We aim to profile characteristics of areas of variant units across a district, city or a country. Studying attributes of areas can be very useful in several situations. In the past, research has focused mainly on studying specific char- acteristics of areas using a few selected attributes. In this paper we propose an alternative view on neighbourhood profiles. Instead of characterising a neighbourhood through a set of attributes such as those collected by the census, we propose use of a low-dimensional fea- ture representation, or embedding, created from one or more input sources. The purpose of the embeddings is having a generic representation for entities that can do well across several downstream tasks such as regression for attributes prediction.

This is especially the media as an event unfolds. This methodology consists of case in emergency situations, where the spread of a false rumour three main steps: (i) collection of (source) tweets posted during can have dangerous consequences. For instance, in a an emergency situation, sampling in such a way that situation where a hurricane is hitting a region, or a terrorist it is manageable for human assessment, while generating attack occurs in a city, access to accurate information is a good number of rumourous tweets from multiple stories, crucial for finding out how to stay safe and for maximising (ii) collection of conversations associated with each of the citizens' wellbeing. This is even more important in cases source tweets, which includes a set of replies discussing the where users tend to pass on false information more often source tweet, and (iii) collection of human annotations on than real facts, as occurred with Hurricane Sandy in 2012 the tweets sampled. We provide a definition of a rumour (Zubiaga and Ji 2014). Hence, identifying rumours within a which informs the annotation process. Our definition draws social media stream can be of great help for the development on definitions from different sources, including dictionaries of tools that prevent the spread of inaccurate information.

Soil organic carbon (SOC) plays a major role in the global carbon budget. It can act as a source or a sink of atmospheric carbon, thereby possibly influencing the course of climate change. Improving the tools that model the spatial distributions of SOC stocks at national scales is a priority, both for monitoring changes in SOC and as an input for global carbon cycles studies. In this paper, we compare and evaluate two recent and promising modelling approaches. First, we considered several increasingly complex boosted regression trees (BRT), a convenient and efficient multiple regression model from the statistical learning field. Further, we considered a robust geostatistical approach coupled to the BRT models. Testing the different approaches was performed on the dataset from the French Soil Monitoring Network, with a consistent cross-validation procedure. We showed that when a limited number of predictors were included in the BRT model, the standalone BRT predictions were significantly improved by robust geostatistical modelling of the residuals. However, when data for several SOC drivers were included, the standalone BRT model predictions were not significantly improved by geostatistical modelling. Therefore, in this latter situation, the BRT predictions might be considered adequate without the need for geostatistical modelling, provided that i) care is exercised in model fitting and validating, and ii) the dataset does not allow for modelling of local spatial autocorrelations, as is the case for many national systematic sampling schemes.

Event detection has been one of the most important research topics in social media analysis. Most of the traditional approaches detect events based on fixed temporal and spatial resolutions, while in reality events of different scales usually occur simultaneously, namely, they span different intervals in time and space. In this paper, we propose a novel approach towards multiscale event detection using social media data, which takes into account different temporal and spatial scales of events in the data. Specifically, we explore the properties of the wavelet transform, which is a well-developed multiscale transform in signal processing, to enable automatic handling of the interaction between temporal and spatial scales. We then propose a novel algorithm to compute a data similarity graph at appropriate scales and detect events of different scales simultaneously by a single graph-based clustering process. Furthermore, we present spatiotemporal statistical analysis of the noisy information present in the data stream, which allows us to define a novel term-filtering procedure for the proposed event detection algorithm and helps us study its behavior using simulated noisy data. Experimental results on both synthetically generated data and real world data collected from Twitter demonstrate the meaningfulness and effectiveness of the proposed approach. Our framework further extends to numerous application domains that involve multiscale and multiresolution data analysis.

Those of us involved In the creation of the Handbook of Artificial Intelligence, both writers and editors, have attempted to make the concepts, methods, tools, and main results of artificial Intelligence research accessible to a broad scientific and engineering audience. Currently, Al work Is familiar mainly to its practicing specialists and other interested computer scientists. Yet the field Is of growing interdisciplinary interest and practical Importance. With this book we are trying to build bridges that are easily crossed by engineers, scientists in other fields, and our own computer science colleagues. In the Handbook we Intend to cover the breadth and depth of Al, presenting general overviews of the scientific issues, as well as detailed discussions of particular to -hniques and Important Al systems.

