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OPP-Miner: Order-preserving sequential pattern mining

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A time series is a collection of measurements in chronological order. Discovering patterns from time series is useful in many domains, such as stock analysis, disease detection, and weather forecast. To discover patterns, existing methods often convert time series data into another form, such as nominal/symbolic format, to reduce dimensionality, which inevitably deviates the data values. Moreover, existing methods mainly neglect the order relationships between time series values. To tackle these issues, inspired by order-preserving matching, this paper proposes an Order-Preserving sequential Pattern (OPP) mining method, which represents patterns based on the order relationships of the time series data. An inherent advantage of such representation is that the trend of a time series can be represented by the relative order of the values underneath the time series data. To obtain frequent trends in time series, we propose the OPP-Miner algorithm to mine patterns with the same trend (sub-sequences with the same relative order). OPP-Miner employs the filtration and verification strategies to calculate the support and uses pattern fusion strategy to generate candidate patterns. To compress the result set, we also study finding the maximal OPPs. Experiments validate that OPP-Miner is not only efficient and scalable but can also discover similar sub-sequences in time series. In addition, case studies show that our algorithms have high utility in analyzing the COVID-19 epidemic by identifying critical trends and improve the clustering performance.


Multi-model Ensemble Analysis with Neural Network Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from rescaling low-resolution climate models. We propose a statistical approach, called NN-GPR, using Gaussian process regression (GPR) with an infinitely wide deep neural network based covariance function. NN-GPR requires no assumptions about the relationships between models, no interpolation to a common grid, no stationarity assumptions, and automatically downscales as part of its prediction algorithm. Model experiments show that NN-GPR can be highly skillful at surface temperature and precipitation forecasting by preserving geospatial signals at multiple scales and capturing inter-annual variability. Our projections particularly show improved accuracy and uncertainty quantification skill in regions of high variability, which allows us to cheaply assess tail behavior at a 0.44$^\circ$/50 km spatial resolution without a regional climate model (RCM). Evaluations on reanalysis data and SSP245 forced climate models show that NN-GPR produces similar, overall climatologies to the model ensemble while better capturing fine scale spatial patterns. Finally, we compare NN-GPR's regional predictions against two RCMs and show that NN-GPR can rival the performance of RCMs using only global model data as input.


Federated Active Learning (F-AL): an Efficient Annotation Strategy for Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated learning (FL) has been intensively investigated in terms of communication efficiency, privacy, and fairness. However, efficient annotation, which is a pain point in real-world FL applications, is less studied. In this project, we propose to apply active learning (AL) and sampling strategy into the FL framework to reduce the annotation workload. We expect that the AL and FL can improve the performance of each other complementarily. In our proposed federated active learning (F-AL) method, the clients collaboratively implement the AL to obtain the instances which are considered as informative to FL in a distributed optimization manner. We compare the test accuracies of the global FL models using the conventional random sampling strategy, client-level separate AL (S-AL), and the proposed F-AL. We empirically demonstrate that the F-AL outperforms baseline methods in image classification tasks.


Using Partial Monotonicity in Submodular Maximization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Over the last two decades, submodular function maximization has been the workhorse of many discrete optimization problems in machine learning applications. Traditionally, the study of submodular functions was based on binary function properties. However, such properties have an inherit weakness, namely, if an algorithm assumes functions that have a particular property, then it provides no guarantee for functions that violate this property, even when the violation is very slight. Therefore, recent works began to consider continuous versions of function properties. Probably the most significant among these (so far) are the submodularity ratio and the curvature, which were studied extensively together and separately. The monotonicity property of set functions plays a central role in submodular maximization. Nevertheless, and despite all the above works, no continuous version of this property has been suggested to date (as far as we know). This is unfortunate since submoduar functions that are almost monotone often arise in machine learning applications. In this work we fill this gap by defining the monotonicity ratio, which is a continues version of the monotonicity property. We then show that for many standard submodular maximization algorithms one can prove new approximation guarantees that depend on the monotonicity ratio; leading to improved approximation ratios for the common machine learning applications of movie recommendation, quadratic programming and image summarization.


The Self-Driving Car: Crossroads at the Bleeding Edge of Artificial Intelligence and Law

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) features are increasingly being embedded in cars and are central to the operation of self-driving cars (SDC). There is little or no effort expended towards understanding and assessing the broad legal and regulatory impact of the decisions made by AI in cars. A comprehensive literature review was conducted to determine the perceived barriers, benefits and facilitating factors of SDC in order to help us understand the suitability and limitations of existing and proposed law and regulation. (1) existing and proposed laws are largely based on claimed benefits of SDV that are still mostly speculative and untested; (2) while publicly presented as issues of assigning blame and identifying who pays where the SDC is involved in an accident, the barriers broadly intersect with almost every area of society, laws and regulations; and (3) new law and regulation are most frequently identified as the primary factor for enabling SDC. Research on assessing the impact of AI in SDC needs to be broadened beyond negligence and liability to encompass barriers, benefits and facilitating factors identified in this paper. Results of this paper are significant in that they point to the need for deeper comprehension of the broad impact of all existing law and regulations on the introduction of SDC technology, with a focus on identifying only those areas truly requiring ongoing legislative attention.


