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Classifying Pattern and Feature Properties to Get a $\Theta(n)$ Checker and Reformulation for Sliding Time-Series Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given, a sequence $\mathcal{X}$ of $n$ variables, a time-series constraint ctr using the Sum aggregator, and a sliding time-series constraint enforcing the constraint ctr on each sliding window of $\mathcal{X}$ of $m$ consecutive variables, we describe a $\Theta(n)$ time complexity checker, as well as a $\Theta(n)$ space complexity reformulation for such sliding constraint.


Optimal Farsighted Agents Tend to Seek Power

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Some researchers have speculated that capable reinforcement learning (RL) agents pursuing misspecified objectives are often incentivized to seek resources and power in pursuit of those objectives. An agent seeking power is incentivized to behave in undesirable ways, including rationally preventing deactivation and correction. Others have voiced skepticism: humans seem idiosyncratic in their urges to power, which need not be present in the agents we design. We formalize a notion of power within the context of finite deterministic Markov decision processes (MDPs). We prove that, with respect to a wide class of reward function distributions, optimal policies tend to seek power over the environment.


The Comparison of Methods for Individual Treatment Effect Detection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Today, treatment effect estimation at the individual level is a vital problem in many areas of science and business. For example, in marketing, estimates of the treatment effect are used to select the most efficient promo-mechanics; in medicine, individual treatment effects are used to determine the optimal dose of medication for each patient and so on. At the same time, the question on choosing the best method, i.e., the method that ensures the smallest predictive error (for instance, RMSE) or the highest total (average) value of the effect, remains open. Accordingly, in this paper we compare the effectiveness of machine learning methods for estimation of individual treatment effects. The comparison is performed on the Criteo Uplift Modeling Dataset. In this paper we show that the combination of the Logistic Regression method and the Difference Score method as well as Uplift Random Forest method provide the best correctness of Individual Treatment Effect prediction on the top 30\% observations of the test dataset.


A Robust Self-Learning Method for Fully Unsupervised Cross-Lingual Mappings of Word Embeddings: Making the Method Robustly Reproducible as Well

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we reproduce the experiments of Artetxe et al. (2018b) regarding the robust self-learning method for fully unsupervised cross-lingual mappings of word embeddings. We show that the reproduction of their method is indeed feasible with some minor assumptions. We further investigate the robustness of their model by introducing four new languages that are less similar to English than the ones proposed by the original paper. In order to assess the stability of their model, we also conduct a grid search over sensible hyperparameters. We then propose key recommendations applicable to any research project in order to deliver fully reproducible research.


Stationary Points of Shallow Neural Networks with Quadratic Activation Function

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of learning shallow neural networks with quadratic activation function and planted weights $W^*\in\mathbb{R}^{m\times d}$, where $m$ is the width of the hidden layer and $d\leqslant m$ is the data dimension. We establish that the landscape of the population risk $\mathcal{L}(W)$ admits an energy barrier separating rank-deficient solutions: if $W\in\mathbb{R}^{m\times d}$ with ${\rm rank}(W)Cd^2$ for a large $C$, then it is easy to construct a full rank matrix $W$ with population risk below the energy barrier, starting from which gradient descent is guaranteed to converge to a global optimum. Our final focus is on sample complexity: we identify a simple necessary and sufficient geometric condition on the training data under which any minimizer of the empirical loss has necessarily small generalization error. We show that as soon as $n\geqslant n^*=d(d+1)/2$, random data enjoys this geometric condition almost surely, and in fact the generalization error is zero. At the same time we show that if $n


