A guest post by Rodrigo Carrasco-Davis & The ALeRCE Collaboration, Millennium Institute of Astrophysics, Chile IntroductionAstronomy is the study of celestial objects, such as stars, galaxies or black holes. Studying celestial objects is a bit like having a natural physics laboratory - where the most extreme processes in nature occur - and most of them cannot be reproduced here on Earth.

Robustness and evolvability are essential properties to the evolution of biological networks. To determine if a biological network is robust and/or evolvable, it is required to compare its functions before and after mutations. However, this sometimes takes a high computational cost as the network size grows. Here we develop a predictive method to estimate the robustness and evolvability of biological networks without an explicit comparison of functions. We measure antifragility in Boolean network models of biological systems and use this as the predictor. Antifragility occurs when a system benefits from external perturbations. By means of the differences of antifragility between the original and mutated biological networks, we train a convolutional neural network (CNN) and test it to classify the properties of robustness and evolvability. We found that our CNN model successfully classified the properties. Thus, we conclude that our antifragility measure can be used as a predictor of the robustness and evolvability of biological networks.

Every nine minutes a person is diagnosed with Parkinson's Disease (PD) in the United States. However, studies have shown that between 25 and 80\% of individuals with Parkinson's Disease (PD) remain undiagnosed. An online, in the wild audio recording application has the potential to help screen for the disease if risk can be accurately assessed. In this paper, we collect data from 726 unique subjects (262 PD and 464 Non-PD) uttering the "quick brown fox jumps over the lazy dog ...." to conduct automated PD assessment. We extracted both standard acoustic features and deep learning based embedding features from the speech data and trained several machine learning algorithms on them. Our models achieved 0.75 AUC by modeling the standard acoustic features through the XGBoost model. We also provide explanation behind our model's decision and show that it is focusing mostly on the widely used MFCC features and a subset of dysphonia features previously used for detecting PD from verbal phonation task.

So far it is not precisely known, how much water a continent really stores. The continental water masses are also constantly changing, thus affecting the Earth's rotation and acting as a link in the water cycle between atmosphere and ocean. Amazon tributaries in Peru, for example, carry huge amounts of water in some years, but only a fraction of it in others. In addition to the water masses of rivers and other bodies of fresh water, considerable amounts of water are also found in soil, snow and underground reservoirs, which are difficult to quantify directly. Now the research team around primary author Christopher Irrgang developed a new method in order to draw conclusions on the stored water quantities of the South American continent from the coarsely-resolved satellite data.

As a field of AI, Machine Reasoning (MR) uses largely symbolic means to formalize and emulate abstract reasoning. Studies in early MR have notably started inquiries into Explainable AI (XAI) -- arguably one of the biggest concerns today for the AI community. Work on explainable MR as well as on MR approaches to explainability in other areas of AI has continued ever since. It is especially potent in modern MR branches, such as argumentation, constraint and logic programming, planning. We hereby aim to provide a selective overview of MR explainability techniques and studies in hopes that insights from this long track of research will complement well the current XAI landscape. This document reports our work in-progress on MR explainability.

We propose a method for combining probabilistic outputs of classifiers to make a single consensus class prediction when no further information about the individual classifiers is available, beyond that they have been trained for the same task. The lack of relevant prior information rules out typical applications of Bayesian or Dempster-Shafer methods, and the default approach here would be methods based on the principle of indifference, such as the sum or product rule, which essentially weight all classifiers equally. In contrast, our approach considers the diversity between the outputs of the various classifiers, iteratively updating predictions based on their correspondence with other predictions until the predictions converge to a consensus decision. The intuition behind this approach is that classifiers trained for the same task should typically exhibit regularities in their outputs on a new task; the predictions of classifiers which differ significantly from those of others are thus given less credence using our approach. The approach implicitly assumes a symmetric loss function, in that the relative cost of various prediction errors are not taken into account. Performance of the model is demonstrated on different benchmark datasets. Our proposed method works well in situations where accuracy is the performance metric; however, it does not output calibrated probabilities, so it is not suitable in situations where such probabilities are required for further processing.

Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) aims to train a reliable model with the streaming data, which emerges unknown classes sequentially. Different from traditional closed set learning, CIL has two main challenges: 1) Novel class detection. The initial training data only contains incomplete classes, and streaming test data will accept unknown classes. Therefore, the model needs to not only accurately classify known classes, but also effectively detect unknown classes; 2) Model expansion. After the novel classes are detected, the model needs to be updated without re-training using entire previous data. However, traditional CIL methods have not fully considered these two challenges, first, they are always restricted to single novel class detection each phase and embedding confusion caused by unknown classes. Besides, they also ignore the catastrophic forgetting of known categories in model update. To this end, we propose a Class-Incremental Learning without Forgetting (CILF) framework, which aims to learn adaptive embedding for processing novel class detection and model update in a unified framework. In detail, CILF designs to regularize classification with decoupled prototype based loss, which can improve the intra-class and inter-class structure significantly, and acquire a compact embedding representation for novel class detection in result. Then, CILF employs a learnable curriculum clustering operator to estimate the number of semantic clusters via fine-tuning the learned network, in which curriculum operator can adaptively learn the embedding in self-taught form. Therefore, CILF can detect multiple novel classes and mitigate the embedding confusion problem. Last, with the labeled streaming test data, CILF can update the network with robust regularization to mitigate the catastrophic forgetting. Consequently, CILF is able to iteratively perform novel class detection and model update.

This week we speak to Christian Kroll, the founder and chief executive of internet search engine Ecosia. Christian Kroll wants nothing less than to change the world. "I want to make the world a greener, better place," he says. "I also want to prove that there is a more ethical alternative to the kind of greedy capitalism that is coming close to destroying the planet." The 35-year-old German is the boss of search engine Ecosia, which has an unusual but very environmentally friendly business model - it gives away most of its profits to enable trees to be planted around the world. Founded by Christian in 2009, Ecosia makes its money in the same way as Google - from advertising revenues.

Global spending on AI is forecast to double over the next four years, growing from $50.1 billion in 2020 to more than $110 billion in 2024. According to IDC, spending on AI systems will accelerate over the next several years as organizations deploy artificial intelligence as part of their digital transformation efforts and to remain competitive in the digital economy. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the 2019-2024 period will be 20.1%. "Companies will adopt AI -- not just because they can, but because they must," said Ritu Jyoti, Program VP, Artificial Intelligence at IDC. "AI is the technology that will help businesses to be agile, innovate, and scale. The companies that become'AI powered' will have the ability to synthesize information (using AI to convert data into information and then into knowledge), the capacity to learn (using AI to understand relationships between knowledge and apply the learning to business problems), and the capability to deliver insights at scale (using AI to support decisions and automation)."

Active learning (AL) attempts to maximize the performance gain of the model by marking the fewest samples. Deep learning (DL) is greedy for data and requires a large amount of data supply to optimize massive parameters, so that the model learns how to extract high-quality features. In recent years, due to the rapid development of internet technology, we are in an era of information torrents and we have massive amounts of data. In this way, DL has aroused strong interest of researchers and has been rapidly developed. Compared with DL, researchers have relatively low interest in AL. This is mainly because before the rise of DL, traditional machine learning requires relatively few labeled samples. Therefore, early AL is difficult to reflect the value it deserves. Although DL has made breakthroughs in various fields, most of this success is due to the publicity of the large number of existing annotation datasets. However, the acquisition of a large number of high-quality annotated datasets consumes a lot of manpower, which is not allowed in some fields that require high expertise, especially in the fields of speech recognition, information extraction, medical images, etc. Therefore, AL has gradually received due attention. A natural idea is whether AL can be used to reduce the cost of sample annotations, while retaining the powerful learning capabilities of DL. Therefore, deep active learning (DAL) has emerged. Although the related research has been quite abundant, it lacks a comprehensive survey of DAL. This article is to fill this gap, we provide a formal classification method for the existing work, and a comprehensive and systematic overview. In addition, we also analyzed and summarized the development of DAL from the perspective of application. Finally, we discussed the confusion and problems in DAL, and gave some possible development directions for DAL.