South America
Tree-based local explanations of machine learning model predictions, AraucanaXAI
Parimbelli, Enea, Nicora, Giovanna, Wilk, Szymon, Michalowski, Wojtek, Bellazzi, Riccardo
Increasingly complex learning methods such as boosting, bagging and deep learning have made ML models more accurate, but harder to understand and interpret. A tradeoff between between performance and intelligibility is often to be faced, especially in high-stakes applications like medicine. In the present article we propose a novel methodological approach for generating explanations of the predictions of a generic ML model, given a specific instance for which the prediction has been made, that can tackle both classification and regression tasks. Advantages of the proposed XAI approach include improved fidelity to the original model, ability to deal with non-linear decision boundaries, and native support to both classification and regression problems.
Control Prefixes for Text Generation
Clive, Jordan, Cao, Kris, Rei, Marek
Prompt learning methods adapt pre-trained language models to downstream applications by using a task-specific prompt together with the input. Most of the current work on prompt learning in text generation relies on a shared dataset-level prompt for all examples in the dataset. We extend this approach and propose a dynamic method, Control Prefixes, which allows for the inclusion of conditional input-dependent information in each prompt. Control Prefixes is at the intersection of prompt learning and controlled generation, empowering the model to have finer-grained control during text generation. The method incorporates attribute-level learnable representations into different layers of a pre-trained transformer, allowing for the generated text to be guided in a particular direction. We provide a systematic evaluation of the technique and apply it to five datasets from the GEM benchmark for natural language generation (NLG). We present state-of-the-art results on several data-to-text datasets, including WebNLG.
Open Domain Question Answering over Virtual Documents: A Unified Approach for Data and Text
Ma, Kaixin, Cheng, Hao, Liu, Xiaodong, Nyberg, Eric, Gao, Jianfeng
Due to its potential for a universal interface over both data and text, data-to-text generation is becoming increasingly popular recently. However, few previous work has focused on its application to downstream tasks, e.g. using the converted data for grounding or reasoning. In this work, we aim to bridge this gap and use the data-to-text method as a means for encoding structured knowledge for knowledge-intensive applications, i.e. open-domain question answering (QA). Specifically, we propose a verbalizer-retriever-reader framework for open-domain QA over data and text where verbalized tables from Wikipedia and triples from Wikidata are used as augmented knowledge sources. We show that our Unified Data and Text QA, UDT-QA, can effectively benefit from the expanded knowledge index, leading to large gains over text-only baselines. Notably, our approach sets the single-model state-of-the-art on Natural Questions. Furthermore, our analyses indicate that verbalized knowledge is preferred for answer reasoning for both adapted and hot-swap settings.
Simulation of emergence in artificial societies: a practical model-based approach with the EB-DEVS formalism
Foguelman, Daniel, Lanzarotti, Esteban, Ferreyra, Emanuel, Castro, Rodrigo
Modelling and simulation of complex systems is key to exploring and understanding social processes, benefiting from formal mechanisms to derive global-level properties from local-level interactions. In this paper we extend the body of knowledge on formal methods in complex systems by applying EB-DEVS, a novel formalism tailored for the modelling, simulation and live identification of emergent properties. We guide the reader through the implementation of different classical models for varied social systems to introduce good modelling practices and showcase the advantages and limitations of modelling emergence with EB-DEVS, in particular through its live emergence detection capability. This work provides case study-driven evidence for the neatness and compactness of the approach to modelling communication structures that can be explicit or implicit, static or dynamic, with or without multilevel interactions, and with weak or strong emergent behaviour. Throughout examples we show that EB-DEVS permits conceptualising the analysed societies by incorporating emergent behaviour when required, namely by integrating as a macro-level aggregate the Gini index in the Sugarscape model, Fads and Fashion in the Dissemination of Culture model, size-biased degree distribution in a Preferential Attachment model, happiness index in the Segregation model and quarantines in the SIR epidemic model. In each example we discuss the role of communication structures in the development of multilevel simulation models, and illustrate how micro-macro feedback loops enable the modelling of macro-level properties. Our results stress the relevance of multilevel features to support a robust approach in the modelling and simulation of complex systems.
Generating Natural Language Adversarial Examples through An Improved Beam Search Algorithm
Zhao, Tengfei, Ge, Zhaocheng, Hu, Hanping, Shi, Dingmeng
The research of adversarial attacks in the text domain attracts many interests in the last few years, and many methods with a high attack success rate have been proposed. However, these attack methods are inefficient as they require lots of queries for the victim model when crafting text adversarial examples. In this paper, a novel attack model is proposed, its attack success rate surpasses the benchmark attack methods, but more importantly, its attack efficiency is much higher than the benchmark attack methods. The novel method is empirically evaluated by attacking WordCNN, LSTM, BiLSTM, and BERT on four benchmark datasets. For instance, it achieves a 100\% attack success rate higher than the state-of-the-art method when attacking BERT and BiLSTM on IMDB, but the number of queries for the victim models only is 1/4 and 1/6.5 of the state-of-the-art method, respectively. Also, further experiments show the novel method has a good transferability on the generated adversarial examples.
