South America
Operational Wind Speed Forecasts for Chile's Electric Power Sector Using a Hybrid ML Model
Suri, Dhruv, Dutta, Praneet, Xue, Flora, Azevedo, Ines, Jain, Ravi
As Chile's electric power sector advances toward a future powered by renewable energy, accurate forecasting of renewable generation is essential for managing grid operations. The integration of renewable energy sources is particularly challenging due to the operational difficulties of managing their power generation, which is highly variable compared to fossil fuel sources, delaying the availability of clean energy. To mitigate this, we quantify the impact of increasing intermittent generation from wind and solar on thermal power plants in Chile and introduce a hybrid wind speed forecasting methodology which combines two custom ML models for Chile. The first model is based on TiDE, an MLP-based ML model for short-term forecasts, and the second is based on a graph neural network, GraphCast, for medium-term forecasts up to 10 days. Our hybrid approach outperforms the most accurate operational deterministic systems by 4-21% for short-term forecasts and 5-23% for medium-term forecasts and can directly lower the impact of wind generation on thermal ramping, curtailment, and system-level emissions in Chile.
Multitask Mayhem: Unveiling and Mitigating Safety Gaps in LLMs Fine-tuning
Jan, Essa, AlDahoul, Nouar, Ali, Moiz, Ahmad, Faizan, Zaffar, Fareed, Zaki, Yasir
Recent breakthroughs in Large Language Models (LLMs) have led to their adoption across a wide range of tasks, ranging from code generation to machine translation and sentiment analysis, etc. Red teaming/Safety alignment efforts show that fine-tuning models on benign (non-harmful) data could compromise safety. However, it remains unclear to what extent this phenomenon is influenced by different variables, including fine-tuning task, model calibrations, etc. This paper explores the task-wise safety degradation due to fine-tuning on downstream tasks such as summarization, code generation, translation, and classification across various calibration. Our results reveal that: 1) Fine-tuning LLMs for code generation and translation leads to the highest degradation in safety guardrails. 2) LLMs generally have weaker guardrails for translation and classification, with 73-92% of harmful prompts answered, across baseline and other calibrations, falling into one of two concern categories. 3) Current solutions, including guards and safety tuning datasets, lack cross-task robustness. To address these issues, we developed a new multitask safety dataset effectively reducing attack success rates across a range of tasks without compromising the model's overall helpfulness. Our work underscores the need for generalized alignment measures to ensure safer and more robust models.
Murder arrests after death of baby boy
Two people have been arrested on suspicion of murder after a baby died in Stoke-on-Trent. Police and the ambulance service were called to Sherwin Road, Burslem, shortly after 09:00 BST on 27 August following the death of a baby boy. A woman, 26, and man, 25, were arrested on 30 August on suspicion of causing or allowing the death of a child. The pair, from Stoke-on-Trent, were further arrested on suspicion of murder on Tuesday, Staffordshire Police said. A spokesperson for the force said specialist officers were supporting the baby's family.
At TIME100 Impact Dinner, AI Leaders Discuss the Technology's Transformative Potential
Inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil, researcher and Brookings Institution fellow Chinasa T. Okolo, director of the U.S. Artificial Safety Institute (AISI) Elizabeth Kelly, and Cognizant CEO Ravi Kumar S, discussed the transformative power of AI during a panel at a TIME100 Impact Dinner in San Francisco on Monday. During the discussion, which was moderated by TIME's editor-in-chief Sam Jacobs, Kurzweil predicted that we will achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a type of AI that might be smarter than humans, by 2029. "Nobody really took it seriously until now," Kurzweil said about AI. "People are convinced it's going to either endow us with things we'd never had before, or it's going to kill us." Cognizant sponsored Monday's event, which celebrated the 100 most influential people leading change in AI. Jacobs probed the four panelists--three of whom were named to the 2024 list--about the opportunities and challenges presented by AI's rapid advancement.
Enhancing Mental Health Support through Human-AI Collaboration: Toward Secure and Empathetic AI-enabled chatbots
AlMakinah, Rawan, Norcini-Pala, Andrea, Disney, Lindsey, Canbaz, M. Abdullah
Access to mental health support remains limited, particularly in marginalized communities where structural and cultural barriers hinder timely care. This paper explores the potential of AI-enabled chatbots as a scalable solution, focusing on advanced large language models (LLMs)-GPT v4, Mistral Large, and LLama V3.1-and assessing their ability to deliver empathetic, meaningful responses in mental health contexts. While these models show promise in generating structured responses, they fall short in replicating the emotional depth and adaptability of human therapists. Additionally, trustworthiness, bias, and privacy challenges persist due to unreliable datasets and limited collaboration with mental health professionals. To address these limitations, we propose a federated learning framework that ensures data privacy, reduces bias, and integrates continuous validation from clinicians to enhance response quality. This approach aims to develop a secure, evidence-based AI chatbot capable of offering trustworthy, empathetic, and bias-reduced mental health support, advancing AI's role in digital mental health care.
Insightful Railway Track Evaluation: Leveraging NARX Feature Interpretation
Silva, P. H. O., Cerqueira, A. S., Nepomuceno, E. G.
