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Task-oriented Dialogue Systems: performance vs. quality-optima, a review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Task-oriented dialogue systems (TODS) are continuing to rise in popularity as various industries find ways to effectively harness their capabilities, saving both time and money. However, even state-of-the-art TODS are not yet reaching their full potential. TODS typically have a primary design focus on completing the task at hand, so the metric of task-resolution should take priority. Other conversational quality attributes that may point to the success, or otherwise, of the dialogue, may be ignored. This can cause interactions between human and dialogue system that leave the user dissatisfied or frustrated. This paper explores the literature on evaluative frameworks of dialogue systems and the role of conversational quality attributes in dialogue systems, looking at if, how, and where they are utilised, and examining their correlation with the performance of the dialogue system.


Evaluation of Machine Learning Techniques for Forecast Uncertainty Quantification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Producing an accurate weather forecast and a reliable quantification of its uncertainty is an open scientific challenge. Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts along with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture and quantify different sources of uncertainty, particularly those associated with model errors. In this work proof-of-concept model experiments are conducted to examine the performance of ANNs trained to predict a corrected state of the system and the state uncertainty using only a single deterministic forecast as input. We compare different training strategies: one based on a direct training using the mean and spread of an ensemble forecast as target, the other ones rely on an indirect training strategy using a deterministic forecast as target in which the uncertainty is implicitly learned from the data. For the last approach two alternative loss functions are proposed and evaluated, one based on the data observation likelihood and the other one based on a local estimation of the error. The performance of the networks is examined at different lead times and in scenarios with and without model errors. Experiments using the Lorenz'96 model show that the ANNs are able to emulate some of the properties of ensemble forecasts like the filtering of the most unpredictable modes and a state-dependent quantification of the forecast uncertainty. Moreover, ANNs provide a reliable estimation of the forecast uncertainty in the presence of model error.


Global Artificial Intelligence Consulting Service Market 2022 Size, Share, CAGR Status by Sales, Revenue, Global Growth Rate, Modern Trends, Emerging Demands, Industry Analysis, Key Players and Forecast 2027

#artificialintelligence

Pune, Dec. 20, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Global Artificial Intelligence Consulting Service Market research report study covers the global and regional market with an in-depth analysis of the overall growth prospects in the market. Artificial Intelligence Consulting Service Market Research Report identifies various key manufacturers of the market. It helps the reader understand the strategies and collaborations that players are focusing on combatting competition in the market. The researchers used advanced primary and secondary research methodologies and tools for preparing this report on the Artificial Intelligence Consulting Service market. In 2021, the global Artificial Intelligence Consulting Service market size will be USD million and it is expected to reach USD million by the end of 2027, with a CAGR of % during 2021-2027.


'AI-driven' Label of Snafu: Will it Replace Record Executives with Technology?

#artificialintelligence

Snafu's investor ABBA is looking for sounds from India. ABBA is a Swedish pop group that has anticipated its first album, Voyage, in 40 years. It will be streaming on the air on November 5. But before the release, the legendary comeback band sprinkled stardust on Snafu Records, a music label headed by an Indian. Snafu has introduced a new approach to search for music talent. Agnetha Fältskog, the ABBA singer, has joined a $6 million funding round for AI-powered record label Snafu records.


Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Manufacturing Market Analysis & Forecast for Next 5 Years

#artificialintelligence

Understanding the segments helps in identifying the importance of different factors that aid the market growth. At last, all parts of the Worldwide Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Manufacturing Market are quantitatively also subjectively valued to think about the Global just as regional market equally. This market study presents basic data and true figures about the market giving a deep analysis of this market based on market trends, market drivers, constraints and its future prospects. The report supplies the worldwide monetary challenge with the help of Porter's Five Forces Analysis and SWOT Analysis. Customization of the Report: The report can be customized as per your needs for added data up to 3 businesses or countries or 2 analyst hours.