A Broad-persistent Advising Approach for Deep Interactive Reinforcement Learning in Robotic Environments
Nguyen, Hung Son, Cruz, Francisco, Dazeley, Richard
Deep Reinforcement Learning (DeepRL) methods have been widely used in robotics to learn about the environment and acquire behaviors autonomously. Deep Interactive Reinforcement Learning (DeepIRL) includes interactive feedback from an external trainer or expert giving advice to help learners choosing actions to speed up the learning process. However, current research has been limited to interactions that offer actionable advice to only the current state of the agent. Additionally, the information is discarded by the agent after a single use that causes a duplicate process at the same state for a revisit. In this paper, we present Broad-persistent Advising (BPA), a broad-persistent advising approach that retains and reuses the processed information. It not only helps trainers to give more general advice relevant to similar states instead of only the current state but also allows the agent to speed up the learning process. We test the proposed approach in two continuous robotic scenarios, namely, a cart pole balancing task and a simulated robot navigation task. The obtained results show that the performance of the agent using BPA improves while keeping the number of interactions required for the trainer in comparison to the DeepIRL approach.
Spatio-temporal extreme event modeling of terror insurgencies
Patel, Lekha, Shand, Lyndsay, Tucker, J. Derek, Huerta, Gabriel
Extreme events with potential deadly outcomes, such as those organized by terror groups, are highly unpredictable in nature and an imminent threat to society. In particular, quantifying the likelihood of a terror attack occurring in an arbitrary space-time region and its relative societal risk, would facilitate informed measures that would strengthen national security. This paper introduces a novel self-exciting marked spatio-temporal model for attacks whose inhomogeneous baseline intensity is written as a function of covariates. Its triggering intensity is succinctly modeled with a Gaussian Process prior distribution to flexibly capture intricate spatio-temporal dependencies between an arbitrary attack and previous terror events. By inferring the parameters of this model, we highlight specific space-time areas in which attacks are likely to occur. Furthermore, by measuring the outcome of an attack in terms of the number of casualties it produces, we introduce a novel mixture distribution for the number of casualties. This distribution flexibly handles low and high number of casualties and the discrete nature of the data through a {\it Generalized ZipF} distribution. We rely on a customized Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to estimate the model parameters. We illustrate the methodology with data from the open source Global Terrorism Database (GTD) that correspond to attacks in Afghanistan from 2013-2018. We show that our model is able to predict the intensity of future attacks for 2019-2021 while considering various covariates of interest such as population density, number of regional languages spoken, and the density of population supporting the opposing government.
Facebook wants machines to see the world through our eyes
For the last two years, Facebook AI Research (FAIR) has worked with 13 universities around the world to assemble the largest ever data set of first-person video--specifically to train deep-learning image-recognition models. AIs trained on the data set will be better at controlling robots that interact with people, or interpreting images from smart glasses. "Machines will be able to help us in our daily lives only if they really understand the world through our eyes," says Kristen Grauman at FAIR, who leads the project. Such tech could support people who need assistance around the home, or guide people in tasks they are learning to complete. "The video in this data set is much closer to how humans observe the world," says Michael Ryoo, a computer vision researcher at Google Brain and Stony Brook University in New York, who is not involved in Ego4D.
Facebook is researching AI systems that see, hear, and remember everything you do
Facebook is pouring a lot of time and money into augmented reality, including building its own AR glasses with Ray-Ban. Right now, these gadgets can only record and share imagery, but what does the company think such devices will be used for in the future? A new research project led by Facebook's AI team suggests the scope of the company's ambitions. It imagines AI systems that are constantly analyzing peoples' lives using first-person video; recording what they see, do, and hear in order to help them with everyday tasks. Facebook's researchers have outlined a series of skills it wants these systems to develop, including "episodic memory" (answering questions like "where did I leave my keys?") and "audio-visual diarization" (remembering who said what when).
How AI is helping the natural sciences
The impact of climate change on Brazil's Atlantic coastline is a research focus at the University of São Paulo's machine-intelligence centre.Credit: Antonello Veneri/AFP via Getty Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly becoming a tool for researchers in other science and technology fields, forging collaborations across disciplines. Stanford University in California, which produces an index that tracks AI-related data, finds in its 2021 report that the number of AI journal publications grew by 34.5% from 2019 to 2020; up from 19.6% between 2018 and 2019 (see go.nature.com/3mdt2yq). AI publications represented 3.8% of all peer-reviewed scientific publications worldwide in 2019, up from 1.3% in 2011. Five AI researchers describe the fruits of these collaborations, beyond journal publications, and talk about how they are helping to break down barriers between disciplines. At the University of São Paulo in Brazil, where I lead the Center for Artificial Intelligence (C4AI), our main goal is to produce machine-intelligence research that has a direct impact on society and industry.