South America
Machine Learning Parameterization of the Multi-scale Kain-Fritsch (MSKF) Convection Scheme
Zhong, Xiaohui, Yu, Xing, Li, Hao
Warm-sector heavy rainfall often occurs along the coast of South China, and it is usually localized and long-lasting, making it challenging to predict. High-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are increasingly used to better resolve topographic features and forecast such high-impact weather events. However, when the grid spacing becomes comparable to the length scales of convection, known as the gray zone, the turbulent eddies in the atmospheric boundary layer are only partially resolved and parameterized to some extent. Whether using a convection parameterization (CP) scheme in the gray zone remains controversial. Scale-aware CP schemes are developed to enhance the representation of convective transport within the gray zone. The multi-scale Kain-Fritsch (MSKF) scheme includes modifications that allow for its effective implementation at a grid resolution as high as 2 km. In recent years, there has been an increasing application of machine learning (ML) models to various domains of atmospheric sciences, including the replacement of physical parameterizations with ML models. This work proposes a multi-output bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) model as a replace the scale-aware MSKF CP scheme. The Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model is used to generate training and testing data over South China at a horizontal resolution of 5 km. Furthermore, the WRF model is coupled with the ML based CP scheme and compared with WRF simulations with original MSKF scheme. The results demonstrate that the Bi-LSTM model can achieve high accuracy, indicating the potential use of ML models to substitute the MSKF scheme in the gray zone.
Innovation and Word Usage Patterns in Machine Learning
Borges, Vítor Bandeira, Cajueiro, Daniel Oliveira
In this study, we delve into the dynamic landscape of machine learning research evolution. Initially, through the utilization of Latent Dirichlet Allocation, we discern pivotal themes and fundamental concepts that have emerged within the realm of machine learning. Subsequently, we undertake a comprehensive analysis to track the evolutionary trajectories of these identified themes. To quantify the novelty and divergence of research contributions, we employ the Kullback-Leibler Divergence metric. This statistical measure serves as a proxy for ``surprise'', indicating the extent of differentiation between the content of academic papers and the subsequent developments in research. By amalgamating these insights, we gain the ability to ascertain the pivotal roles played by prominent researchers and the significance of specific academic venues (periodicals and conferences) within the machine learning domain.
Discret2Di -- Deep Learning based Discretization for Model-based Diagnosis
Moddemann, Lukas, Steude, Henrik Sebastian, Diedrich, Alexander, Niggemann, Oliver
Consistency-based diagnosis is an established approach to diagnose technical applications, but suffers from significant modeling efforts, especially for dynamic multi-modal time series. Machine learning seems to be an obvious solution, which becomes less obvious when looking at details: Which notion of consistency can be used? If logical calculi are still to be used, how can dynamic time series be transferred into the discrete world? This paper presents the methodology Discret2Di for automated learning of logical expressions for consistency-based diagnosis. While these logical calculi have advantages by providing a clear notion of consistency, they have the key problem of relying on a discretization of the dynamic system. The solution presented combines machine learning from both the time series and the symbolic domain to automate the learning of logical rules for consistency-based diagnosis.
FLOGA: A machine learning ready dataset, a benchmark and a novel deep learning model for burnt area mapping with Sentinel-2
Sdraka, Maria, Dimakos, Alkinoos, Malounis, Alexandros, Ntasiou, Zisoula, Karantzalos, Konstantinos, Michail, Dimitrios, Papoutsis, Ioannis
Over the last decade there has been an increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires across the globe, posing significant threats to human and animal lives, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Therefore urgent action is required to mitigate their devastating impact and safeguard Earth's natural resources. Robust Machine Learning methods combined with the abundance of high-resolution satellite imagery can provide accurate and timely mappings of the affected area in order to assess the scale of the event, identify the impacted assets and prioritize and allocate resources effectively for the proper restoration of the damaged region. In this work, we create and introduce a machine-learning ready dataset we name FLOGA (Forest wiLdfire Observations for the Greek Area). This dataset is unique as it comprises of satellite imagery acquired before and after a wildfire event, it contains information from Sentinel-2 and MODIS modalities with variable spatial and spectral resolution, and contains a large number of events where the corresponding burnt area ground truth has been annotated by domain experts. FLOGA covers the wider region of Greece, which is characterized by a Mediterranean landscape and climatic conditions. We use FLOGA to provide a thorough comparison of multiple Machine Learning and Deep Learning algorithms for the automatic extraction of burnt areas, approached as a change detection task. We also compare the results to those obtained using standard specialized spectral indices for burnt area mapping. Finally, we propose a novel Deep Learning model, namely BAM-CD. Our benchmark results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed technique in the automatic extraction of burnt areas, outperforming all other methods in terms of accuracy and robustness. Our dataset and code are publicly available at: https://github.com/Orion-AI-Lab/FLOGA.
