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On the Convergence of Artificial Intelligence and Distributed Ledger Technology: A Scoping Review and Future Research Agenda
Pandl, Konstantin D., Thiebes, Scott, Schmidt-Kraepelin, Manuel, Sunyaev, Ali
Developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) currently lead lively debates in academia and practice. AI processes data to perform tasks that were previously thought possible only for humans to perform. DLT acts in uncertain environments to create consensus over data among a group of participants. In recent articles, both technologies complement each other. Examples include the design of secure distributed ledgers or the creation of allied learning systems distributed across multiple nodes. This can lead to technological convergence, which in the past, has paved the way for major IT product innovations. Previous work highlights several potential benefits of the convergence of AI and DLT but only provides a limited theoretical framework to describe upcoming real-world integration cases of both technologies. We aim to contribute by conducting a systematic literature review on the previous work and by providing rigorously derived future research opportunities. Our analysis identifies how AI and DLT exchange data, and how to use these integration principles to build new systems. Based on that, we present open questions for future research. This work helps researchers active in AI or DLT to overcome current limitations in their field, and engineers to develop systems along with the convergence of these technologies.
Human Action Performance using Deep Neuro-Fuzzy Recurrent Attention Model
Bendre, Nihar, Ebadi, Nima, Rad, Paul
A great number of computer vision publications have focused on distinguishing between human action recognition and classification rather than the intensity of actions performed. Indexing the intensity which determines the performance of human actions is a challenging task due to the uncertainty and information deficiency that exists in the video inputs. To remedy this uncertainty, in this paper, we coupled fuzzy logic rules with the neural-based action recognition model to index the intensity of the action as intense or mild. In our approach, we define fuzzy logic rules to detect the intensity index of the performed action using the weights generated by the Spatio-Temporal LSTM and demonstrate through experiments that indexing of the action intensity is possible. We analyzed the integrated model by applying it to videos of human actions with different action intensities and were able to achieve an accuracy of 89.16% on our generated dataset for intensity indexing. The integrated model demonstrates the ability of the fuzzy inference module to effectively estimate the intensity index of the human action.
AMR Similarity Metrics from Principles
Opitz, Juri, Parcalabescu, Letitia, Frank, Anette
Different metrics have been proposed to compare Abstract Meaning Representation (AMR) graphs. The canonical Smatch metric (Cai and Knight, 2013) aligns variables from one graph to another and compares the matching triples. The recently released SemBleu metric (Song and Gildea, 2019) is based on the machine-translation metric Bleu (Papineni et al., 2002), increasing computational efficiency by ablating a variable-alignment step and aiming at capturing more global graph properties. Our aims are threefold: i) we establish criteria that allow us to perform a principled comparison between metrics of symbolic meaning representations like AMR; ii) we undertake a thorough analysis of Smatch and SemBleu where we show that the latter exhibits some undesirable properties. E.g., it violates the identity of indiscernibles rule and introduces biases that are hard to control; iii) we propose a novel metric S2match that is more benevolent to only very slight meaning deviations and targets the fulfilment of all established criteria. We assess its suitability and show its advantages over Smatch and SemBleu.
Stochastic L-system Inference from Multiple String Sequence Inputs
Bernard, Jason, McQuillan, Ian
Lindenmayer systems (L-systems) are a grammar system that consist of string rewriting rules. The rules replace every symbol in a string in parallel with a successor to produce the next string, and this procedure iterates. In a stochastic context-free L-system (S0L-system), every symbol may have one or more rewriting rule, each with an associated probability of selection. Properly constructed rewriting rules have been found to be useful for modeling and simulating some natural and human engineered processes where each derived string describes a step in the simulation. Typically, processes are modeled by experts who meticulously construct the rules based on measurements or domain knowledge of the process. This paper presents an automated approach to finding stochastic L-systems, given a set of string sequences as input. The implemented tool is called the Plant Model Inference Tool for S0L-systems (PMIT-S0L). PMIT-S0L is evaluated using 960 procedurally generated S0L-systems in a test suite, which are each used to generate input strings, and PMIT-S0L is then used to infer the system from only the sequences. The evaluation shows that PMIT-S0L infers S0L-systems with up to 9 rewriting rules each in under 12 hours. Additionally, it is found that 3 sequences of strings is sufficient to find the correct original rewriting rules in 100% of the cases in the test suite, and 6 sequences of strings reduces the difference in the associated probabilities to approximately 1% or less.
MEMO: A Deep Network for Flexible Combination of Episodic Memories
Banino, Andrea, Badia, Adriร Puigdomรจnech, Kรถster, Raphael, Chadwick, Martin J., Zambaldi, Vinicius, Hassabis, Demis, Barry, Caswell, Botvinick, Matthew, Kumaran, Dharshan, Blundell, Charles
Recent research developing neural network architectures with external memory have often used the benchmark bAbI question and answering dataset which provides a challenging number of tasks requiring reasoning. Here we employed a classic associative inference task from the memory-based reasoning neuroscience literature in order to more carefully probe the reasoning capacity of existing memory-augmented architectures. This task is thought to capture the essence of reasoning -- the appreciation of distant relationships among elements distributed across multiple facts or memories. Surprisingly, we found that current architectures struggle to reason over long distance associations. Similar results were obtained on a more complex task involving finding the shortest path between nodes in a path. We therefore developed MEMO, an architecture endowed with the capacity to reason over longer distances. This was accomplished with the addition of two novel components. First, it introduces a separation between memories (facts) stored in external memory and the items that comprise these facts in external memory. Second, it makes use of an adaptive retrieval mechanism, allowing a variable number of "memory hops" before the answer is produced. MEMO is capable of solving our novel reasoning tasks, as well as match state of the art results in bAbI.
