South America
Transport Gaussian Processes for Regression
Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are governed by interpretable hyperparameters. However, GP models rely on Gaussianity, an assumption that does not hold in several real-world scenarios, e.g., when observations are bounded or have extreme-value dependencies, a natural phenomenon in physics, finance and social sciences. Although beyond-Gaussian stochastic processes have caught the attention of the GP community, a principled definition and rigorous treatment is still lacking. In this regard, we propose a methodology to construct stochastic processes, which include GPs, warped GPs, Student-t processes and several others under a single unified approach. We also provide formulas and algorithms for training and inference of the proposed models in the regression problem. Our approach is inspired by layers-based models, where each proposed layer changes a specific property over the generated stochastic process. That, in turn, allows us to push-forward a standard Gaussian white noise prior towards other more expressive stochastic processes, for which marginals and copulas need not be Gaussian, while retaining the appealing properties of GPs. We validate the proposed model through experiments with real-world data.
Quaternion-Valued Recurrent Projection Neural Networks on Unit Quaternions
Valle, Marcos Eduardo, Lobo, Rodolfo Anibal
Hypercomplex-valued neural networks, including quaternion-valued neural networks, can treat multidimensional data as a single entity. In this paper, we present the quaternion-valued recurrent projection neural networks (QRPNNs). Briefly, QRPNNs are obtained by combining the non-local projection learning with the quaternion-valued recurrent correlation neural network (QRCNNs). We show that QRPNNs overcome the crosstalk problem of QRCNNs. Thus, they are appropriate to implement associative memories. Furthermore, computational experiments reveal that QRPNNs exhibit greater storage capacity and noise tolerance than their corresponding QRCNNs. Introduction The Hopfield neural network, developed in the early 1980s, is an important and widely-known recurrent neural network which can be used to implement associative memories [1, 2]. Successful applications of the Hopfield network include control [3, 4], computer vision and image processing [5, 6], classification [7, 8], and optimization [2, 9, 10]. Despite its many successful applications, the Hopfield network may suffer from a very low storage capacity when used to implement associative memories. Precisely, due to crosstalk between the stored items, the Hebbian learning adopted by Hopfield in his original work allows for the storage of approximately n/(2 ln n) items, where n denotes the length of the stored vectors [11]. For example, Personnaz et al. [12] as well as Kanter and Sompolinsky [13] proposed the projection rule to determine the synaptic weights of the Hopfield networks. The projection rule increases the storage capacity of the Hopfield network to n 1 items. Another simple but effective improvement on the storage capacity of the original Hopfield networks was achieved by Chiueh and Goodman's recurrent correlation neural networks (RCNNs) [14, 15]. Briefly, an RCNN is obtained by decomposing the Hopfield network with Hebbian learning into a two layer recurrent neural network.
Learning the Hypotheses Space from data Part II: Convergence and Feasibility
Marcondes, Diego, Simonis, Adilson, Barrera, Junior
In part \textit{I} we proposed a structure for a general Hypotheses Space $\mathcal{H}$, the Learning Space $\mathbb{L}(\mathcal{H})$, which can be employed to avoid \textit{overfitting} when estimating in a complex space with relative shortage of examples. Also, we presented the U-curve property, which can be taken advantage of in order to select a Hypotheses Space without exhaustively searching $\mathbb{L}(\mathcal{H})$. In this paper, we carry further our agenda, by showing the consistency of a model selection framework based on Learning Spaces, in which one selects from data the Hypotheses Space on which to learn. The method developed in this paper adds to the state-of-the-art in model selection, by extending Vapnik-Chervonenkis Theory to \textit{random} Hypotheses Spaces, i.e., Hypotheses Spaces learned from data. In this framework, one estimates a random subspace $\hat{\mathcal{M}} \in \mathbb{L}(\mathcal{H})$ which converges with probability one to a target Hypotheses Space $\mathcal{M}^{\star} \in \mathbb{L}(\mathcal{H})$ with desired properties. As the convergence implies asymptotic unbiased estimators, we have a consistent framework for model selection, showing that it is feasible to learn the Hypotheses Space from data. Furthermore, we show that the generalization errors of learning on $\hat{\mathcal{M}}$ are lesser than those we commit when learning on $\mathcal{H}$, so it is more efficient to learn on a subspace learned from data.
Analysing Affective Behavior in the First ABAW 2020 Competition
Kollias, Dimitrios, Schulc, Attila, Hajiyev, Elnar, Zafeiriou, Stefanos
Analysing Affective Behavior in the First ABA W 2020 Competition Dimitrios Kollias 1, Attila Schulc 2, Elnar Hajiyev 2 and Stefanos Zafeiriou 1 1 Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK 2 Realeyes - Emotional Intelligence Abstract -- The Affective Behavior Analysis in-the- wild (ABA W) 2020 Competition is the first Competition aiming at automatic analysis of the three main behavior tasks of valence-arousal estimation, basic expression recognition and action unit detection. It is split into three Challenges, each one addressing a respective behavior task. For the Challenges, we provide a common benchmark database, Aff-Wild2, which is a large scale in-the-wild database and the first one annotated for all these three tasks. In this paper, we describe this Competition, to be held in conjunction with the IEEE Conference on Face and Gesture Recognition, May 2020, in Buenos Aires, Argentina. We present the three Challenges, with the utilized Competition corpora. We outline the evaluation metrics and present the baseline methodologies and the obtained results when these are applied to each Challenge.