Holistic Analysis of Hallucination in GPT-4V(ision): Bias and Interference Challenges
Cui, Chenhang, Zhou, Yiyang, Yang, Xinyu, Wu, Shirley, Zhang, Linjun, Zou, James, Yao, Huaxiu
While GPT-4V(ision) impressively models both visual and textual information simultaneously, it's hallucination behavior has not been systematically assessed. To bridge this gap, we introduce a new benchmark, namely, the Bias and Interference Challenges in Visual Language Models (Bingo). This benchmark is designed to evaluate and shed light on the two common types of hallucinations in visual language models: bias and interference. Here, bias refers to the model's tendency to hallucinate certain types of responses, possibly due to imbalance in its training data. Interference pertains to scenarios where the judgment of GPT-4V(ision) can be disrupted due to how the text prompt is phrased or how the input image is presented. We identify a notable regional bias, whereby GPT-4V(ision) is better at interpreting Western images or images with English writing compared to images from other countries or containing text in other languages. Moreover, GPT-4V(ision) is vulnerable to leading questions and is often confused when interpreting multiple images together. Popular mitigation approaches, such as self-correction and chain-of-thought reasoning, are not effective in resolving these challenges. We also identified similar biases and interference vulnerabilities with LLaVA and Bard. Our results characterize the hallucination challenges in GPT-4V(ision) and state-of-the-art visual-language models, and highlight the need for new solutions. The Bingo benchmark is available at https://github.com/gzcch/Bingo.
Segmentation of Drone Collision Hazards in Airborne RADAR Point Clouds Using PointNet
Arroyo, Hector, Kier, Paul, Angus, Dylan, Matalonga, Santiago, Georgiev, Svetlozar, Goli, Mehdi, Dooly, Gerard, Riordan, James
The integration of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) into shared airspace for beyond visual line of sight (BVLOS) operations presents significant challenges but holds transformative potential for sectors like transportation, construction, energy and defense. A critical prerequisite for this integration is equipping UAVs with enhanced situational awareness to ensure safe operations. Current approaches mainly target single object detection or classification, or simpler sensing outputs that offer limited perceptual understanding and lack the rapid end-to-end processing needed to convert sensor data into safety-critical insights. In contrast, our study leverages radar technology for novel end-to-end semantic segmentation of aerial point clouds to simultaneously identify multiple collision hazards. By adapting and optimizing the PointNet architecture and integrating aerial domain insights, our framework distinguishes five distinct classes: mobile drones (DJI M300 and DJI Mini) and airplanes (Ikarus C42), and static returns (ground and infrastructure) which results in enhanced situational awareness for UAVs. To our knowledge, this is the first approach addressing simultaneous identification of multiple collision threats in an aerial setting, achieving a robust 94% accuracy. This work highlights the potential of radar technology to advance situational awareness in UAVs, facilitating safe and efficient BVLOS operations.
