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AI May Predict the Next High-Risk Virus To Jump From Animals to Humans

#artificialintelligence

Most emerging infectious diseases of humans (like COVID-19) are zoonotic – caused by viruses originating from other animal species. Identifying high-risk viruses earlier can improve research and surveillance priorities. A study published in PLOS Biology on September 28th by Nardus Mollentze, Simon Babayan, and Daniel Streicker at University of Glasgow, United Kingdom suggests that machine learning (a type of artificial intelligence) using viral genomes may predict the likelihood that any animal-infecting virus will infect humans, given biologically relevant exposure. Identifying zoonotic diseases prior to emergence is a major challenge because only a small minority of the estimated 1.67 million animal viruses are able to infect humans. To develop machine learning models using viral genome sequences, the researchers first compiled a dataset of 861 virus species from 36 families.


Belfast's prize-winning CattleEye to beef up its business at Web Summit

#artificialintelligence

AI-powered video analytics start-up CattleEye is in a field of its own having won the Irish leg of KPMG's Global Tech Innovator Competition. Belfast-based tech start-up CattleEye has won the top prize at KPMG's tech innovator competition, which saw entrants from all over Ireland. CattleEye uses AI-powered video analytics to keep an eye on cows. The start-up's CEO Terry Canning impressed the panel of judges, who also heard from eight other business people hoping to be crowned Ireland's top tech innovator. Canning's CattleEye will now progress to KPMG's Global Tech Innovator competition, which will be held at the Web Summit in Lisbon.


DICoE@FinSim-3: Financial Hypernym Detection using Augmented Terms and Distance-based Features

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present the submission of team DICoE for FinSim-3, the 3rd Shared Task on Learning Semantic Similarities for the Financial Domain. The task provides a set of terms in the financial domain and requires to classify them into the most relevant hypernym from a financial ontology. After augmenting the terms with their Investopedia definitions, our system employs a Logistic Regression classifier over financial word embeddings and a mix of hand-crafted and distance-based features. Also, for the first time in this task, we employ different replacement methods for out-of-vocabulary terms, leading to improved performance. Finally, we have also experimented with word representations generated from various financial corpora. Our best-performing submission ranked 4th on the task's leaderboard.


Emergence and algorithmic information dynamics of systems and observers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Previous work has shown that perturbation analysis in software space can produce candidate computable generative models and uncover possible causal properties from the finite description of an object or system quantifying the algorithmic contribution of each of its elements relative to the whole. One of the challenges for defining emergence is that one observer's prior knowledge may cause a phenomenon to present itself to such observer as emergent while for another as reducible. By formalising the act of observing as mutual perturbations between dynamical systems, we demonstrate that emergence of algorithmic information do depend on the observer's formal knowledge, while robust to other subjective factors, particularly: the choice of the programming language and the measurement method; errors or distortions during the information acquisition; and the informational cost of processing. This is called observer-dependent emergence (ODE). In addition, we demonstrate that the unbounded and fast increase of emergent algorithmic information implies asymptotically observer-independent emergence (AOIE). Unlike ODE, AOIE is a type of emergence for which emergent phenomena will remain considered to be emergent for every formal theory that any observer might devise. We demonstrate the existence of an evolutionary model that displays the diachronic variant of AOIE and a network model that displays the holistic variant of AOIE. Our results show that, restricted to the context of finite discrete deterministic dynamical systems, computable systems, and irreducible information content measures, AOIE is the strongest form of emergence that formal theories can attain.


CrossCLR: Cross-modal Contrastive Learning For Multi-modal Video Representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Contrastive learning allows us to flexibly define powerful losses by contrasting positive pairs from sets of negative samples. Recently, the principle has also been used to learn cross-modal embeddings for video and text, yet without exploiting its full potential. In particular, previous losses do not take the intra-modality similarities into account, which leads to inefficient embeddings, as the same content is mapped to multiple points in the embedding space. With CrossCLR, we present a contrastive loss that fixes this issue. Moreover, we define sets of highly related samples in terms of their input embeddings and exclude them from the negative samples to avoid issues with false negatives. We show that these principles consistently improve the quality of the learned embeddings. The joint embeddings learned with CrossCLR extend the state of the art in video-text retrieval on Youcook2 and LSMDC datasets and in video captioning on Youcook2 dataset by a large margin. We also demonstrate the generality of the concept by learning improved joint embeddings for other pairs of modalities.


