In this article, we focus on the analysis of the potential factors driving the spread of influenza, and possible policies to mitigate the adverse effects of the disease. To be precise, we first invoke discrete Fourier transform (DFT) to conclude a yearly periodic regional structure in the influenza activity, thus safely restricting ourselves to the analysis of the yearly influenza behavior. Then we collect a massive number of possible region-wise indicators contributing to the influenza mortality, such as consumption, immunization, sanitation, water quality, and other indicators from external data, with $1170$ dimensions in total. We extract significant features from the high dimensional indicators using a combination of data analysis techniques, including matrix completion, support vector machines (SVM), autoencoders, and principal component analysis (PCA). Furthermore, we model the international flow of migration and trade as a convolution on regional influenza activity, and solve the deconvolution problem as higher-order perturbations to the linear regression, thus separating regional and international factors related to the influenza mortality. Finally, both the original model and the perturbed model are tested on regional examples, as validations of our models. Pertaining to the policy, we make a proposal based on the connectivity data along with the previously extracted significant features to alleviate the impact of influenza, as well as efficiently propagate and carry out the policies. We conclude that environmental features and economic features are of significance to the influenza mortality. The model can be easily adapted to model other types of infectious diseases.

Ethnic group classification is a well-researched problem, which has been pursued mainly during the past two decades via traditional approaches of image processing and machine learning. In this paper, we propose a method of classifying an image face into an ethnic group by applying transfer learning from a previously trained classification network for large-scale data recognition. Our proposed method yields state-of- the-art success rates of 99.02%, 99.76%, 99.2%, and 96.7%, respectively, for the four ethnic groups: African, Asian, Caucasian, and Indian. 1 Introduction Ethnic classification from facial images has been studied for the past two decades with the purpose of understanding how humans perceive and determine an ethnic group from a given image. The motivation stems, for example, from the fact that (gender and) ethnicity play an important role in face-related applications, such as advertising, social insensitive-based systems, etc. Furthermore, while facial features are subject to change (due to aging, for example), ethnicity is of interest due to its invariance over time. Recent works on demographic classification are divided conceptually into appearancebased methods (using, e.g., eigenface methods, fisherface methods, etc.) and geometry-based methods (relying, e.g., on geometric parameters, such as the distance between the eyes, face width and length, nose thickness, etc.). One of the main challenges of automatic demographic classification is to avoid any "noise", such as illumination, background distortion, and a subject's pose. In this paper, we introduce a deep learning-based method, that achieves state-of-the-art results for facial image representations and classification for the four ethnic groups: African, Asian, Caucasian, and Indian. 2 Related Work 2.1 Traditional ML-Based Techniques During the past two decades, there has been enormous progress on the topic of ethnic group classification, using various classical Machine Learning methods.

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning have however shown huge improvements in many research areas dealing with large datasets in recent years. In this work, we tackle one specific sub-problem of weather forecasting, namely the prediction of thunderstorms and lightning. We propose the use of a convolutional neural network architecture inspired by UNet++ and ResNet to predict thunderstorms as a binary classification problem based on satellite images and lightnings recorded in the past. We achieve a probability of detection of more than 94% for lightnings within the next 15 minutes while at the same time minimizing the false alarm ratio compared to previous approaches.

-- In this paper, we introduce a new public dataset for 6D object pose estimation and instance segmentation for industrial bin-picking. The dataset comprises both synthetic and real-world scenes. For both, point clouds, depth images, and annotations comprising the 6D pose (position and orientation), a visibility score, and a segmentation mask for each object are provided. Along with the raw data, a method for precisely annotating real-world scenes is proposed. T o the best of our knowledge, this is the first public dataset for 6D object pose estimation and instance segmentation for bin-picking containing sufficiently annotated data for learning-based approaches. Furthermore, it is one of the largest public datasets for object pose estimation in general.

We develop a heuristic solution method for the Consistent Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (ConVRPTW), motivated by a real-world application at a distribution center of a food company. Additional to standard VRPTW restrictions, ConVRP assigns to each customer just one fixed driver to fulfill their orders during the complete multi-period planning horizon. For each driver and day of the planning horizon, a route has to be determined to serve all their assigned customers with positive demand. The customers do not buy every day and the frequency with which they do so is irregular. Moreover, the quantities ordered change from one order to another. This causes difficulties in the daily routing, negatively impacting the service level of the company. Unlike the previous works on ConVRP, where the number of drivers is fixed a priori and only the total travel time is minimized, we give priority to minimizing the number of drivers. To evaluate the performance of the heuristic, we compare the solution of the heuristic with the routing plan in use by the food company. The results show significant improvements, with a lower number of trucks and a higher rate of orders delivered within the prescribed time window.

