The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle selects the model that has the shortest code for data plus model. We show that for a countable class of models, MDL predictions are close to the true distribution in a strong sense. The result is completely general. No independence, ergodicity, stationarity, identifiability, or other assumption on the model class need to be made. More formally, we show that for any countable class of models, the distributions selected by MDL (or MAP) asymptotically predict (merge with) the true measure in the class in total variation distance. Implications for non-i.i.d. domains like time-series forecasting, discriminative learning, and reinforcement learning are discussed.

Planning means deciding on the future course of action based on predictions of what will happen when an activity is carried out in one way or the other. As we apply action planning to autonomous, sensor-guided mobile robots with manipulators or even to humanoid robots we need very realistic and detailed predictions of the behavior generated by a plan in order to improve the robot's performance substantially. In this paper we investigate the high-fidelity temporal projection of realistic robot behavior based on physics- and sensor-based simulation systems. We equip a simulator and interpreter with means to log simulated plan executions into a database. A logic-based query and inference mechanism then retrieves and reconstructs the necessary information from the database and translates the information into a first-order representation of robot plans and the behavior they generate.  The query language enables the robot planning system to infer the intentions, the beliefs, and the world state at any projected time.  It also allows the planning system to recognize, diagnose, and analyze various plan failures typical for performing everyday manipulation tasks.

Finite-state and memoryless controllers are simple action selection mechanisms widely used in domains such as video-games and mobile robotics.  Memoryless controllers stand for functions that map observations into actions, while finite-state controllers generalize memoryless ones with a finite amount of memory.  In contrast to the policies obtained from MDPs and POMDPs, finite-state controllers have two advantages: they are often extremely compact, involving a small number of controller states or none at all, and they are general, applying to many problems and not just one. A limitation of finite-state controllers is that they must be written by hand. In this work, we address this limitation, and develop a method for deriving finite-state controllers automatically from models. These models represent a class of contingent problems where actions are deterministic and some fluents are observable.  The problem of deriving a controller from such models is converted into a conformant planning problem that is solved using classical planners, taking advantage of a complete translation introduced recently.  The controllers derived in this way are 'general' in the sense that they do not solve the original problem only, but many variations as well, including changes in the size of the problem or in the uncertainty of the initial situation and action effects.  Experiments illustrating the derivation of such controllers are presented.

Many potential real-world planning applications are on the border of planning and scheduling. To handle the complex choices of actions and temporal and resource constraints of these problems we need to integrate planning and scheduling techniques. Here we propose a transition-based formulation of temporal planning problems, that enables us to represent features like deadlines, time windows, release times etc. in a simple way. We describe a CSP encoding of the transition-based formulation and its potential advantages in integrating planning and scheduling techniques.

The problem of formulating knowledge bases containing action schema is a central concern in knowledge engineering for AI Planning. This paper describes LOCM, a system which carries out the automated induction of action schema from sets of example plans.  Each plan is assumed to be a sound sequence of actions; each action in a plan is stated as a name and a list of objects that the action refers to. LOCM exploits the assumption that actions change the state of objects, and require objects to be in a certain state before they can be executed.  The novelty of LOCM is that it can induce action schema without being provided with any information about predicates or initial, goal or intermediate state descriptions for the example action sequences.  In this paper we describe the implemented LOCM algorithm, and analyse its performance by its application to the induction of domain models for several domains. To evaluate the algorithm, we used random action sequences from existing models of domains, as well as solutions to past IPC problems.

Recently, Helmert and Geffner proposed the context-enhanced additive heuristic, where fact costs are evaluated relative to context states that arise from achieving first a pivot condition of each operator. As Helmert and Geffner pointed out, the method can be generalized to consider contexts arising from arbitrary precedence constraints over operator conditions instead. Herein, we provide such a generalization. We extend Helmert and Geffner's equations, and discuss a number of design choices that arise. Drawing on previous work on goal orderings, we design a family of methods for automatically generating precedence constraints. We run large-scale experiments, showing that the technique can help significantly, depending on the choice of precedence constraints. We shed some light on this by profiling the behavior of all possible precedence constraints, using a sampling technique.

Systems subject to (continuous) physical effects and controlled by (discrete) digital equipments, are today very common. Thus, many realistic domains where planning is required are represented by hybrid systems , i.e., systems containing both discrete and continuous values, with possibly a nonlinear continuous dynamics. The PDDL+ language allows one to model these domains, however the current tools can generally handle only planning problems on (possibly hybrid) systems with linear dynamics. Therefore, universal planning applied to hybrid systems and, in general, to non-linear systems is completely out of scope for such tools. In this paper, we propose the use of explicit model checking-based techniques to solve universal planning problems on such hardly-approachable domains.

Planning based on propositional SAT(isfiability) is a powerful approach to computing step-optimal plans given a parallel execution semantics. In this setting: (i) a solution plan must be minimal in the number of plan steps required, and (ii) non-conflicting actions can be executed instantaneously in parallel at a plan step. Underlying SAT-based approaches is the invocation of a decision procedure on a SAT encoding of a bounded version of the problem. A fundamental limitation of existing approaches is the size of these encodings. This problem stems from the use of a direct representation of actions — i.e. each action has a corresponding variable in the encoding. A longtime goal in planning has been to mitigate this limitation by developing a more compact split — also termed lifted — representation of actions in SAT encodings of parallel step-optimal problems. This paper describes such a representation. In particular, each action and each parallel execution of actions is represented uniquely as a conjunct of variables. Here, each variable is derived from action pre and post- conditions . Because multiple actions share conditions , our encoding of the planning constraints is factored and relatively compact. We find experimentally that our encoding yields a much more efficient and scalable planning procedure over the state-of-the-art in a large set of planning benchmarks.

Explaining policies of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is complicated due to their probabilistic and sequential nature. We present a technique to explain policies for factored MDP by populating a set of domain-independent templates. We also present a mechanism to determine a minimal set of templates that, viewed together, completely justify the policy. Our explanations can be generated automatically at run-time with no additional effort required from the MDP designer. We demonstrate our technique using the problems of advising undergraduate students in their course selection and assisting people with dementia in completing the task of handwashing. We also evaluate our explanations for course-advising through a user study involving students.

This paper proposes an iterative improvement approach for solving the Resource Constraint Project Scheduling Problem with Time-Windows (RCPSP/max), a well-known and challenging NP-hard scheduling problem. The algorithm is based on Iterative Flattening Search (IFS), an effective heuristic strategy for solving multi-capacity optimization scheduling problems. Given an initial solution, IFS iteratively performs two-steps: a relaxation-step , that randomly removes a subset of solution constraints and a solving-step , that incrementally recomputes a new solution. At the end, the best solution found is returned. The main contribution of this paper is the extension to RCPSP/max of the IFS optimization procedures developed for solving scheduling problems without time-windows. An experimental evaluation performed on medium-large size and web-available benchmark sets confirms the effectiveness of the proposed procedures. In particular, we have improved the average quality w.r.t. the current bests, while discovering three new optimal solutions, thus demonstrating the general efficacy of IFS.