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Prediction of Sewer Pipe Deterioration Using Random Forest Classification
Tavakoli, Razieh, Sharifara, Ali, Najafi, Mohammad
Wastewater infrastructure systems deteriorate over time due to a combination of physical and chemical factors. Failure of this significant infrastructure could affect important social, environmental, and economic impacts. Furthermore, recognizing the optimized timeline for inspection of sewer pipelines are challenging tasks for the utility managers and other authorities. Regular examination of sewer networks is not cost-effective due to limited time and high cost of assessment technologies and a large inventory of pipes. To avoid such obstacles, various researchers endeavored to improve infrastructure condition assessment methodologies to maintain sewer pipe systems at the desired condition. Sewer condition prediction models are developed to provide a framework to forecast the future condition of pipes to schedule inspection frequencies. The main goal of this study is to develop a predictive model for wastewater pipes using random forest classification. Predictive models can effectively predict sewer pipe condition and can increase the certainty level of the predictive results and decrease uncertainty in the current condition of wastewater pipes. The developed random forest classification model has achieved a stratified test set false negative rate, the false positive rate, and an excellent area under the ROC curve of 0.81 in a case study application for the City of LA, California. An area under the ROC curve > 0.80 indicates the developed model is an "excellent" choice for predicting the condition of individual pipes in a sewer network. The deterioration models can be used in the industry to improve the inspection timeline and maintenance planning.
Learn Electronic Health Records by Fully Decentralized Federated Learning
Lu, Songtao, Zhang, Yawen, Wang, Yunlong, Mack, Christina
Federated learning opens a number of research opportunities due to its high communication efficiency in distributed training problems within a star network. In this paper, we focus on improving the communication efficiency for fully decentralized federated learning over a graph, where the algorithm performs local updates for several iterations and then enables communications among the nodes. In such a way, the communication rounds of exchanging the common interest of parameters can be saved significantly without loss of optimality of the solutions. Multiple numerical simulations based on large, real-world electronic health record databases showcase the superiority of the decentralized federated learning compared with classic methods.
Multi-Gradient Descent for Multi-Objective Recommender Systems
Milojkovic, Nikola, Antognini, Diego, Bergamin, Giancarlo, Faltings, Boi, Musat, Claudiu
Recommender systems need to mirror the complexity of the environment they are applied in. The more we know about what might benefit the user, the more objectives the recommender system has. In addition there may be multiple stakeholders - sellers, buyers, shareholders - in addition to legal and ethical constraints. Simultaneously optimizing for a multitude of objectives, correlated and not correlated, having the same scale or not, has proven difficult so far. We introduce a stochastic multi-gradient descent approach to recommender systems (MGDRec) to solve this problem. We show that this exceeds state-of-the-art methods in traditional objective mixtures, like revenue and recall. Not only that, but through gradient normalization we can combine fundamentally different objectives, having diverse scales, into a single coherent framework. We show that uncorrelated objectives, like the proportion of quality products, can be improved alongside accuracy. Through the use of stochasticity, we avoid the pitfalls of calculating full gradients and provide a clear setting for its applicability.
Machine learning models show similar performance to Renewables.ninja for generation of long-term wind power time series even without location information
Baumgartner, Johann, Gruber, Katharina, Simoes, Sofia, Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie, Schmidt, Johannes
Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into future renewable energy systems. In the recent past, mainly power curve based models such as Renewables.ninja (RN) have been used for deriving synthetic time series for wind power generation despite their need for accurate location information as well as for bias correction, and their insufficient replication of extreme events and short-term power ramps. We assess how time series generated by machine learning models (MLM) compare to RN in terms of their ability to replicate the characteristics of observed nationally aggregated wind power generation for Germany. Hence, we apply neural networks to one MERRA2 reanalysis wind speed input dataset with no location information and one with basic location information. The resulting time series and the RN time series are compared with actual generation. Both MLM time series feature equal or even better time series quality than RN depending on the characteristics considered. We conclude that MLM models can, even when reducing information on turbine locations and turbine types, produce time series of at least equal quality to RN.
Temporal Factorization of 3D Convolutional Kernels
Ras, Gabriรซlle, Ambrogioni, Luca, Gรผรงlรผ, Umut, van Gerven, Marcel A. J.
To solve these problems we propose a simple technique for learning 3D convolutional kernels efficiently requiring less training data. We achieve this by factorizing the 3D kernel along the temporal dimension, reducing the number of parameters and making training from data more efficient. Additionally we introduce a novel dataset called Video-MNIST to demonstrate the performance of our method. Our method significantly outperforms the conventional 3D convolution in the low data regime (1 to 5 videos per class). Finally, our model achieves competitive results in the high data regime ( 10 videos per class) using up to 45% fewer parameters.