TCMI: a non-parametric mutual-dependence estimator for multivariate continuous distributions
Regler, Benjamin, Scheffler, Matthias, Ghiringhelli, Luca M.
The identification of relevant features, i.e., the driving variables that determine a process or the property of a system, is an essential part of the analysis of data sets whose entries are described by a large number of variables. The preferred measure for quantifying the relevance of nonlinear statistical dependencies is mutual information, which requires as input probability distributions. Probability distributions cannot be reliably sampled and estimated from limited data, especially for real-valued data samples such as lengths or energies. Here, we introduce total cumulative mutual information (TCMI), a measure of the relevance of mutual dependencies based on cumulative probability distributions. TCMI can be estimated directly from sample data and is a non-parametric, robust and deterministic measure that facilitates comparisons and rankings between feature sets with different cardinality. The ranking induced by TCMI allows for feature selection, i.e., the identification of the set of relevant features that are statistical related to the process or the property of a system, while taking into account the number of data samples as well as the cardinality of the feature subsets. We evaluate the performance of our measure with simulated data, compare its performance with similar multivariate dependence measures, and demonstrate the effectiveness of our feature selection method on a set of standard data sets and a typical scenario in materials science.
Fase-AL -- Adaptation of Fast Adaptive Stacking of Ensembles for Supporting Active Learning
Ortiz-Dรญaz, Agustรญn Alejandro, Baldo, Fabiano, Mariรฑo, Laura Marรญa Palomino, Cabrera, Alberto Verdecia
Classification algorithms to mine data stream have been extensively studied in recent years. However, a lot of these algorithms are designed for supervised learning which requires labeled instances. Nevertheless, the labeling of the data is costly and time-consuming. Because of this, alternative learning paradigms have been proposed to reduce the cost of the labeling process without significant loss of model performance. Active learning is one of these paradigms, whose main objective is to build classification models that request the lowest possible number of labeled examples achieving adequate levels of accuracy. Therefore, this work presents the FASE-AL algorithm which induces classification models with non-labeled instances using Active Learning. FASE-AL is based on the algorithm Fast Adaptive Stacking of Ensembles (FASE). FASE is an ensemble algorithm that detects and adapts the model when the input data stream has concept drift. FASE-AL was compared with four different strategies of active learning found in the literature. Real and synthetic databases were used in the experiments. The algorithm achieves promising results in terms of the percentage of correctly classified instances.
STRIPS Action Discovery
Suรกrez-Hernรกndez, Alejandro, Segovia-Aguas, Javier, Torras, Carme, Alenyร , Guillem
The problem of specifying high-level knowledge bases for planning becomes a hard task in realistic environments. This knowledge is usually handcrafted and is hard to keep updated, even for system experts. Recent approaches have shown the success of classical planning at synthesizing action models even when all intermediate states are missing. These approaches can synthesize action schemas in Planning Domain Definition Language (PDDL) from a set of execution traces each consisting, at least, of an initial and final state. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to unsupervisedly synthesize STRIPS action models with a classical planner when action signatures are unknown. In addition, we contribute with a compilation to classical planning that mitigates the problem of learning static predicates in the action model preconditions, exploits the capabilities of SAT planners with parallel encodings to compute action schemas and validate all instances. Our system is flexible in that it supports the inclusion of partial input information that may speed up the search. We show through several experiments how learned action models generalize over unseen planning instances.
Scalable Psychological Momentum Forecasting in Esports
White, Alfonso, Romano, Daniela M.
The world of competitive Esports and video gaming has seen and continues to experience steady growth in popularity and complexity. Correspondingly, more research on the topic is being published, ranging from social network analyses to the benchmarking of advanced artificial intelligence systems in playing against humans. In this paper, we present ongoing work on an intelligent agent recommendation engine that suggests actions to players in order to maximise success and enjoyment, both in the space of in-game choices, as well as decisions made around play session timing in the broader context. By leveraging temporal data and appropriate models, we show that a learned representation of player psychological momentum, and of tilt, can be used, in combination with player expertise, to achieve state-of-the-art performance in pre- and post-draft win prediction. Our progress toward fulfilling the potential for deriving optimal recommendations is documented.
Global Artificial Intelligence Platforms Market 2019-2023 28% CAGR Projection Over the Next Five Years Technavio
The artificial intelligence platforms market size is poised to grow by USD 6.95 billion during the period 2019-2023, according to the latest market research report by Technavio. This press release features multimedia. Technavio has announced its latest market research report titled global artificial intelligence platforms market 2019-2023. Governments across the world are increasingly promoting AI technology through investments in R&D and by developing education programs to train the workforce with AI skills, which can support businesses across industries. Retail, BFSI, and manufacturing are a few of the major industries that are increasing their investments in AI to automate business functions.
GPT-2 and the Nature of Intelligence
OpenAI's GPT-2 has been discussed everywhere from The New Yorker to The Economist. What does it really tell us about natural and artificial intelligence? The Economist: Which technologies are worth watching in 2020? GPT-2: I would say it is hard to narrow down the list. The world is full of disruptive technologies with real and potentially huge global impacts. The most important is artificial intelligence, which is becoming exponentially more powerful. Consider two classic hypotheses about the development of language and cognition. One main line of Western intellectual thought, often called nativism, goes back to Plato and Kant; in recent memory it has been developed by Noam Chomsky, Steven Pinker, Elizabeth Spelke, and others (including myself).