Up-to-date poverty maps are an important tool for policy makers, but until now, have been prohibitively expensive to produce. We propose a generalizable prediction methodology to produce poverty maps at the village level using geospatial data and machine learning algorithms. We tested the proposed method for 25 Sub-Saharan African countries and validated them against survey data. The proposed method can increase the validity of both single country and cross-country estimations leading to higher precision in poverty maps of 44 Sub-Saharan African countries than previously available. More importantly, our cross-country estimation enables the creation of poverty maps when it is not practical or cost-effective to field new national household surveys, as is the case with many low- and middle-income countries.

Evaluation efforts such as TREC, CLEF, NTCIR and FIRE, alongside public leaderboard such as MS MARCO, are intended to encourage research and track our progress, addressing big questions in our field. However, the goal is not simply to identify which run is "best", achieving the top score. The goal is to move the field forward by developing new robust techniques, that work in many different settings, and are adopted in research and practice. This paper uses the MS MARCO and TREC Deep Learning Track as our case study, comparing it to the case of TREC ad hoc ranking in the 1990s. We show how the design of the evaluation effort can encourage or discourage certain outcomes, and raising questions about internal and external validity of results. We provide some analysis of certain pitfalls, and a statement of best practices for avoiding such pitfalls. We summarize the progress of the effort so far, and describe our desired end state of "robust usefulness", along with steps that might be required to get us there.

Many research papers that propose models to predict the course of the COVID-19 pandemic either use handcrafted statistical models or large neural networks. Even though large neural networks are more powerful than simpler statistical models, they are especially hard to train on small datasets. This paper not only presents a model with grater flexibility than the other proposed neural networks, but also presents a model that is effective on smaller datasets. To improve performance on small data, six regularisation methods were tested. The results show that the GRU combined with 20% Dropout achieved the lowest RMSE scores. The main finding was that models with less access to data relied more on the regulariser. Applying Dropout to a GRU model trained on only 28 days of data reduced the RMSE by 23%.

One recent afternoon, Tina Seeger and Diana Trujillo were showing off a few snaps from their latest trip. "I have a soft spot for rover selfies," Seeger, a twenty-seven-year-old NASA geologist, said. She was screen-sharing a shot of the Perseverance rover posing at the Jezero Crater on Mars, taken April 6th. Jezero (rhymes with "hetero") is just north of the Martian equator. "It's really special, because it used to have this ancient lake environment with rivers flowing into a delta," Seeger, who has wavy hair and was seated outside a coffee shop in Bellingham, Washington, said.

Hawkes Processes have undergone increasing popularity as default tools for modeling self- and mutually exciting interactions of discrete events in continuous-time event streams. A Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) unconstrained optimization procedure over parametrically assumed forms of the triggering kernels of the corresponding intensity function are a widespread cost-effective modeling strategy, particularly suitable for data with few and/or short sequences. However, the MLE optimization lacks guarantees, except for strong assumptions on the parameters of the triggering kernels, and may lead to instability of the resulting parameters .In the present work, we show how a simple stabilization procedure improves the performance of the MLE optimization without these overly restrictive assumptions.This stabilized version of the MLE is shown to outperform traditional methods over sequences of several different lengths.

Reasoning in a temporal knowledge graph (TKG) is a critical task for information retrieval and semantic search. It is particularly challenging when the TKG is updated frequently. The model has to adapt to changes in the TKG for efficient training and inference while preserving its performance on historical knowledge. Recent work approaches TKG completion (TKGC) by augmenting the encoder-decoder framework with a time-aware encoding function. However, naively fine-tuning the model at every time step using these methods does not address the problems of 1) catastrophic forgetting, 2) the model's inability to identify the change of facts (e.g., the change of the political affiliation and end of a marriage), and 3) the lack of training efficiency. To address these challenges, we present the Time-aware Incremental Embedding (TIE) framework, which combines TKG representation learning, experience replay, and temporal regularization. We introduce a set of metrics that characterizes the intransigence of the model and propose a constraint that associates the deleted facts with negative labels. Experimental results on Wikidata12k and YAGO11k datasets demonstrate that the proposed TIE framework reduces training time by about ten times and improves on the proposed metrics compared to vanilla full-batch training. It comes without a significant loss in performance for any traditional measures. Extensive ablation studies reveal performance trade-offs among different evaluation metrics, which is essential for decision-making around real-world TKG applications.

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Microorganisms play a vital role in human life. Therefore, microorganism detection is of great significance to human beings. However, the traditional manual microscopic detection methods have the disadvantages of long detection cycle, low detection accuracy in large orders, and great difficulty in detecting uncommon microorganisms. Therefore, it is meaningful to apply computer image analysis technology to the field of microorganism detection. Computer image analysis can realize high-precision and high-efficiency detection of microorganisms. In this review, first,we analyse the existing microorganism detection methods in chronological order, from traditional image processing and traditional machine learning to deep learning methods. Then, we analyze and summarize these existing methods and introduce some potential methods, including visual transformers. In the end, the future development direction and challenges of microorganism detection are discussed. In general, we have summarized 137 related technical papers from 1985 to the present. This review will help researchers have a more comprehensive understanding of the development process, research status, and future trends in the field of microorganism detection and provide a reference for researchers in other fields.

This chapter outlines the relation between artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) algorithms and digital games. This relation is two-fold: on one hand, AI/ML researchers can generate large, in-the-wild datasets of human affective activity, player behaviour (i.e. actions within the game world), commercial behaviour, interaction with graphical user interface elements or messaging with other players, while games can utilise intelligent algorithms to automate testing of game levels, generate content, develop intelligent and responsive non-player characters (NPCs) or predict and respond player behaviour across a wide variety of player cultures. In this work, we discuss some of the most common and widely accepted uses of AI/ML in games and how intelligent systems can benefit from those, elaborating on estimating player experience based on expressivity and performance, and on generating proper and interesting content for a language learning game.

Data augmentation has recently seen increased interest in NLP due to more work in low-resource domains, new tasks, and the popularity of large-scale neural networks that require large amounts of training data. Despite this recent upsurge, this area is still relatively underexplored, perhaps due to the challenges posed by the discrete nature of language data. In this paper, we present a comprehensive and unifying survey of data augmentation for NLP by summarizing the literature in a structured manner. We first introduce and motivate data augmentation for NLP, and then discuss major methodologically representative approaches. Next, we highlight techniques that are used for popular NLP applications and tasks. We conclude by outlining current challenges and directions for future research. Overall, our paper aims to clarify the landscape of existing literature in data augmentation for NLP and motivate additional work in this area.