Japan and U.S. block advancement in U.N. talks on autonomous weapons

The Japan Times

GENEVA – Japan, the United States and other countries have blocked any advancement in U.N. talks toward legally binding measures to ban and regulate the development and use of lethal autonomous weapon systems. The Sixth Review Conference of the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons ended Friday in Geneva without progress, failing to reflect eight years of work and leaving countries and nongovernmental organizations that have called for legally binding rules expressing disappointment. Also referred to as "killer robots," autonomous weapons are artificial intelligence-powered weapons using facial recognition and algorithms. Once activated, the weapons can select and attack targets without the assistance of a human operator. They pose ethical, legal and security risks.


Few-shot Learning with Multilingual Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large-scale autoregressive language models such as GPT-3 are few-shot learners that can perform a wide range of language tasks without fine-tuning. While these models are known to be able to jointly represent many different languages, their training data is dominated by English, potentially limiting their cross-lingual generalization. In this work, we train multilingual autoregressive language models on a balanced corpus covering a diverse set of languages, and study their few- and zero-shot learning capabilities in a wide range of tasks. Our largest model with 7.5 billion parameters sets new state of the art in few-shot learning in more than 20 representative languages, outperforming GPT-3 of comparable size in multilingual commonsense reasoning (with +7.4% absolute accuracy improvement in 0-shot settings and +9.4% in 4-shot settings) and natural language inference (+5.4% in each of 0-shot and 4-shot settings). On the FLORES-101 machine translation benchmark, our model outperforms GPT-3 on 171 out of 182 translation directions with 32 training examples, while surpassing the official supervised baseline in 45 directions. We present a detailed analysis of where the model succeeds and fails, showing in particular that it enables cross-lingual in-context learning on some tasks, while there is still room for improvement on surface form robustness and adaptation to tasks that do not have a natural cloze form. Finally, we evaluate our models in social value tasks such as hate speech detection in five languages and find it has limitations similar to comparable sized GPT-3 models.


Autonomous Weapons Are Here, but the World Isn't Ready for Them

#artificialintelligence

This may be remembered as the year when the world learned that lethal autonomous weapons had moved from a futuristic worry to a battlefield reality. It's also the year when policymakers failed to agree on what to do about it. On Friday, 120 countries participating in the United Nations' Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons could not agree on whether to limit the development or use of lethal autonomous weapons. Instead, they pledged to continue and "intensify" discussions. "It's very disappointing, and a real missed opportunity," says Neil Davison, senior scientific and policy adviser at the International Committee of the Red Cross, a humanitarian organization based in Geneva.


AI and the Future of Work: What We Know Today

#artificialintelligence

This decoupling had baleful economic and social consequences: low paid, insecure jobs held by non-college workers; low participation rates in the labor force; weak upward mobility across generations; and festering earnings and employment disparities among races that have not substantially improved in decades. While new technologies have contributed to these poor results, these outcomes were not an inevitable consequence of technological change, nor of globalization, nor of market forces. Similar pressures from digitalization and globalization affected most industrialized countries, and yet their labor markets fared better."


Classifier Calibration: How to assess and improve predicted class probabilities: a survey

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper provides both an introduction to and a detailed overview of the principles and practice of classifier calibration. A well-calibrated classifier correctly quantifies the level of uncertainty or confidence associated with its instance-wise predictions. This is essential for critical applications, optimal decision making, cost-sensitive classification, and for some types of context change. Calibration research has a rich history which predates the birth of machine learning as an academic field by decades. However, a recent increase in the interest on calibration has led to new methods and the extension from binary to the multiclass setting. The space of options and issues to consider is large, and navigating it requires the right set of concepts and tools. We provide both introductory material and up-to-date technical details of the main concepts and methods, including proper scoring rules and other evaluation metrics, visualisation approaches, a comprehensive account of post-hoc calibration methods for binary and multiclass classification, and several advanced topics.