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Predicting Injectable Medication Adherence via a Smart Sharps Bin and Machine Learning
Gu, Yingqi, Zalkikar, Akshay, Kelly, Lara, Daly, Kieran, Ward, Tomas E.
Medication non-adherence is a widespread problem affecting over 50% of people who have chronic illness and need chronic treatment. Non-adherence exacerbates health risks and drives significant increases in treatment costs. In order to address these challenges, the importance of predicting patients' adherence has been recognised. In other words, it is important to improve the efficiency of interventions of the current healthcare system by prioritizing resources to the patients who are most likely to be non-adherent. Our objective in this work is to make predictions regarding individual patients' behaviour in terms of taking their medication on time during their next scheduled medication opportunity. We do this by leveraging a number of machine learning models. In particular, we demonstrate the use of a connected IoT device; a "Smart Sharps Bin", invented by HealthBeacon Ltd.; to monitor and track injection disposal of patients in their home environment. Using extensive data collected from these devices, five machine learning models, namely Extra Trees Classifier, Random Forest, XGBoost, Gradient Boosting and Multilayer Perception were trained and evaluated on a large dataset comprising 165,223 historic injection disposal records collected from 5,915 HealthBeacon units over the course of 3 years. The testing work was conducted on real-time data generated by the smart device over a time period after the model training was complete, i.e. true future data. The proposed machine learning approach demonstrated very good predictive performance exhibiting an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC AUC) of 0.86.
Randomized Kernel Multi-view Discriminant Analysis
Li, Xiaoyun, Gui, Jie, Li, Ping
In many artificial intelligence and computer vision systems, the same object can be observed at distinct viewpoints or by diverse sensors, which raises the challenges for recognizing objects from different, even heterogeneous views. Multi-view discriminant analysis (MvDA) is an effective multi-view subspace learning method, which finds a discriminant common subspace by jointly learning multiple view-specific linear projections for object recognition from multiple views, in a non-pairwise way. In this paper, we propose the kernel version of multi-view discriminant analysis, called kernel multi-view discriminant analysis (KMvDA). To overcome the well-known computational bottleneck of kernel methods, we also study the performance of using random Fourier features (RFF) to approximate Gaussian kernels in KMvDA, for large scale learning. Theoretical analysis on stability of this approximation is developed. We also conduct experiments on several popular multi-view datasets to illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed strategy.
Surrogate-assisted performance tuning of knowledge discovery algorithms: application to clinical pathway evolutionary modeling
Funkner, Anastasia A., Yakovlev, Aleksey N., Kovalchuk, Sergey V.
The paper proposes an approach for surrogate-assisted tuning of knowledge discovery algorithms. The approach is based on the prediction of both the quality and performance of the target algorithm. The prediction is furtherly used as objectives for the optimization and tuning of the algorithm. The approach is investigated using clinical pathways (CP) discovery problem resolved using the evolutionary-based clustering of electronic health records (EHR). Target algorithm and the proposed approach were applied to the discovery of CPs for Acute Coronary Syndrome patients in 3434 EHRs of patients treated in Almazov National Medical Research Center (Saint Petersburg, Russia). The study investigates the possible acquisition of interpretable clusters of typical CPs within a single disease. It shows how the approach could be used to improve complex data-driven analytical knowledge discovery algorithms. The study of the results includes the feature importance of the best surrogate model and discover how the parameters of input data influence the predictions.
Learning to cooperate: Emergent communication in multi-agent navigation
Kajić, Ivana, Aygün, Eser, Precup, Doina
Emergent communication in artificial agents has been studied to understand language evolution, as well as to develop artificial systems that learn to communicate with humans. We show that agents performing a cooperative navigation task in various gridworld environments learn an interpretable communication protocol that enables them to efficiently, and in many cases, optimally, solve the task. An analysis of the agents' policies reveals that emergent signals spatially cluster the state space, with signals referring to specific locations and spatial directions such as "left", "up", or "upper left room". Using populations of agents, we show that the emergent protocol has basic compositional structure, thus exhibiting a core property of natural language.
Learning Sparse & Ternary Neural Networks with Entropy-Constrained Trained Ternarization (EC2T)
Marban, Arturo, Becking, Daniel, Wiedemann, Simon, Samek, Wojciech
Deep neural networks (DNN) have shown remarkable success in a variety of machine learning applications. The capacity of these models (i.e., number of parameters), endows them with expressive power and allows them to reach the desired performance. In recent years, there is an increasing interest in deploying DNNs to resource-constrained devices (i.e., mobile devices) with limited energy, memory, and computational budget. To address this problem, we propose Entropy-Constrained Trained Ternarization (EC2T), a general framework to create sparse and ternary neural networks which are efficient in terms of storage (e.g., at most two binary-masks and two full-precision values are required to save a weight matrix) and computation (e.g., MAC operations are reduced to a few accumulations plus two multiplications). This approach consists of two steps. First, a super-network is created by scaling the dimensions of a pre-trained model (i.e., its width and depth). Subsequently, this super-network is simultaneously pruned (using an entropy constraint) and quantized (that is, ternary values are assigned layer-wise) in a training process, resulting in a sparse and ternary network representation. We validate the proposed approach in CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and ImageNet datasets, showing its effectiveness in image classification tasks.
