Researchers have discovered another 168 geoglyphs made in the soil of Peru's Nazca Desert, known as the Nazca lines. The newly-discovered drawings – identified by a team at Yamagata University in Japan – depict humans, camelids, birds, killer whales, felines and snakes. One of the human drawings looks like Homer Simpson, with big cartoon eyes and a patch of what looks like stubble around the mouth. These 168 newly-found geoglyphs are thought to date between 100 BC and AD 300, according to experts, but other Nazca lines may go back even further to 400 BC. The Nazca lines are a group of geoglyphs made in the soil of the Nazca Desert in southern Peru.

Argentina take on Croatia in the first semifinal of World Cup 2022. Kashef, our artificial intelligence (AI) robot, has analysed more than 200 metrics, including the number of wins, goals scored and FIFA rankings, from matches played over the past century to see who is most likely to win on Tuesday. Croatia's quarterfinal win over Brazil on December 9 not only stunned the footballing world, but it also flummoxed Kashef – only for a moment, though. Our robot correctly predicted Argentina's victory over the Netherlands on Friday, the second quarterfinal of the Qatar 2022 World Cup. Prediction: Lionel Messi will attempt to guide Argentina into the final for the second time in eight years against 2018 World Cup runners-up Croatia.

Matrix factorization exploits the idea that, in complex high-dimensional data, the actual signal typically lies in lower-dimensional structures. These lower dimensional objects provide useful insight, with interpretability favored by sparse structures. Sparsity, in addition, is beneficial in terms of regularization and, thus, to avoid over-fitting. By exploiting Bayesian shrinkage priors, we devise a computationally convenient approach for high-dimensional matrix factorization. The dependence between row and column entities is modeled by inducing flexible sparse patterns within factors. The availability of external information is accounted for in such a way that structures are allowed while not imposed. Inspired by boosting algorithms, we pair the the proposed approach with a numerical strategy relying on a sequential inclusion and estimation of low-rank contributions, with data-driven stopping rule. Practical advantages of the proposed approach are demonstrated by means of a simulation study and the analysis of soccer heatmaps obtained from new generation tracking data.

Automatic speech recognition research focuses on training and evaluating on static datasets. Yet, as speech models are increasingly deployed on personal devices, such models encounter user-specific distributional shifts. To simulate this real-world scenario, we introduce LibriContinual, a continual learning benchmark for speaker-specific domain adaptation derived from LibriVox audiobooks, with data corresponding to 118 individual speakers and 6 train splits per speaker of different sizes. Additionally, current speech recognition models and continual learning algorithms are not optimized to be compute-efficient. We adapt a general-purpose training algorithm NetAug for ASR and create a novel Conformer variant called the DisConformer (Disentangled Conformer). This algorithm produces ASR models consisting of a frozen 'core' network for general-purpose use and several tunable 'augment' networks for speaker-specific tuning. Using such models, we propose a novel compute-efficient continual learning algorithm called DisentangledCL. Our experiments show that the DisConformer models significantly outperform baselines on general ASR i.e. LibriSpeech (15.58% rel. WER on test-other). On speaker-specific LibriContinual they significantly outperform trainable-parameter-matched baselines (by 20.65% rel. WER on test) and even match fully finetuned baselines in some settings.

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are gaining popularity as a method for solving differential equations. While being more feasible in some contexts than the classical numerical techniques, PINNs still lack credibility. A remedy for that can be found in Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) which is just beginning to emerge in the context of PINNs. Assessing how well the trained PINN complies with imposed differential equation is the key to tackling uncertainty, yet there is lack of comprehensive methodology for this task. We propose a framework for UQ in Bayesian PINNs (B-PINNs) that incorporates the discrepancy between the B-PINN solution and the unknown true solution. We exploit recent results on error bounds for PINNs on linear dynamical systems and demonstrate the predictive uncertainty on a class of linear ODEs.

