Secure multiparty computations enable the distribution of so-called shares of sensitive data to multiple parties such that the multiple parties can effectively process the data while being unable to glean much information about the data (at least not without collusion among all parties to put back together all the shares). Thus, the parties may conspire to send all their processed results to a trusted third party (perhaps the data provider) at the conclusion of the computations, with only the trusted third party being able to view the final results. Secure multiparty computations for privacy-preserving machine-learning turn out to be possible using solely standard floating-point arithmetic, at least with a carefully controlled leakage of information less than the loss of accuracy due to roundoff, all backed by rigorous mathematical proofs of worst-case bounds on information loss and numerical stability in finite-precision arithmetic. Numerical examples illustrate the high performance attained on commodity off-the-shelf hardware for generalized linear models, including ordinary linear least-squares regression, binary and multinomial logistic regression, probit regression, and Poisson regression.

We propose a formalization of the three-tier causal hierarchy of association, intervention, and counterfactuals as a series of probabilistic logical languages. Our languages are of strictly increasing expressivity, the first capable of expressing quantitative probabilistic reasoning---including conditional independence and Bayesian inference---the second encoding do-calculus reasoning for causal effects, and the third capturing a fully expressive do-calculus for arbitrary counterfactual queries. We give a corresponding series of finitary axiomatizations complete over both structural causal models and probabilistic programs, and show that satisfiability and validity for each language are decidable in polynomial space.

Fungal Biosynthetic Gene Clusters (BGCs) of secondary metabolites are clusters of genes capable of producing natural products, compounds that play an important role in the production of a wide variety of bioactive compounds, including antibiotics and pharmaceuticals. Identifying BGCs can lead to the discovery of novel natural products to benefit human health. Previous work has been focused on developing automatic tools to support BGC discovery in plants, fungi, and bacteria. Data-driven methods, as well as probabilistic and supervised learning methods have been explored in identifying BGCs. Most methods applied to identify fungal BGCs were data-driven and presented limited scope. Supervised learning methods have been shown to perform well at identifying BGCs in bacteria, and could be well suited to perform the same task in fungi. But labeled data instances are needed to perform supervised learning. Openly accessible BGC databases contain only a very small portion of previously curated fungal BGCs. Making new fungal BGC datasets available could motivate the development of supervised learning methods for fungal BGCs and potentially improve prediction performance compared to data-driven methods. In this work we propose new publicly available fungal BGC datasets to support the BGC discovery task using supervised learning. These datasets are prepared to perform binary classification and predict candidate BGC regions in fungal genomes. In addition we analyse the performance of a well supported supervised learning tool developed to predict BGCs.

This paper analyses how Time Series Analysis techniques can be applied to capture movement of an exchange traded index in a stock market. Specifically, Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) class of models is applied to capture the movement of Nifty 50 index which is one of the most actively exchange traded contracts globally [1]. A total of 729 model parameter combinations were evaluated and the most appropriate selected for making the final forecast based on AIC criteria [8]. NIFTY 50 can be used for a variety of purposes such as benchmarking fund portfolios, launching of index funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs) and structured products. The index tracks the behaviour of a portfolio of blue chip companies, the largest and most liquid Indian securities and can be regarded as a true reflection of the Indian stock market [2].

Studies of networked phenomena, such as interactions in online social media, often rely on incomplete data, either because these phenomena are partially observed, or because the data is too large or expensive to acquire all at once. Analysis of incomplete data leads to skewed or misleading results. In this paper, we investigate limitations of learning to complete partially observed networks via node querying. Concretely, we study the following problem: given (i) a partially observed network, (ii) the ability to query nodes for their connections (e.g., by accessing an API), and (iii) a budget on the number of such queries, sequentially learn which nodes to query in order to maximally increase observability. We call this querying process Network Online Learning and present a family of algorithms called NOL*. These algorithms learn to choose which partially observed node to query next based on a parameterized model that is trained online through a process of exploration and exploitation. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real world networks show that (i) it is possible to sequentially learn to choose which nodes are best to query in a network and (ii) some macroscopic properties of networks, such as the degree distribution and modular structure, impact the potential for learning and the optimal amount of random exploration.