Despite the availability of qualified research personnel, up-to-date research facilities and experience in developing applied research and innovation, many worldwide research institutions face difficulties when managing contracted Research and Development (R&D) projects due to expectations from Industry (private sector). Such difficulties have motivated funding agents to create evaluation processes to check whether the operational procedures of funded research institutions are sufficient to provide timely answers to demand for innovation from industry and also to identify aspects that require quality improvement in research development. For this purpose, several multiple criteria decision-making approaches can be applied. Among the available multiple criteria approaches, sorting methods are one prominent tool to evaluate the operational capacity. However, the first difficulty in applying multiple criteria sorting methods is the need to hierarchically structure multiple criteria in order to represent the intended decision process. Additional challenges include the elicitation of the preference information and the definition of criteria evaluation, since these are frequently affected by some imprecision. In this paper, a new sorting method is proposed to deal with all of those critical points simultaneously. To consider multiple levels for the decision criteria, the FlowSort method is extended to account for hierarchical criteria. To deal with imprecise data, the FlowSort is integrated with fuzzy approaches. To yield solutions that consider fluctuations from imprecise weights, the Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis is used. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the evaluation of research institutions, classifying them according to their operational maturity for development of applied research.

We investigate the problem of simultaneous machine translation of long-form speech content. We target a continuous speech-to-text scenario, generating translated captions for a live audio feed, such as a lecture or play-by-play commentary. As this scenario allows for revisions to our incremental translations, we adopt a re-translation approach to simultaneous translation, where the source is repeatedly translated from scratch as it grows. This approach naturally exhibits very low latency and high final quality, but at the cost of incremental instability as the output is continuously refined. We experiment with a pipeline of industry-grade speech recognition and translation tools, augmented with simple inference heuristics to improve stability. We use TED Talks as a source of multilingual test data, developing our techniques on English-to-German spoken language translation. Our minimalist approach to simultaneous translation allows us to easily scale our final evaluation to six more target languages, dramatically improving incremental stability for all of them.

Rapid advancements in the Internet of Things (IoT) have facilitated more efficient deployment of smart environment solutions for specific user requirement. With the increase in the number of IoT devices, it has become difficult for the user to control or operate every individual smart device into achieving some desired goal like optimized power consumption, scheduled appliance running time, etc. Furthermore, existing solutions to automatically adapt the IoT devices are not capable enough to incorporate the user behavior. This paper presents a novel approach to accurately configure IoT devices while achieving the twin objectives of energy optimization along with conforming to user preferences. Our work comprises of unsupervised clustering of devices' data to find the states of operation for each device, followed by probabilistically analyzing user behavior to determine their preferred states. Eventually, we deploy an online reinforcement learning (RL) agent to find the best device settings automatically. Results for three different smart homes' data-sets show the effectiveness of our methodology. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that a practical approach has been adopted to achieve the above mentioned objectives without any human interaction within the system.

We propose the study of mathematical ludology, which aims to formally interrogate questions of interest to game studies and game design in particular. The goal is to extend our mathematical understanding of complex games beyond decision-making---the typical focus of game theory and artificial intelligence efforts---to explore other aspects such as game mechanics, structure, relationships between games, and connections between game rules and user-interfaces, as well as exploring related gameplay phenomena and typical player behavior. In this paper, we build a basic foundation for this line of study by developing a hierarchy of game descriptions, mathematical formalism to compactly describe complex discrete games, and equivalence relations on the space of game systems.

Adversarial attacks represent a serious menace for learning algorithms and may compromise the security of future autonomous systems. A theorem by Khoury and Hadfield-Menell (KH), provides sufficient conditions to guarantee the robustness of active learning algorithms, but comes with a caveat: it is crucial to know the smallest distance among the classes of the corresponding classification problem. We propose a theoretical framework that allows us to think of active learning as sampling the most promising new points to be classified, so that the minimum distance between classes can be found and the theorem KH used. The complexity of the quantum active learning algorithm is polynomial in the variables used, like the dimension of the space $m$ and the size of the initial training data $n$. On the other hand, if one replicates this approach with a classical computer, we expect that it would take exponential time in $m$, an example of the so-called `curse of dimensionality'.