The classification of time series is essential for extracting meaningful insights and aiding decision-making in engineering domains. Parametric modeling techniques like NARX are invaluable for comprehending intricate processes, such as environmental time series, owing to their easily interpretable and transparent structures. This article introduces a classification algorithm, Logistic-NARX Multinomial, which merges the NARX methodology with logistic regression. This approach not only produces interpretable models but also effectively tackles challenges associated with multiclass classification. Furthermore, this study introduces an innovative methodology tailored for the railway sector, offering a tool by employing NARX models to interpret the multitude of features derived from onboard sensors. This solution provides profound insights through feature importance analysis, enabling informed decision-making regarding safety and maintenance.
Evaluating Investment Risks in LATAM AI Startups: Ranking of Investment Potential and Framework for Valuation
Ramos-Torres, Abraham, Montoya, Laura N.
The growth of the tech startup ecosystem in Latin America (LATAM) is driven by innovative entrepreneurs addressing market needs across various sectors. However, these startups encounter unique challenges and risks that require specific management approaches. This paper explores a case study with the Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics within the context of the online food delivery industry in LATAM, serving as a model for valuing startups using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method. By analyzing key emerging powers such as Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Costa Rica, Panama, and Ecuador, the study highlights the potential and profitability of AI-driven startups in the region through the development of a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment. The paper also examines the political, economic, and competitive risks faced by startups and offers strategic insights on mitigating these risks to maximize investment returns. Furthermore, the research underscores the value of diversifying investment portfolios with startups in emerging markets, emphasizing the opportunities for substantial growth and returns despite inherent risks.
IBM Quantum Computers: Evolution, Performance, and Future Directions
Quantum computers represent a transformative frontier in computational technology, promising exponential speedups beyond classical computing limits. IBM Quantum has led significant advancements in both hardware and software, providing access to quantum hardware via IBM Cloud since 2016, achieving a milestone with the world's first accessible quantum computer. This article explores IBM's quantum computing journey, focusing on the development of practical quantum computers. We summarize the evolution and advancements of IBM Quantum's processors across generations, including their recent breakthrough surpassing the 1,000-qubit barrier. The paper reviews detailed performance metrics across various hardware, tracing their evolution over time and highlighting IBM Quantum's transition from the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) computing era towards fault-tolerant quantum computing capabilities.
An Enhanced-State Reinforcement Learning Algorithm for Multi-Task Fusion in Large-Scale Recommender Systems
Liu, Peng, Zhu, Jiawei, Xu, Cong, Zhao, Ming, Wang, Bin
As the last key stage of Recommender Systems (RSs), Multi-Task Fusion (MTF) is in charge of combining multiple scores predicted by Multi-Task Learning (MTL) into a final score to maximize user satisfaction, which decides the ultimate recommendation results. In recent years, to maximize long-term user satisfaction within a recommendation session, Reinforcement Learning (RL) is widely used for MTF in large-scale RSs. However, limited by their modeling pattern, all the current RL-MTF methods can only utilize user features as the state to generate actions for each user, but unable to make use of item features and other valuable features, which leads to suboptimal results. Addressing this problem is a challenge that requires breaking through the current modeling pattern of RL-MTF. To solve this problem, we propose a novel method called Enhanced-State RL for MTF in RSs. Unlike the existing methods mentioned above, our method first defines user features, item features, and other valuable features collectively as the enhanced state; then proposes a novel actor and critic learning process to utilize the enhanced state to make much better action for each user-item pair. To the best of our knowledge, this novel modeling pattern is being proposed for the first time in the field of RL-MTF. We conduct extensive offline and online experiments in a large-scale RS. The results demonstrate that our model outperforms other models significantly. Enhanced-State RL has been fully deployed in our RS more than half a year, improving +3.84% user valid consumption and +0.58% user duration time compared to baseline.
FedNE: Surrogate-Assisted Federated Neighbor Embedding for Dimensionality Reduction
Li, Ziwei, Wang, Xiaoqi, Chen, Hong-You, Shen, Han-Wei, Chao, Wei-Lun
Federated learning (FL) has rapidly evolved as a promising paradigm that enables collaborative model training across distributed participants without exchanging their local data. Despite its broad applications in fields such as computer vision, graph learning, and natural language processing, the development of a data projection model that can be effectively used to visualize data in the context of FL is crucial yet remains heavily under-explored. Neighbor embedding (NE) is an essential technique for visualizing complex high-dimensional data, but collaboratively learning a joint NE model is difficult. The key challenge lies in the objective function, as effective visualization algorithms like NE require computing loss functions among pairs of data. In this paper, we introduce \textsc{FedNE}, a novel approach that integrates the \textsc{FedAvg} framework with the contrastive NE technique, without any requirements of shareable data. To address the lack of inter-client repulsion which is crucial for the alignment in the global embedding space, we develop a surrogate loss function that each client learns and shares with each other. Additionally, we propose a data-mixing strategy to augment the local data, aiming to relax the problems of invisible neighbors and false neighbors constructed by the local $k$NN graphs. We conduct comprehensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets. The results demonstrate that our \textsc{FedNE} can effectively preserve the neighborhood data structures and enhance the alignment in the global embedding space compared to several baseline methods.