Many commodity crops have growth stages during which they are particularly vulnerable to stress-induced yield loss. In-season crop progress information is useful for quantifying crop risk, and satellite remote sensing (RS) can be used to track progress at regional scales. At present, all existing RS-based crop progress estimation (CPE) methods which target crop-specific stages rely on ground truth data for training/calibration. This reliance on ground survey data confines CPE methods to surveyed regions, limiting their utility. In this study, a new method is developed for conducting RS-based in-season CPE in unsurveyed regions by combining data from surveyed regions with synthetic crop progress data generated for an unsurveyed region. Corn-growing zones in Argentina were used as surrogate 'unsurveyed' regions. Existing weather generation, crop growth, and optical radiative transfer models were linked to produce synthetic weather, crop progress, and canopy reflectance data. A neural network (NN) method based upon bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory was trained separately on surveyed data, synthetic data, and two different combinations of surveyed and synthetic data. A stopping criterion was developed which uses the weighted divergence of surveyed and synthetic data validation loss. Net F1 scores across all crop progress stages increased by 8.7% when trained on a combination of surveyed region and synthetic data, and overall performance was only 21% lower than when the NN was trained on surveyed data and applied in the US Midwest. Performance gain from synthetic data was greatest in zones with dual planting windows, while the inclusion of surveyed region data from the US Midwest helped mitigate NN sensitivity to noise in NDVI data. Overall results suggest in-season CPE in other unsurveyed regions may be possible with increased quantity and variety of synthetic crop progress data.

Experimental sciences have come to depend heavily on our ability to organize and interpret high-dimensional datasets. Natural laws, conservation principles, and inter-dependencies among observed variables yield geometric structure, with fewer degrees of freedom, on the dataset. We introduce the frameworks of semiclassical and microlocal analysis to data analysis and develop a novel, yet natural uncertainty principle for extracting fine-scale features of this geometric structure in data, crucially dependent on data-driven approximations to quantum mechanical processes underlying geometric optics. This leads to the first tractable algorithm for approximation of wave dynamics and geodesics on data manifolds with rigorous probabilistic convergence rates under the manifold hypothesis. We demonstrate our algorithm on real-world datasets, including an analysis of population mobility information during the COVID-19 pandemic to achieve four-fold improvement in dimensionality reduction over existing state-of-the-art and reveal anomalous behavior exhibited by less than 1.2% of the entire dataset. Our work initiates the study of data-driven quantum dynamics for analyzing datasets, and we outline several future directions for research.

Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach based on behavioral psychology. It is focused on learning agents that can acquire knowledge and learn to carry out new tasks by interacting with the environment. However, a problem occurs when reinforcement learning is used in critical contexts where the users of the system need to have more information and reliability for the actions executed by an agent. In this regard, explainable reinforcement learning seeks to provide to an agent in training with methods in order to explain its behavior in such a way that users with no experience in machine learning could understand the agent's behavior. One of these is the memory-based explainable reinforcement learning method that is used to compute probabilities of success for each state-action pair using an episodic memory. In this work, we propose to make use of the memory-based explainable reinforcement learning method in a hierarchical environment composed of sub-tasks that need to be first addressed to solve a more complex task. The end goal is to verify if it is possible to provide to the agent the ability to explain its actions in the global task as well as in the sub-tasks. The results obtained showed that it is possible to use the memory-based method in hierarchical environments with high-level tasks and compute the probabilities of success to be used as a basis for explaining the agent's behavior.

Machine translation for Sranantongo (Sranan, srn), a low-resource Creole language spoken predominantly in Surinam, is virgin territory. In this study we create a general purpose machine translation system for srn. In order to facilitate this research, we introduce the SRNcorpus, a collection of parallel Dutch (nl) to srn and monolingual srn data. We experiment with a wide range of proven machine translation methods. Our results demonstrate a strong baseline machine translation system for srn.

Active learning (AL) strategies are used in supervised learning to let the training algorithm "ask questions" [34], i.e., choose the feature vectors to query for the corresponding target value during the training phase, usually based on the model learned so far. The main aim of AL is to possibly reduce the number of training samples required to train the model, or in other words, to get a model of the same prediction quality with a smaller dataset. This is particularly useful when knowing the target value associated with a given combination of features is an expensive operation, for example, it may involve asking a human to "label" samples manually, running a costly and time-consuming laboratory experiment, or performing a complex computer simulation. AL methods are usually categorized in query synthesis (or population-based) methods, in which the feature vector to query can be chosen arbitrarily, pool-based sampling methods, in which the vector can only be chosen within a given finite set (or "pool") of unlabeled values, and selective-sampling methods, in which vectors are proposed in a streaming flow and the AL algorithm can only decide online whether to ask for the corresponding target or not [34]. Several approaches to AL are available in the literature, see, e.g., the survey papers [1, 16,22,34,39]. Most of the literature focuses on classification problems [1,33], although AL has been investigated also for regression [9-13,25,27,38,41,42].