Interventions and Counterfactuals in Tractable Probabilistic Models: Limitations of Contemporary Transformations
Papantonis, Ioannis, Belle, Vaishak
In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in studying causality-related properties in machine learning models generally, and in generative models in particular. While that is well motivated, it inherits the fundamental computational hardness of probabilistic inference, making exact reasoning intractable. Probabilistic tractable models have also recently emerged, which guarantee that conditional marginals can be computed in time linear in the size of the model, where the model is usually learned from data. Although initially limited to low tree-width models, recent tractable models such as sum product networks (SPNs) and probabilistic sentential decision diagrams (PSDDs) exploit efficient function representations and also capture high tree-width models. In this paper, we ask the following technical question: can we use the distributions represented or learned by these models to perform causal queries, such as reasoning about interventions and counterfactuals? By appealing to some existing ideas on transforming such models to Bayesian networks, we answer mostly in the negative. We show that when transforming SPNs to a causal graph interventional reasoning reduces to computing marginal distributions; in other words, only trivial causal reasoning is possible. For PSDDs the situation is only slightly better. We first provide an algorithm for constructing a causal graph from a PSDD, which introduces augmented variables. Intervening on the original variables, once again, reduces to marginal distributions, but when intervening on the augmented variables, a deterministic but nonetheless causal-semantics can be provided for PSDDs.
Asymptotically Efficient Off-Policy Evaluation for Tabular Reinforcement Learning
We consider the problem of off-policy evaluation for reinforcement learning, where the goal is to estimate the expected reward of a target policy $\pi$ using offline data collected by running a logging policy $\mu$. Standard importance-sampling based approaches for this problem suffer from a variance that scales exponentially with time horizon $H$, which motivates a splurge of recent interest in alternatives that break the "Curse of Horizon" (Liu et al. 2018, Xie et al. 2019). In particular, it was shown that a marginalized importance sampling (MIS) approach can be used to achieve an estimation error of order $O(H^3/ n)$ in mean square error (MSE) under an episodic Markov Decision Process model with finite states and potentially infinite actions. The MSE bound however is still a factor of $H$ away from a Cramer-Rao lower bound of order $\Omega(H^2/n)$. In this paper, we prove that with a simple modification to the MIS estimator, we can asymptotically attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound, provided that the action space is finite. We also provide a general method for constructing MIS estimators with high-probability error bounds.
Towards Multi-perspective conformance checking with fuzzy sets
Zhang, Sicui, Genga, Laura, Yan, Hui, Lu, Xudong, Duan, Huilong, Kaymak, Uzay
Conformance checking techniques are widely adopted to pinpoint possible discrepancies between process models and the execution of the process in reality. However, state of the art approaches adopt a crisp evaluation of deviations, with the result that small violations are considered at the same level of significant ones. This affects the quality of the provided diagnostics, especially when there exists some tolerance with respect to reasonably small violations, and hampers the flexibility of the process. In this work, we propose a novel approach which allows to represent actors' tolerance with respect to violations and to account for severity of deviations when assessing executions compliance. We argue that besides improving the quality of the provided diagnostics, allowing some tolerance in deviations assessment also enhances the flexibility of conformance checking techniques and, indirectly, paves the way for improving the resilience of the overall process management system.
Bayesian Neural Architecture Search using A Training-Free Performance Metric
Camero, Andrรฉs, Wang, Hao, Alba, Enrique, Bรคck, Thomas
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a powerful approach for time series prediction. However, their performance is strongly affected by their architecture and hyperparameter settings. The architecture optimization of RNNs is a time-consuming task, where the search space is typically a mixture of real, integer and categorical values. To allow for shrinking and expanding the size of the network, the representation of architectures often has a variable length. In this paper, we propose to tackle the architecture optimization problem with a variant of the Bayesian Optimization (BO) algorithm. To reduce the evaluation time of candidate architectures the Mean Absolute Error Random Sampling (MRS), a training-free method to estimate the network performance, is adopted as the objective function for BO. Also, we propose three fixed-length encoding schemes to cope with the variable-length architecture representation. The result is a new perspective on accurate and efficient design of RNNs, that we validate on three problems. Our findings show that 1) the BO algorithm can explore different network architectures using the proposed encoding schemes and successfully designs well-performing architectures, and 2) the optimization time is significantly reduced by using MRS, without compromising the performance as compared to the architectures obtained from the actual training procedure.
Causal query in observational data with hidden variables
Cheng, Debo, Li, Jiuyong, Liu, Lin, Liu, Jixue, Yu, Kui, Le, Thuc Duy
This paper discusses the problem of causal query in observational data with hidden variables, with the aim of seeking the change of an outcome when "manipulating" a variable while given a set of plausible confounding variables which affect the manipulated variable and the outcome. Such an "experiment on data" to estimate the causal effect of the manipulated variable is useful for validating an experiment design using historical data or for exploring con-founders when studying a new relationship. However, existing data-driven methods for causal effect estimation face some major challenges, including poor scalability with high dimensional data, low estimation accuracy due to heuristics used by the global causal structure learning algorithms, and the assumption of causal sufficiency when hidden variables are inevitable in data. In this paper, we develop theorems for using local search to find a superset of the adjustment (or confounding) variables for causal effect estimation from observational data under a realistic pretreatment assumption. The theorems ensure that the unbiased estimate of causal effect is obtained in the set of causal effects estimated by the superset of adjustment variables. Based on the developed theorems, we propose a data-driven algorithm for causal query. Experiments show that the proposed algorithm is faster and produces better causal effect estimation than an existing data-driven causal effect estimation method with hidden variables. The causal effects estimated by the algorithm are as good as those by the state-of-the-art methods using domain knowledge.