Uncorrelated optical space observation association represents a classic needle in a haystack problem. The objective being to find small groups of observations that are likely of the same resident space objects (RSOs) from amongst the much larger population of all uncorrelated observations. These observations being potentially widely disparate both temporally and with respect to the observing sensor position. By training on a large representative data set this paper shows that a deep learning enabled learned model with no encoded knowledge of physics or orbital mechanics can learn a model for identifying observations of common objects. When presented with balanced input sets of 50% matching observation pairs the learned model was able to correctly identify if the observation pairs were of the same RSO 83.1% of the time. The resulting learned model is then used in conjunction with a search algorithm on an unbalanced demonstration set of 1,000 disparate simulated uncorrelated observations and is shown to be able to successfully identify true three observation sets representing 111 out of 142 objects in the population. With most objects being identified in multiple three observation triplets. This is accomplished while only exploring 0.06% of the search space of 1.66e8 possible unique triplet combinations.

The web contains a vast corpus of HTML tables. They can be used to provide direct answers to many web queries. We focus on answering two classes of queries with those tables: those seeking lists of entities (e.g., `cities in california') and those seeking superlative entities (e.g., `largest city in california'). The main challenge is to achieve high precision with significant coverage. Existing approaches train machine learning models to select the answer from the candidates; they rely on textual match features between the query and the content of the table along with features capturing table quality/importance. These features alone are inadequate for achieving the above goals. Our main insight is that we can improve precision by (i) first extracting intent (structured information) from the query for the above query classes and (ii) then performing structure-aware matching (instead of just textual matching) between the extracted intent and the candidates to select the answer. We model (i) as a sequence tagging task. We leverage state-of-the-art deep neural network models with word embeddings. The model requires large scale training data which is expensive to obtain via manual labeling; we therefore develop a novel method to automatically generate the training data. For (ii), we develop novel features to compute structure-aware match and train a machine learning model. Our experiments on real-life web search queries show that (i) our intent extractor for list and superlative intent queries has significantly higher precision and coverage compared with baseline approaches and (ii) our table answer selector significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline approach. This technology has been used in production by Microsoft's Bing search engine since 2016.

Climate change impacts and adaptations are the subjects to ongoing issues that attract the attention of many researchers. Insight into the wind power potential in an area and its probable variation due to climate change impacts can provide useful information for energy policymakers and strategists for sustainable development and management of the energy. In this study, spatial variation of wind power density at the turbine hub-height and its variability under future climatic scenarios are taken under consideration. An ANFIS based post-processing technique was employed to match the power outputs of the regional climate model with those obtained from the reference data. The near-surface wind data obtained from a regional climate model are employed to investigate climate change impacts on the wind power resources in the Caspian Sea. Subsequent to converting near-surface wind speed to turbine hub-height speed and computation of wind power density, the results have been investigated to reveal mean annual power, seasonal, and monthly variability for a 20-year period in the present (1981-2000) and in the future (2081-2100). The findings of this study indicated that the middle and northern parts of the Caspian Sea are placed with the highest values of wind power. However, the results of the post-processing technique using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model showed that the real potential of the wind power in the area is lower than those of projected from the regional climate model.

Abstract--K-means is a classical clustering algorithm with wide applications. However, soft K-means, or fuzzy c-means at m 1, remains unsolved since 1981. T o address this challenging open problem, we propose a novel clustering model, i.e. Probabilistic K-Means (PKM), which is also a nonlinear programming model constrained on linear equalities and linear inequalities. In theory, we can solve the model by active gradient projection, while inefficiently . Thus, we further propose maximum-step active gradient projection and fast maximum-step active gradient projection to solve it more efficiently . By experiments, we evaluate the performance of PKM and how well the proposed methods solve it in five aspects: initialization robustness, clustering performance, descending stability, iteration number, and convergence speed. It has been widely used in image and video processing [1] - [4], speech processing [5], biology [6], medicine [7], sociology [8], and so on.

The edge device alone, however, often cannot achieve real-time edge intelligence due to its constrained computing resources and limited local data. T o tackle these challenges, we propose a platform-aided collaborative learning framework where a model is first trained across a set of source edge nodes by a federated meta-learning approach, and then it is rapidly adapted to learn a new task at the target edge node, using a few samples only. Further, we investigate the convergence of the proposed federated meta-learning algorithm under mild conditions on node similarity and the adaptation performance at the target edge. T o combat against the vulnerability of meta-learning algorithms to possible adversarial attacks, we further propose a robust version of the federated meta-learning algorithm based on distributionally robust optimization, and establish its convergence under mild conditions. Experiments on different datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed Federated Meta-Learning based framework.