Model-based Counterfactual Generator for Gender Bias Mitigation
Tokpo, Ewoenam Kwaku, Calders, Toon
Counterfactual Data Augmentation (CDA) has been one of the preferred techniques for mitigating gender bias in natural language models. CDA techniques have mostly employed word substitution based on dictionaries. Although such dictionary-based CDA techniques have been shown to significantly improve the mitigation of gender bias, in this paper, we highlight some limitations of such dictionary-based counterfactual data augmentation techniques, such as susceptibility to ungrammatical compositions, and lack of generalization outside the set of predefined dictionary words. Model-based solutions can alleviate these problems, yet the lack of qualitative parallel training data hinders development in this direction. Therefore, we propose a combination of data processing techniques and a bi-objective training regime to develop a model-based solution for generating counterfactuals to mitigate gender bias. We implemented our proposed solution and performed an empirical evaluation which shows how our model alleviates the shortcomings of dictionary-based solutions.
TAMPAR: Visual Tampering Detection for Parcel Logistics in Postal Supply Chains
Naumann, Alexander, Hertlein, Felix, Dörr, Laura, Furmans, Kai
Due to the steadily rising amount of valuable goods in supply chains, tampering detection for parcels is becoming increasingly important. In this work, we focus on the use-case last-mile delivery, where only a single RGB image is taken and compared against a reference from an existing database to detect potential appearance changes that indicate tampering. We propose a tampering detection pipeline that utilizes keypoint detection to identify the eight corner points of a parcel. This permits applying a perspective transformation to create normalized fronto-parallel views for each visible parcel side surface. These viewpoint-invariant parcel side surface representations facilitate the identification of signs of tampering on parcels within the supply chain, since they reduce the problem to parcel side surface matching with pair-wise appearance change detection. Experiments with multiple classical and deep learning-based change detection approaches are performed on our newly collected TAMpering detection dataset for PARcels, called TAMPAR. We evaluate keypoint and change detection separately, as well as in a unified system for tampering detection. Our evaluation shows promising results for keypoint (Keypoint AP 75.76) and tampering detection (81% accuracy, F1-Score 0.83) on real images. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis for tampering types, lens distortion and viewing angles is presented. Code and dataset are available at https://a-nau.github.io/tampar.
RELand: Risk Estimation of Landmines via Interpretable Invariant Risk Minimization
Rubio, Mateo Dulce, Zeng, Siqi, Wang, Qi, Alvarado, Didier, Moreno, Francisco, Heidari, Hoda, Fang, Fei
Landmines remain a threat to war-affected communities for years after conflicts have ended, partly due to the laborious nature of demining tasks. Humanitarian demining operations begin by collecting relevant information from the sites to be cleared, which is then analyzed by human experts to determine the potential risk of remaining landmines. In this paper, we propose RELand system to support these tasks, which consists of three major components. We (1) provide general feature engineering and label assigning guidelines to enhance datasets for landmine risk modeling, which are widely applicable to global demining routines, (2) formulate landmine presence as a classification problem and design a novel interpretable model based on sparse feature masking and invariant risk minimization, and run extensive evaluation under proper protocols that resemble real-world demining operations to show a significant improvement over the state-of-the-art, and (3) build an interactive web interface to suggest priority areas for demining organizations. We are currently collaborating with a humanitarian demining NGO in Colombia that is using our system as part of their field operations in two areas recently prioritized for demining.
AdaFlood: Adaptive Flood Regularization
Bae, Wonho, Ren, Yi, Ahmed, Mohamad Osama, Tung, Frederick, Sutherland, Danica J., Oliveira, Gabriel L.
Although neural networks are conventionally optimized towards zero training loss, it has been recently learned that targeting a non-zero training loss threshold, referred to as a flood level, often enables better test time generalization. Current approaches, however, apply the same constant flood level to all training samples, which inherently assumes all the samples have the same difficulty. We present AdaFlood, a novel flood regularization method that adapts the flood level of each training sample according to the difficulty of the sample. Intuitively, since training samples are not equal in difficulty, the target training loss should be conditioned on the instance. Experiments on datasets covering four diverse input modalities - text, images, asynchronous event sequences, and tabular - demonstrate the versatility of AdaFlood across data domains and noise levels.