Mirrorless Mirror Descent: A More Natural Discretization of Riemannian Gradient Flow
Gunasekar, Suriya, Woodworth, Blake, Srebro, Nathan
We present a direct (primal only) derivation of Mirror Descent as a "partial" discretization of gradient flow on a Riemannian manifold where the metric tensor is the Hessian of the Mirror Descent potential function. We argue that this discretization is more faithful to the geometry than Natural Gradient Descent, which is obtained by a "full" forward Euler discretization. This view helps shed light on the relationship between the methods and allows generalizing Mirror Descent to any Riemannian geometry, even when the metric tensor is not a Hessian, and thus there is no "dual".
Deep-n-Cheap: An Automated Search Framework for Low Complexity Deep Learning
Dey, Sourya, Kanala, Saikrishna C., Chugg, Keith M., Beerel, Peter A.
We present Deep-n-Cheap -- an open-source AutoML framework to search for deep learning models. This search includes both architecture and training hyperparameters, and supports convolutional neural networks and multi-layer perceptrons. Our framework is targeted for deployment on both benchmark and custom datasets, and as a result, offers a greater degree of search space customizability as compared to a more limited search over only pre-existing models from literature. We also introduce the technique of 'search transfer', which demonstrates the generalization capabilities of the models found by our framework to multiple datasets. Deep-n-Cheap includes a user-customizable complexity penalty which trades off performance with training time or number of parameters. Specifically, our framework results in models offering performance comparable to state-of-the-art while taking 1-2 orders of magnitude less time to train than models from other AutoML and model search frameworks. Additionally, this work investigates and develops various insights regarding the search process. In particular, we show the superiority of a greedy strategy and justify our choice of Bayesian optimization as the primary search methodology over random / grid search.
Learning Representations For Images With Hierarchical Labels
Image classification has been studied extensively but there has been limited work in the direction of using non-conventional, external guidance other than traditional image-label pairs to train such models. In this thesis we present a set of methods to leverage information about the semantic hierarchy induced by class labels. In the first part of the thesis, we inject label-hierarchy knowledge to an arbitrary classifier and empirically show that availability of such external semantic information in conjunction with the visual semantics from images boosts overall performance. Taking a step further in this direction, we model more explicitly the label-label and label-image interactions by using order-preserving embedding-based models, prevalent in natural language, and tailor them to the domain of computer vision to perform image classification. Although, contrasting in nature, both the CNN-classifiers injected with hierarchical information, and the embedding-based models outperform a hierarchy-agnostic model on the newly presented, real-world ETH Entomological Collection image dataset.
Kernel autocovariance operators of stationary processes: Estimation and convergence
Mollenhauer, Mattes, Klus, Stefan, Schütte, Christof, Koltai, Péter
We consider autocovariance operators of a stationary stochastic process on a Polish space that is embedded into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate how empirical estimates of these operators converge along realizations of the process under various conditions. In particular, we examine ergodic and strongly mixing processes and prove several asymptotic results as well as finite sample error bounds with a detailed analysis for the Gaussian kernel. We provide applications of our theory in terms of consistency results for kernel PCA with dependent data and the conditional mean embedding of transition probabilities. Finally, we use our approach to examine the nonparametric estimation of Markov transition operators and highlight how our theory can give a consistency analysis for a large family of spectral analysis methods including kernel-based dynamic mode decomposition.
Average Reward Adjusted Discounted Reinforcement Learning: Near-Blackwell-Optimal Policies for Real-World Applications
Although in recent years reinforcement learning has become very popular the number of successful applications to different kinds of operations research problems is rather scarce. Reinforcement learning is based on the well-studied dynamic programming technique and thus also aims at finding the best stationary policy for a given Markov Decision Process, but in contrast does not require any model knowledge. The policy is assessed solely on consecutive states (or state-action pairs), which are observed while an agent explores the solution space. The contributions of this paper are manifold. First we provide deep theoretical insights to the widely applied standard discounted reinforcement learning framework, which give rise to the understanding of why these algorithms are inappropriate when permanently provided with non-zero rewards, such as costs or profit. Second, we establish a novel near-Blackwell-optimal reinforcement learning algorithm. In contrary to former method it assesses the average reward per step separately and thus prevents the incautious combination of different types of state values. Thereby, the Laurent Series expansion of the discounted state values forms the foundation for this development and also provides the connection between the two approaches. Finally, we prove the viability of our algorithm on a challenging problem set, which includes a well-studied M/M/1 admission control queuing system. In contrast to standard discounted reinforcement learning our algorithm infers the optimal policy on all tested problems. The insights are that in the operations research domain machine learning techniques have to be adapted and advanced to successfully apply these methods in our settings.