There is little doubt that the decision to use rules to encode infectious disease knowledge in the nascent MYCIN system was largely influenced by our experience using similar techniques in DENDRAL. However, as mentioned in Chapter 1, we did experiment with a semantic network representation before turning to the production rule model. The impressive published examples of Carbonell's SCHOLAR system (Carbonell, 1970a; 1970b), with its ability to carry on a mixed-initiative dialogue regarding the geography of South America, seemed to us a useful model of the kind of rich interactive environment that would be needed for a system to advise physicians. Our disenchantment with a pure semantic network representation of the domain knowledge arose for several reasons as we began to work with Cohen and Axline, our collaborating experts. First, the knowledge of infectious disease therapy selection was ill-structured and, we found, difficult to represent using labeled arcs between nodes. Unlike South American geography, our domain did not have a clear-cut hierarchical organization, and we found it challenging to transfer a page or two from a medical textbook into a network of sufficient richness for our purposes. Of particular importance was our need for a strong inferential mechanism that would allow our system to reason about complex relationships among diverse concepts; there was no precedent for inferences on a semantic net that went beyond the direct, labeled relationships between nodes.1 Perhaps the greatest problem with a network representation, and the greatest appeal of production rules, was our gradually recognized need to deal with small chunks of domain knowledge in interacting with our expert collaborators.

Item response theory (IRT) models for categorical response data are widely used in the analysis of educational data, computerized adaptive testing, and psychological surveys. However, most IRT models rely on both the assumption that categories are strictly ordered and the assumption that this ordering is known a priori. These assumptions are impractical in many real-world scenarios, such as multiple-choice exams where the levels of incorrectness for the distractor categories are often unknown. While a number of results exist on IRT models for unordered categorical data, they tend to have restrictive modeling assumptions that lead to poor data fitting performance in practice. Furthermore, existing unordered categorical models have parameters that are difficult to interpret. In this work, we propose a novel methodology for unordered categorical IRT that we call SPRITE (short for stochastic polytomous response item model) that: (i) analyzes both ordered and unordered categories, (ii) offers interpretable outputs, and (iii) provides improved data fitting compared to existing models. We compare SPRITE to existing item response models and demonstrate its efficacy on both synthetic and real-world educational datasets.

Coherent reasoning under uncertainty can be represented in a very general manner by coherent sets of desirable gambles. In a context that does not allow for indecision, this leads to an approach that is mathematically equivalent to working with coherent conditional probabilities. If we do allow for indecision, this leads to a more general foundation for coherent (imprecise-)probabilistic inference. In this framework, and for a given finite category set, coherent predictive inference under exchangeability can be represented using Bernstein coherent cones of multivariate polynomials on the simplex generated by this category set. This is a powerful generalisation of de Finetti's Representation Theorem allowing for both imprecision and indecision. We define an inference system as a map that associates a Bernstein coherent cone of polynomials with every finite category set. Many inference principles encountered in the literature can then be interpreted, and represented mathematically, as restrictions on such maps. We discuss, as particular examples, two important inference principles: representation insensitivitya strengthened version of Walley's representation invarianceand specificity. We show that there is an infinity of inference systems that satisfy these two principles, amongst which we discuss in particular the skeptically cautious inference system, the inference systems corresponding to (a modified version of) Walley and Bernard's Imprecise Dirichlet Multinomial Models (IDMM), the skeptical IDMM inference systems, and the Haldane inference system. We also prove that the latter produces the same posterior inferences as would be obtained using Haldane's improper prior, implying that there is an infinity of proper priors that produce the same coherent posterior inferences as Haldane's improper one. Finally, we impose an additional inference principle that allows us to characterise uniquely the immediate predictions for the IDMM inference systems.

While topic models can discover patterns of word usage in large corpora, it is difficult to meld this unsupervised structure with noisy, human-provided labels, especially when the label space is large. In this paper, we present a model-Label to Hierarchy (L2H)-that can induce a hierarchy of user-generated labels and the topics associated with those labels from a set of multi-labeled documents. The model is robust enough to account for missing labels from untrained, disparate annotators and provide an interpretable summary of an otherwise unwieldy label set. We show empirically the effectiveness of L2H in predicting held-out words and labels for unseen documents.

Distributed machine learning has typically been approached from a data parallel perspective, where big data are partitioned to multiple workers and an algorithm is executed concurrently over different data subsets under various synchronization schemes to ensure speed-up and/or correctness. A sibling problem that has received relatively less attention is how to ensure efficient and correct model parallel execution of ML algorithms, where parameters of an ML program are partitioned to different workers and undergone concurrent iterative updates. We argue that model and data parallelisms impose rather different challenges for system design, algorithmic adjustment, and theoretical analysis. In this paper, we develop a system for model-parallelism, STRADS, that provides a programming abstraction for scheduling parameter updates by discovering and leveraging changing structural properties of ML programs. STRADS enables a flexible tradeoff between scheduling efficiency and fidelity to intrinsic dependencies within the models, and improves memory efficiency of distributed ML. We demonstrate the efficacy of model-parallel algorithms implemented on STRADS versus popular implementations for topic modeling, matrix factorization, and Lasso.