Neural Network Branching for Neural Network Verification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Formal verification of neural networks is essential for their deployment in safety-critical areas. Many available formal verification methods have been shown to be instances of a unified Branch and Bound (BaB) formulation. We propose a novel framework for designing an effective branching strategy for BaB. Specifically, we learn a graph neural network (GNN) to imitate the strong branching heuristic behaviour. Our framework differs from previous methods for learning to branch in two main aspects. Firstly, our framework directly treats the neural network we want to verify as a graph input for the GNN. Secondly, we develop an intuitive forward and backward embedding update schedule. Empirically, our framework achieves roughly $50\%$ reduction in both the number of branches and the time required for verification on various convolutional networks when compared to the best available hand-designed branching strategy. In addition, we show that our GNN model enjoys both horizontal and vertical transferability. Horizontally, the model trained on easy properties performs well on properties of increased difficulty levels. Vertically, the model trained on small neural networks achieves similar performance on large neural networks.


Deep Probabilistic Models to Detect Data Poisoning Attacks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data poisoning attacks compromise the integrity of machine-learning models by introducing malicious training samples to influence the results during test time. In this work, we investigate backdoor data poisoning attack on deep neural networks (DNNs) by inserting a backdoor pattern in the training images. The resulting attack will misclassify poisoned test samples while maintaining high accuracies for the clean test-set. We present two approaches for detection of such poisoned samples by quantifying the uncertainty estimates associated with the trained models. In the first approach, we model the outputs of the various layers (deep features) with parametric probability distributions learnt from the clean held-out dataset. At inference, the likelihoods of deep features w.r.t these distributions are calculated to derive uncertainty estimates. In the second approach, we use Bayesian deep neural networks trained with mean-field variational inference to estimate model uncertainty associated with the predictions. The uncertainty estimates from these methods are used to discriminate clean from the poisoned samples.


Analyzing and Improving the Image Quality of StyleGAN

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The style-based GAN architecture (StyleGAN) yields state-of-the-art results in data-driven unconditional generative image modeling. We expose and analyze several of its characteristic artifacts, and propose changes in both model architecture and training methods to address them. In particular, we redesign generator normalization, revisit progressive growing, and regularize the generator to encourage good conditioning in the mapping from latent vectors to images. In addition to improving image quality, this path length regularizer yields the additional benefit that the generator becomes significantly easier to invert. This makes it possible to reliably detect if an image is generated by a particular network. We furthermore visualize how well the generator utilizes its output resolution, and identify a capacity problem, motivating us to train larger models for additional quality improvements. Overall, our improved model redefines the state of the art in unconditional image modeling, both in terms of existing distribution quality metrics as well as perceived image quality.


Fundamental Limitations in Sequential Prediction and Recursive Algorithms: $\mathcal{L}_{p}$ Bounds via an Entropic Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we obtain fundamental $\mathcal{L}_{p}$ bounds in sequential prediction and recursive algorithms via an entropic analysis. Both classes of problems are examined by investigating the underlying entropic relationships of the data and/or noises involved, and the derived lower bounds may all be quantified in a conditional entropy characterization. We also study the conditions to achieve the generic bounds from an innovations' viewpoint.


FANNet: Formal Analysis of Noise Tolerance, Training Bias and Input Sensitivity in Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With a constant improvement in the network architectures and training methodologies, Neural Networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in real-world Machine Learning systems. However, despite their impressive performance on "known inputs", these NNs can fail absurdly on the "unseen inputs", especially if these real-time inputs deviate from the training dataset distributions, or contain certain types of input noise. This indicates the low noise tolerance of NNs, which is a major reason for the recent increase of adversarial attacks. This is a serious concern, particularly for safety-critical applications, where inaccurate results lead to dire consequences. We propose a novel methodology that leverages model checking for the Formal Analysis of Neural Network (FANNet) under different input noise ranges. Our methodology allows us to rigorously analyze the noise tolerance of NNs, their input node sensitivity, and the effects of training bias on their performance, e.g., in terms of classification accuracy. For evaluation, we use a feed-forward fully-connected NN architecture trained for the Leukemia classification. Our experimental results show $\pm 11\%$ noise tolerance for the given trained network, identify the most sensitive input nodes, and confirm the biasness of the available training dataset.