Empirical Quantitative Analysis of COVID-19 Forecasting Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

COVID-19 has been a public health emergency of international concern since early 2020. Reliable forecasting is critical to diminish the impact of this disease. To date, a large number of different forecasting models have been proposed, mainly including statistical models, compartmental models, and deep learning models. However, due to various uncertain factors across different regions such as economics and government policy, no forecasting model appears to be the best for all scenarios. In this paper, we perform quantitative analysis of COVID-19 forecasting of confirmed cases and deaths across different regions in the United States with different forecasting horizons, and evaluate the relative impacts of the following three dimensions on the predictive performance (improvement and variation) through different evaluation metrics: model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and the length of time series required for training. We find that if a dimension brings about higher performance gains, if not well-tuned, it may also lead to harsher performance penalties. Furthermore, model selection is the dominant factor in determining the predictive performance. It is responsible for both the largest improvement and the largest variation in performance in all prediction tasks across different regions. While practitioners may perform more complicated time series analysis in practice, they should be able to achieve reasonable results if they have adequate insight into key decisions like model selection.


Google announces redesign of Search engine with more pictures and extra context about results

The Independent - Tech

Google has announced a new redesign of its search tools, making it more visual and adding in extra contextual information about its results. At its Search On event, the web giant also announced new features for Google Chrome and its Google Lens artificially-intelligent photo software. The main aesthetic change are visually browsable results, "for searches where you need inspiration" such as "pour painting ideas", Google says, which will surface a series of pictures at the top of search results without having to navigate to the Images tab. It will also bring in more contextual information, rolled out over the coming months, with a new'Things to know" section that includes "different dimensions people typically search for". For those searching how to paint with acrylics, for example, underneath the top result will be a series of drop-down results that include a step-by-step guide, tips, or style options.


Introducing the DOME Activation Functions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we introduce a novel non-linear activation function that spontaneously induces class-compactness and regularization in the embedding space of neural networks. The function is dubbed DOME for Difference Of Mirrored Exponential terms. The basic form of the function can replace the sigmoid or the hyperbolic tangent functions as an output activation function for binary classification problems. The function can also be extended to the case of multi-class classification, and used as an alternative to the standard softmax function. It can also be further generalized to take more flexible shapes suitable for intermediate layers of a network. In this version of the paper, we only introduce the concept. In a subsequent version, experimental evaluation will be added.


Unlocking the potential of deep learning for marine ecology: overview, applications, and outlook

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The deep learning revolution is touching all scientific disciplines and corners of our lives as a means of harnessing the power of big data. Marine ecology is no exception. These new methods provide analysis of data from sensors, cameras, and acoustic recorders, even in real time, in ways that are reproducible and rapid. Off-the-shelf algorithms can find, count, and classify species from digital images or video and detect cryptic patterns in noisy data. Using these opportunities requires collaboration across ecological and data science disciplines, which can be challenging to initiate. To facilitate these collaborations and promote the use of deep learning towards ecosystem-based management of the sea, this paper aims to bridge the gap between marine ecologists and computer scientists. We provide insight into popular deep learning approaches for ecological data analysis in plain language, focusing on the techniques of supervised learning with deep neural networks, and illustrate challenges and opportunities through established and emerging applications of deep learning to marine ecology. We use established and future-looking case studies on plankton, fishes, marine mammals, pollution, and nutrient cycling that involve object detection, classification, tracking, and segmentation of visualized data. We conclude with a broad outlook of the field's opportunities and challenges, including potential technological advances and issues with managing complex data sets.


From Organisational Structure to Organisational Behaviour Formalisation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As the complexity of systems based on multiple software agents increases, as is the case, for example in the context of Internet, their dynamics are less easy to predict and to manage. A recent development is to incorporate organisation modelling methods within the software engineering process of multi-agent systems. Indeed, like complex agent-based software systems, societies are characterised by complex dynamics involving interaction between large numbers of actors and groups of actors. If within society such complex dynamics would take place in an completely unstructured, incoherent manner, any actor involved has not much to rely on to do prediction, and therefore is not able to function in a knowledgeable manner. This has serious disadvantages, which is a reason why in history within human societies organisational structure has been developed as a means to manage complex dynamics. Here it is assumed that organisational structure provides co-ordination of the processes in such a manner that a process or agent involved can function in a more adequate manner. So the basic assumption is that providing organisational structure has implications to organisational dynamics. The dynamics induced by a given organisational structure are much more dependable than in an entirely unstructured situation. It is assumed that the organisational structure itself is relatively stable, i.e., the structure may change, but the frequency and scale of change are