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RobustnessVerificationofTree-basedModels

Neural Information Processing Systems

Although this verification problem is NP-complete in general, we give a more precise complexity characterization. We show that there is a simple linear time algorithm for verifying a single tree, and for tree ensembles the verification problem can be cast as a max-clique problem on a multi-partite graph withbounded boxicity. Forlowdimensional problems when boxicity can be viewed as constant, this reformulation leads to a polynomial time algorithm.



Sample Complexity of Forecast Aggregation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider a Bayesian forecast aggregation model where n experts, after observing private signals about an unknown binary event, report th eir posterior beliefs about the event to a principal, who then aggregates the repor ts into a single prediction for the event. The signals of the experts and the outcome of the event follow a joint distribution that is unknown to the principal, but th e principal has access to i.i.d. "samples" from the distribution, where each sampl e is a tuple of the experts' reports (not signals) and the realization of the even t. Using these samples, the principal aims to find an ε -approximately optimal aggregator, where optimal-ity is measured in terms of the expected squared distance bet ween the aggregated prediction and the realization of the event.





Online Adaptive Methods, Universality and Acceleration

Neural Information Processing Systems

Conversely, adaptive first order methods are very popular in Machine Learning, with AdaGrad, [12],beingthemostprominent methodamongthisclass. AdaGrad isanonlinelearning algorithm which adapts its learning rate using the feedback (gradients) received through the optimization process, and is known to successfully handle noisy feedback.