Causal Inference Using Tractable Circuits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The aim of this paper is to discuss a recent result which shows that probabilistic inference in the presence of (unknown) causal mechanisms can be tractable for models that have traditionally been viewed as intractable. This result was reported recently in [15] to facilitate model-based supervised learning but it can be interpreted in a causality context as follows. One can compile a non-parametric causal graph into an arithmetic circuit that supports inference in time linear in the circuit size. The circuit is also non-parametric so it can be used to estimate parameters from data and to further reason (in linear time) about the causal graph parametrized by these estimates. Moreover, the circuit size can sometimes be bounded even when the treewidth of the causal graph is not, leading to tractable inference on models that have been deemed intractable previously. This has been enabled by a new technique that can exploit causal mechanisms computationally but without needing to know their identities (the classical setup in causal inference). Our goal is to provide a causality-oriented exposure to these new results and to speculate on how they may potentially contribute to more scalable and versatile causal inference.


An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG11)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) presents opportunities to develop tools and techniques for addressing some of the major global challenges and deliver solutions with significant social and economic impacts. The application of AI has far-reaching implications for the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in general and sustainable urban development in particular. However, existing attempts to understand and use the opportunities offered by AI for SDG 11 have been explored sparsely, and the shortage of empirical evidence about the practical application of AI remains. In this chapter, we analyze the contribution of AI to support the progress of SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities). We address the knowledge gap by empirically analyzing the AI systems (N 29) from the AI SDG database and the Community Research and Development Information Service (CORDIS) database. Our analysis revealed that AI systems have indeed contributed to advancing sustainable cities in several ways (e.g., waste management, air quality monitoring, disaster response management, transportation management), but many projects are still working for citizens and not with them. This snapshot of AI's impact on SDG11 is inherently partial yet useful to advance our understanding as we move towards more mature systems and research on the impact of AI systems for the social good. Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to mitigate several issues facing cities, such as road safety, waste management, air pollution, and disaster risk reduction (Gupta et al., 2021). Examples of recent AI systems for improved well-being in cities include a tool for semi-automatic digitization of sketch maps to support the inclusion of indigenous communities through the documentation of their land rights (Degbelo et al., 2021; Chipofya et al., 2020), a system for traffic monitoring based on Wireless Signals (Gupta et al., 2018), approaches for efficient waste management (Barns, 2019), air quality modelling (Gupta et al., 2018) and urban health monitoring systems (Allam and Jones, 2020).


Discovering Personalized Semantics for Soft Attributes in Recommender Systems using Concept Activation Vectors

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Interactive recommender systems (RSs) allow users to express intent, preferences and contexts in a rich fashion, often using natural language. One challenge in using such feedback is inferring a user's semantic intent from the open-ended terms used to describe an item, and using it to refine recommendation results. Leveraging concept activation vectors (CAVs) [21], we develop a framework to learn a representation that captures the semantics of such attributes and connects them to user preferences and behaviors in RSs. A novel feature of our approach is its ability to distinguish objective and subjective attributes and associate different senses with different users. Using synthetic and real-world datasets, we show that our CAV representation accurately interprets users' subjective semantics, and can improve recommendations via interactive critiquing


6 New Marketing Trends Poised To Dominate 2022

#artificialintelligence

Are you a marketing exec looking to stay on top of trends? If so, it may be hard to keep track of the various reports, statistics and surveys that emerge each day. This roundup combines all of the top new insights for CMOs and other industry professional -- all in one place. Below are six of the most recent findings indicating the latest trends in CX and other marketing areas. Forrester predicts that 35% of CMOs in B2C companies will be responsible for CX, a figure that's grown from 28% last year, 26% in 2020 and 24% in 2019.


How the robots alongside us will make the world a better place

#artificialintelligence

People often ask me about the real-life potential for inhumane, merciless systems like Hal 9000 or the Terminator to destroy our society. Growing up in Belgium and away from Hollywood, my initial impressions of robots were not so violent. In retrospect, my early positive affiliations with robots likely fueled my drive to build machines to make our everyday lives more enjoyable. Robots working alongside humans to manage day-to-day mundane tasks was a world I wanted to help create. Now, many years later, after emigrating to the United States, finishing my PhD under Andrew Ng, starting the Berkeley Robot Learning Lab, and co-founding Covariant, I'm convinced that robots are becoming sophisticated enough to be the allies and helpful teammates that I hoped for as a child.