Self-regularizing restricted Boltzmann machines
Focusing on the grand-canonical extension of the ordinary restricted Boltzmann machine, we suggest an energy-based model for feature extraction that uses a layer of hidden units with varying size. By an appropriate choice of the chemical potential and given a sufficiently large number of hidden resources the generative model is able to efficiently deduce the optimal number of hidden units required to learn the target data with exceedingly small generalization error. The formal simplicity of the grand-canonical ensemble combined with a rapidly converging ansatz in mean-field theory enable us to recycle well-established numerical algothhtims during training, like contrastive divergence, with only minor changes. As a proof of principle and to demonstrate the novel features of grand-canonical Boltzmann machines, we train our generative models on data from the Ising theory and MNIST.
Oversampling Log Messages Using a Sequence Generative Adversarial Network for Anomaly Detection and Classification
Farzad, Amir, Gulliver, T. Aaron
Dealing with imbalanced data is one the main challenges in machine/deep learning algorithms for classification. This issue is more important with log message data as it is typically imbalanced and negative logs are rare. In this paper, a model is proposed to generate text log messages using a SeqGAN network. Then features are extracted using an Autoencoder and anomaly detection and classification is done using a GRU network. The proposed model is evaluated with two imbalanced log data sets, namely BGL and Openstack. Results are presented which show that oversampling and balancing data increases the accuracy of anomaly detection and classification. Keywords: SeqGAN ยท Autoencoder ยท GRU ยท Deep Learning ยท Neural Network ยท Log messages ยท Anomaly detection ยท Classification 1 Introduction Logs are commonly used in software systems such as cloud servers. Generally, these messages are imbalanced because most logs indicate arXiv:1912.04747v1
Privacy-preserving data sharing via probabilistic modelling
Jรคlkรถ, Joonas, Lagerspetz, Eemil, Haukka, Jari, Tarkoma, Sasu, Kaski, Samuel, Honkela, Antti
Differential privacy allows quantifying privacy loss from computations on sensitive personal data. This loss grows with the number of accesses to the data, making it hard to open the use of such data while respecting privacy. To avoid this limitation, we propose privacy-preserving release of a synthetic version of a data set, which can be used for an unlimited number of analyses with any methods, without affecting the privacy guarantees. The synthetic data generation is based on differentially private learning of a generative probabilistic model which can capture the probability distribution of the original data. We demonstrate empirically that we can reliably reproduce statistical discoveries from the synthetic data. We expect the method to have broad use in sharing anonymized versions of key data sets for research.
Winning the Lottery with Continuous Sparsification
Savarese, Pedro, Silva, Hugo, Maire, Michael
The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis from Frankle & Carbin (2019) conjectures that, for typically-sized neural networks, it is possible to find small sub-networks which train faster and yield superior performance than their original counterparts. The proposed algorithm to search for "winning tickets", Iterative Magnitude Pruning, consistently finds sub-networks with $90-95\%$ less parameters which train faster and better than the overparameterized models they were extracted from, creating potential applications to problems such as transfer learning. In this paper, we propose Continuous Sparsification, a new algorithm to search for winning tickets which continuously removes parameters from a network during training, and learns the sub-network's structure with gradient-based methods instead of relying on pruning strategies. We show empirically that our method is capable of finding tickets that outperforms the ones learned by Iterative Magnitude Pruning, and at the same time providing faster search, when measured in number of training epochs or wall-clock time.
Semi-supervised Learning Approach to Generate Neuroimaging Modalities with Adversarial Training
Nguyen, Harrison, Luo, Simon, Ramos, Fabio
Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) of the brain can come in the form of different modalities such as T1-weighted and Fluid Attenuated Inversion Recovery (FLAIR) which has been used to investigate a wide range of neurological disorders. Current state-of-the-art models for brain tissue segmentation and disease classification require multiple modalities for training and inference. However, the acquisition of all of these modalities are expensive, time-consuming, inconvenient and the required modalities are often not available. As a result, these datasets contain large amounts of \emph{unpaired} data, where examples in the dataset do not contain all modalities. On the other hand, there is smaller fraction of examples that contain all modalities (\emph{paired} data) and furthermore each modality is high dimensional when compared to number of datapoints. In this work, we develop a method to address these issues with semi-supervised learning in translating between two neuroimaging modalities. Our proposed model, Semi-Supervised Adversarial CycleGAN (SSA-CGAN), uses an adversarial loss to learn from \emph{unpaired} data points, cycle loss to enforce consistent reconstructions of the mappings and another adversarial loss to take advantage of \emph{paired} data points. Our experiments demonstrate that our proposed framework produces an improvement in reconstruction error and reduced variance for the pairwise translation of multiple modalities and is more robust to thermal noise when compared to existing methods.