South America
Stress Test Evaluation of Transformer-based Models in Natural Language Understanding Tasks
Aspillaga, Carlos, Carvallo, Andrés, Araujo, Vladimir
There has been significant progress in recent years in the field of Natural Language Processing thanks to the introduction of the Transformer architecture. Current state-of-the-art models, via a large number of parameters and pre-training on massive text corpus, have shown impressive results on several downstream tasks. Many researchers have studied previous (non-transformer) models to understand their actual behavior under different scenarios, showing that these models are taking advantage of clues or failures of datasets and that slight perturbations on the input data can severely reduce their performance. In contrast, recent models have not been systematically tested with adversarial-examples in order to show their robustness under severe stress conditions. For that reason, this work evaluates three transformer-based models (RoBERTa, XLNet, and BERT) in Natural Language Inference (NLI) and Question Answering (QA) tasks to know if they are more robust or if they have the same flaws as their predecessors. As a result, our experiments reveal that RoBERTa, XLNet and BERT are more robust than recurrent neural network models to stress tests for both NLI and QA tasks. Nevertheless, they are still very fragile and demonstrate various unexpected behaviors, thus revealing that there is still room for future improvement in this field.
DeepPlume: Very High Resolution Real-Time Air Quality Mapping
Jauvion, Grégoire, Cassard, Thibaut, Quennehen, Boris, Lissmyr, David
This paper presents an engine able to predict jointly the real-time concentration of the main pollutants harming people's health: nitrogen dioxyde (NO2), ozone (O3) and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10, which are respectively the particles whose size are below 2.5 um and 10 um). The engine covers a large part of the world and is fed with real-time official stations measures, atmospheric models' forecasts, land cover data, road networks and traffic estimates to produce predictions with a very high resolution in the range of a few dozens of meters. This resolution makes the engine adapted to very innovative applications like street-level air quality mapping or air quality adjusted routing. Plume Labs has deployed a similar prediction engine to build several products aiming at providing air quality data to individuals and businesses. For the sake of clarity and reproducibility, the engine presented here has been built specifically for this paper and differs quite significantly from the one used in Plume Labs' products. A major difference is in the data sources feeding the engine: in particular, this prediction engine does not include mobile sensors measurements.
Robust Policies For Proactive ICU Transfers
Grand-Clement, Julien, Chan, Carri W., Goyal, Vineet, Escobar, Gabriel
Patients whose transfer to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is unplanned are prone to higher mortality rates than those who were admitted directly to the ICU. Recent advances in machine learning to predict patient deterioration have introduced the possibility of \emph{proactive transfer} from the ward to the ICU. In this work, we study the problem of finding \emph{robust} patient transfer policies which account for uncertainty in statistical estimates due to data limitations when optimizing to improve overall patient care. We propose a Markov Decision Process model to capture the evolution of patient health, where the states represent a measure of patient severity. Under fairly general assumptions, we show that an optimal transfer policy has a threshold structure, i.e., that it transfers all patients above a certain severity level to the ICU (subject to available capacity). As model parameters are typically determined based on statistical estimations from real-world data, they are inherently subject to misspecification and estimation errors. We account for this parameter uncertainty by deriving a robust policy that optimizes the worst-case reward across all plausible values of the model parameters. We show that the robust policy also has a threshold structure under fairly general assumptions. Moreover, it is more aggressive in transferring patients than the optimal nominal policy, which does not take into account parameter uncertainty. We present computational experiments using a dataset of hospitalizations at 21 KNPC hospitals, and present empirical evidence of the sensitivity of various hospital metrics (mortality, length-of-stay, average ICU occupancy) to small changes in the parameters. Our work provides useful insights into the impact of parameter uncertainty on deriving simple policies for proactive ICU transfer that have strong empirical performance and theoretical guarantees.
Electricity Theft Detection with self-attention
Finardi, Paulo, Campiotti, Israel, Plensack, Gustavo, de Souza, Rafael Derradi, Nogueira, Rodrigo, Pinheiro, Gustavo, Lotufo, Roberto
In this work we propose a novel self-attention mechanism model to address electricity theft detection on an imbalanced realistic dataset that presents a daily electricity consumption provided by State Grid Corporation of China. Our key contribution is the introduction of a multi-head self-attention mechanism concatenated with dilated convolutions and unified by a convolution of kernel size $1$. Moreover, we introduce a binary input channel (Binary Mask) to identify the position of the missing values, allowing the network to learn how to deal with these values. Our model achieves an AUC of $0.926$ which is an improvement in more than $17\%$ with respect to previous baseline work. The code is available on GitHub at https://github.com/neuralmind-ai/electricity-theft-detection-with-self-attention.
