discovering properties of good local minima or developing regularization techniques to induce good local minima, no approach exists that can tackle both problems. We achieve these two goals successfully in a unified manner. Specifically, based on the Fisher information we propose a metric both strongly indicative of generalizability of local minima and effectively applied as a practical regularizer. We provide theoretical analysis including a generalization bound and empirically demonstrate the success of our approach in both capturing and improving the generalizability of DNNs. Experiments are performed on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 for various network architectures. 1 I NTRODUCTION Recently, there has been a surge in the interest of acquiring a theoretical understanding over deep neural network's behavior. Breakthroughs have been made in characterizing the optimization process, showing that learning algorithms such as stochastic gradient descent (SGD) tend to end up in one of the many local minima which have close-to-zero training loss (Choromanska et al., 2015; Dauphin et al., 2014; Kawaguchi, 2016; Nguyen & Hein, 2018; Du et al., 2018). It is, therefore, natural to ask two closely related questions: (a) What kind of local minima can generalize better? To our knowledge, existing work focused only on one of the two questions. For the "what" question, various definitions of "flatness/sharpness" have been introduced and analyzed (Keskar et al., 2017; Neyshabur et al., 2018; 2017; Wu et al., 2017; Liang et al., 2017).

Manifold-valued data naturally arises in medical imaging. In cognitive neuroscience, for instance, brain connectomes base the analysis of coactivation patterns between different brain regions on the analysis of the correlations of their functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) time series - an object thus constrained by construction to belong to the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices. One of the challenges that naturally arises consists of finding a lower-dimensional subspace for representing such manifold-valued data. Traditional techniques, like principal component analysis, are ill-adapted to tackle non-Euclidean spaces and may fail to achieve a lower-dimensional representation of the data - thus potentially pointing to the absence of lower-dimensional representation of the data. However, these techniques are restricted in that: (i) they do not leverage the assumption that the connectomes belong on a pre-specified manifold, therefore discarding information; (ii) they can only fit a linear subspace to the data. In this paper, we are interested in variants to learn potentially highly curved submanifolds of manifold-valued data. Motivated by the brain connectomes example, we investigate a latent variable generative model, which has the added benefit of providing us with uncertainty estimates - a crucial quantity in the medical applications we are considering. While latent variable models have been proposed to learn linear and nonlinear spaces for Euclidean data, or geodesic subspaces for manifold data, no intrinsic latent variable model exists to learn nongeodesic subspaces for manifold data. This paper fills this gap and formulates a Riemannian variational autoencoder with an intrinsic generative model of manifold-valued data. We evaluate its performances on synthetic and real datasets by introducing the formalism of weighted Riemannian submanifolds.

The aim of black-box optimization is to optimize an objective function within the constraints of a given evaluation budget. In this problem, it is generally assumed that the computational cost for evaluating a point is large; thus, it is important to search efficiently with as low budget as possible. Bayesian optimization is an efficient method for black-box optimization and provides exploration-exploitation trade-off by constructing a surrogate model that considers uncertainty of the objective function. However, because Bayesian optimization should construct the surrogate model for the entire search space, it does not exhibit good performance when points are not sampled sufficiently. In this study, we develop a heuristic method refining the search space for Bayesian optimization when the available evaluation budget is low. The proposed method refines a promising region by dividing the original region so that Bayesian optimization can be executed with the promising region as the initial search space. We confirm that Bayesian optimization with the proposed method outperforms Bayesian optimization alone and shows equal or better performance to two search-space division algorithms through experiments on the benchmark functions and the hyperparameter optimization of machine learning algorithms.

Despite remarkable advances in automated visual recognition by machines, some visual tasks remain challenging for machines. Fleuret et al. (2011) introduced the Synthetic Visual Reasoning Test (SVRT) to highlight this point, which required classification of images consisting of randomly generated shapes based on hidden abstract rules using only a few examples. Ellis et al. (2015) demonstrated that a program synthesis approach could solve some of the SVRT problems with unsupervised, few-shot learning, whereas they remained challenging for several convolutional neural networks trained with thousands of examples. Here we re-considered the human and machine experiments, because they followed different protocols and yielded different statistics. We thus proposed a quantitative reintepretation of the data between the protocols, so that we could make fair comparison between human and machine performance. We improved the program synthesis classifier by correcting the image parsings, and compared the results to the performance of other machine agents and human subjects. We grouped the SVRT problems into different types by the two aspects of the core characteristics for classification: shape specification and location relation. We found that the program synthesis classifier could not solve problems involving shape distances, because it relied on symbolic computation which scales poorly with input dimension and adding distances into such computation would increase the dimension combinatorially with the number of shapes in an image. Therefore, although the program synthesis classifier is capable of abstract reasoning, its performance is highly constrained by the accessible information in image parsings.