Semantic Relatedness and Taxonomic Word Embeddings
Kacmajor, Magdalena, Kelleher, John D., Klubicka, Filip, Maldonado, Alfredo
This paper 1 connects a series of papers dealing with taxonomic word embeddings. It begins by noting that there are different types of semantic relatedness and that different lexical representations encode different forms of relatedness. A particularly important distinction within semantic relatedness is that of thematic versus taxonomic relatedness. Next, we present a number of experiments that analyse taxonomic embeddings that have been trained on a synthetic corpus that has been generated via a random walk over a taxonomy. These experiments demonstrate how the properties of the synthetic corpus, such as the percentage of rare words, are affected by the shape of the knowledge graph the corpus is generated from. Finally, we explore the interactions between the relative sizes of natural and synthetic corpora on the performance of embeddings when taxonomic and thematic embeddings are combined.
Traffic Modelling and Prediction via Symbolic Regression on Road Sensor Data
Patelli, Alina, Lush, Victoria, Ekart, Aniko, Ilie-Zudor, Elisabeth
The continuous expansion of the urban traffic sensing infrastructure has led to a surge in the volume of widely available road related data. Consequently, increasing effort is being dedicated to the creation of intelligent transportation systems, where decisions on issues ranging from city-wide road maintenance planning to improving the commuting experience are informed by computational models of urban traffic instead of being left entirely to humans. The automation of traffic management has received substantial attention from the research community, however, most approaches target highways, produce predictions valid for a limited time window or require expensive retraining of available models in order to accurately forecast traffic at a new location. In this article, we propose a novel and accurate traffic flow prediction method based on symbolic regression enhanced with a lag operator. Our approach produces robust models suitable for the intricacies of urban roads, much more difficult to predict than highways. Additionally, there is no need to retrain the model for a period of up to 9 weeks. Furthermore, the proposed method generates models that are transferable to other segments of the road network, similar to, yet geographically distinct from the ones they were initially trained on. We demonstrate the achievement of these claims by conducting extensive experiments on data collected from the Darmstadt urban infrastructure.
Satisfiability and Query Answering in Description Logics with Global and Local Cardinality Constraints
Baader, Franz, Bednarczyk, Bartosz, Rudolph, Sebastian
We introduce and investigate the expressive description logic (DL) ALCSCC++, in which the global and local cardinality constraints introduced in previous papers can be mixed. On the one hand, we prove that this does not increase the complexity of satisfiability checking and other standard inference problems. On the other hand, the satisfiability problem becomes undecidable if inverse roles are added to the languages. In addition, even without inverse roles, conjunctive query entailment in this DL turns out to be undecidable. We prove that decidability of querying can be regained if global and local constraints are not mixed and the global constraints are appropriately restricted. The latter result is based on a locally-acyclic model construction, and it reduces query entailment to ABox consistency in the restricted setting, i.e., to ABox consistency w.r.t. restricted cardinality constraints in ALCSCC, for which we can show an ExpTime upper bound.
A comparison of different types of Niching Genetic Algorithms for variable selection in solar radiation estimation
Bustos, Jorge, Jimenez, Victor A., Will, Adrian
Variable selection problems generally present more than a single solution and, sometimes, it is worth to find as many solutions as possible. The use of Evolutionary Algorithms applied to this kind of problem proves to be one of the best methods to find optimal solutions. Moreover, there are variants designed to find all or almost all local optima, known as Niching Genetic Algorithms (NGA). There are several different NGA methods developed in order to achieve this task. The present work compares the behavior of eight different niching techniques, applied to a climatic database of four weather stations distributed in Tucuman, Argentina. The goal is to find different sets of input variables that have been used as the input variable by the estimation method. Final results were evaluated based on low estimation error and low dispersion error, as well as a high number of different results and low computational time. A second experiment was carried out to study the capability of the method to identify critical variables. The best results were obtained with Deterministic Crowding. In contrast, Steady State Worst Among Most Similar and Probabilistic Crowding showed good results but longer processing times and less ability to determine the critical factors.
Why Clearview AI is a threat to us all
Clearview AI was founded in 2017 by Richard Schwartz and now-CEO Hoan Ton-That. The company counts Peter Thiel and AngelList founder Naval Ravikant among its investors. Clearview's technology is actually quite simple: Its facial recognition algorithm compares the image of a person's face from security camera footage to an existing database of potential matches. Marketed primarily to law enforcement agencies, the Clearview app allows users to take and upload a picture of a person then view all of the public images of that person as well as links to where those photos were published. Basically, if you're caught on camera anywhere in public, local law enforcement can use that image to mine your entire online presence for information about you, effectively ending any semblance of personal privacy.
Limitations of weak labels for embedding and tagging
Turpault, Nicolas, Serizel, Romain, Vincent, Emmanuel
While many datasets and approaches in ambient sound analysis use weakly labeled data, the impact of weak labels on the performance in comparison to strong labels remains unclear. Indeed, weakly labeled data is usually used because it is too expensive to annotate every data with a strong label and for some use cases strong labels are not sure to give better results. Moreover, weak labels are usually mixed with various other challenges like multilabels, unbalanced classes, overlapping events. In this paper, we formulate a supervised problem which involves weak labels. We create a dataset that focuses on difference between strong and weak labels. We investigate the impact of weak labels when training an embedding or an end-to-end classi-fier. Different experimental scenarios are discussed to give insights into which type of applications are most sensitive to weakly labeled data.